Category: China

  • The collapse of the Assad regime in Syria on Dec. 8 will likely hamper Beijing’s diplomatic ambitions in the Middle East and prompt a reevaluation of its support for Iran and Russia in the region, experts told Radio Free Asia in recent interviews.

    Back in September 2023, President Xi Jinping rolled out the red carpet for former Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad and his wife Asma, who made a six-day visit to the country amid great fanfare in the ruling Chinese Communist Party’s state media.

    The Assads were Xi’s guests at the opening ceremony of the 19th Asian Games in Hangzhou, which was hailed by the Global Times newspaper as an opportunity to strengthen trade and economic ties with the isolated regime.

    China was only the sixth country visited by Assad since the start of the Syrian conflict in 2011, and Beijing saw opportunities for Chinese companies in post-war economic reconstruction as part of Xi’s Belt and Road supply chain and global infrastructure program.

    China’s top envoy Wang Yi has pledged to play a key role in bringing peace to troubled global “hotspots,” and has repeatedly sent diplomats to the Middle East in recent years.

    Beijing has also called for an end to the “collective punishment” of Palestinian civilians by Israel.

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    Beijing likely reevaluating

    Chinese diplomats brokered a truce between Fatah, Hamas and other rival Palestinian factions earlier this year, but has yet to succeed in helping to facilitate the emergence of a unity government, despite repeated rounds of diplomatic efforts, Reuters reported.

    Its support for Assad, however, was largely based on its view of the Syrian resistance as being instigated by the United States and its allies, and its alignment with Iran and Russia, something that Beijing may now be reevaluating, analysts said.

    “Beijing wants to expand its influence in the Middle East, and Syria was an important foothold for it to do that,” U.S.-based current affairs commentator Heng He told RFA Mandarin in a recent interview.

    “This is at the very least a huge setback for the Chinese Communist Party’s desire to boost its influence … by winning allies or supporting certain forces in the Middle East,” he said.

    But as Assad and his family arrive in Moscow, where they will reportedly be granted political asylum, China’s bet doesn’t appear to have paid off, according to Hudson Institute researcher Zineb Riboua.

    “I think China is realizing that the costs of its of its alignment with Iran and Russia in the Middle East are high because they really relied on Iran to to expand their influence,” Riboua said. “It is by being Iran’s closest friend that China was able to broker a deal, a normalization deal, with Saudi Arabia.”

    “It is really by being close to Iran that China was able to say to everyone that it can handle the Yemen question. This is why they try to do some mediation and diplomatic missions in Yemen,” she said.

    “But it seems that now that Assad fell, that all that everything that Iran has tried to achieve in terms of influence and also in terms of nourishing its proxies across the Middle East is vanishing.”

    She said she expects Beijing to distance itself from Tehran in the future, and adjust its Middle East strategy to reflect Turkey’s status as “a real regional power.”

    China seeks to build ties with anti-Western authoritarian and totalitarian regimes including Iran and the Assad regime in Syria, Riboua said.

    “I would say that China made the wrong bet, and it’s going to pay a certain price for it,” she said.

    Beijing has said it remains open-minded about recognition for a future Syrian government.

    “The future and destiny of Syria should be decided by the Syrian people,” foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning told journalist on Dec. 9. “We hope that all parties concerned will find a political solution to restore stability and order as soon as possible.”

    Social media takes

    Meanwhile, social media comments about the issue focused on expectations of Israel’s further expansion into Syria and satirical comments about the failure of China’s foreign policy experts to predict the fall of Assad.

    “Hehe, the freedom of the Syrian people is over, for the next few decades at least,” commented @qinyuehanguan1900 from Chongqing. “Israel is far worse than any terrorist.”

    “We hereby announce to the world that, from now on, Jerusalem will be our southern capital, Damascus the capital and Tel Aviv our temporary residence,” @pingwaqingsheng from Beijing quoted an imaginary Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu as saying.

    “Do you all think this is over?” commented @tianyahuiguke from Beijing. “It’s only just getting started.”

    People take to the streets of Damascus, Syria, to celebrate the fall of the Assad regime, Dec. 8, 2024.
    People take to the streets of Damascus, Syria, to celebrate the fall of the Assad regime, Dec. 8, 2024.

    Comments also took aim at Li Shaoxian, dean of the China-Arab States Research Institute at Ningxia University, who said in a Dec. 4 interview with Phoenix TV that it was highly unlikely that anti-government forces would succeed in overthrowing the government.

    “How embarrassing!” said one comment on the story. “I could be an expert like him,” scoffed another.

    Heng said China’s international relations experts are typically hampered by their need to repeat the ruling Chinese Communist Party’s official line on everything, rather than taking a coldly analytical view of international developments.

    “Some experts … basically go along with the Chinese Communist Party line when commenting, rather than analyzing and judging based on the international situation,” he said, adding that many commentators are wary of being accused of bad-mouthing Beijing’s allies.

    “These misjudgments are political, based on their political position,” Heng said.

    While news coverage of the unfolding situation in Syria was widely available on Chinese social media on Tuesday, not everyone is being allowed to post anything they like about the situation in the Middle East, according to current affairs commentator Ji Feng, who has a background in the pro-democracy movement.

    “I [tried to] make a few posts about Assad today on WeChat,” Ji told RFA Mandarin. “Others can post about it, but I can’t.”

    He said plenty of people in his circle have opinions about the situation in Syria, which he saw as a displacement of their dissatisfaction with their own government, sentiments that are banned under strict online censorship.

    “The Assad issue is definitely an outlet for a lot of people,” he said.

    Translated by Luisetta Mudie.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Kitty Wang for RFA Mandarin.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • TAIPEI, Taiwan – China has opened an antitrust investigation into American chipmaker Nvidia, the world’s largest provider of processors that power artificial intelligence, weeks after the U.S. announced a semiconductor export control package against China.

    The U.S. package, curbing exports to 140 companies, was part of its latest major effort to block China’s access to and production of chips capable of advancing artificial intelligence for military purposes. China retaliated, tightening controls on the export of key raw materials to the U.S. and cautioning Chinese companies against buying American chips.

    The Chinese government believed Nvidia’s purchase of Israeli networking company Mellanox could violate its anti-monopoly laws, said China’s State Administration for Market Regulation in a statement on Monday, without specifying details. China approved the regulation in 2020.

    Nvidia had not responded to China’s announcement of its investigation at the time of publication, but its shares fell 2.2% in pre-market trading in New York.

    The announcement came a few days after Nvidia signed an agreement to establish an artificial intelligence research and development center in Vietnam, which is widely seen as an effort by the U.S. chipmaker to reduce its reliance on China, amid the tit-for-tat China-U.S. chip row.

    The Biden administration’s latest export controls were the third such round of restrictions on the sale of chips to China. The U.S. Commerce Department said the restrictions would slow China’s development of AI chips, which could, according to the U.S., be used to gain a military advantage.

    China’s Commerce Ministry said such restrictions would pose “a significant threat” to the stability of global supply chains.

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    Nvidia has been a key supplier of high-performance GPUs and AI chips to Chinese companies. In the July quarter of 2024, China accounted for approximately 12% of Nvidia’s revenue, amounting to about US$3.7 billion – a more than 30% increase from the previous year.

    Although Nvidia CEO Jenson Huang said in November that the chipmaker remained committed to maintaining its presence in mainland China, the U.S. chipmaker has also been eyeing ways to reduce its reliance on China.

    Apart from Vietnam, Nvidia has increased partnerships and investments in other Southeast Asian countries in recent years including Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia and Singapore.

    Edited by RFA Staff.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Taejun Kang for RFA.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • A secret deal between the US and China announced in November allowed Chinese nationals to be freed in exchange for the release of several Americans imprisoned in China.

    One of the Chinese nationals who was freed, Xu Yanjun, had been serving a 20-year sentence. He had worked for China’s Ministry of State Security. One of the Americans in China, John Leung, reportedly an FBI informant, had been held in prison for three years. Two other Americans, Kai Li, also accused of providing information to the F.B.I., and Mark Swidan, a Texas businessman, were freed at the same time. In addition, Ayshem Mamut, the mother of human-rights activist Nury Turkel, and the two other Uyghurs were allowed to leave China. They all traveled on the same plane to the United States.

    Holden Triplett, the co-founder of a risk-management consultancy, Trenchcoat Advisors, has served as the head of the FBI office in Beijing and as director of counterintelligence at the National Security Council. Here, he weighs in on the high-stakes game of exchanging spies. This interview has been edited for length and clarity.

    RFA: Spy swaps have a long history. What was it like in the past?

    Holden Triplett: During the Cold War, there were a lot of spy swaps. It’s kind of a normal way of interacting between two rival powers. But it was always Russia, or the Soviet Union, and the United States. It’s not something that China had typically engaged in in the past.

    RFA: Why would China, or any country, be interested in a spy swap?

    Holden Triplett: China would be very interested in getting back the individuals who’d worked for them. The longer they’re in prison in the U.S., the more chance they’re going to divulge information about what they’ve done. Also, the Chinese want to be able to say to the people who work for them, ‘Hey, we may put you in dangerous situations. But, don’t worry, if anything happens, we’ll get you back home.’ The down side for the Chinese, of course, is that it’s an implicit acknowledgement of what they’ve been doing. In the past, they’ve denied that they’re [engaged in espionage].

    RFA: And for the U.S?

    Holden Triplett: The idea is the same; We get our spies back. It’s more of a game, I guess you could say. There’s a bit more protection for spies than for others. They get arrested, but they don’t serve time. And so, spying on each other is made into a regularized affair.

    My concern is that the Chinese say, ‘Now that we’ve established this kind of exchange, people for people, now all we need to know to do now is pick up some more Americans and arrest them.’ Then, the Chinese can try and bargain with the U.S. for their release.

    We’ve already seen that in Russia with Brittney Griner [an American basketball player who was imprisoned in Russia]. Look at who the Russians got back – Viktor Bout [a Russian arms dealer found guilty of conspiring to kill Americans].

    The Russians have wanted him for decades. Nothing against Ms. Griner, but that is a pretty easy decision-making process. They pick up somebody who has star power, and they can get someone they want back. If China’s gotten that message, then Americans should be concerned about going to China. They could become a chip in a larger geopolitical game. There’s a possibility that they could get arrested and end up in a nightmare jail.

    RFA: Well, they say you’re not supposed to negotiate with –

    Holden Triplett: – with terrorists. Look, I think the U.S. is in a really difficult place. There’s pressure on the U.S. government from the families to get them back.

    RFA: Several Uyghurs were also released. What is the significance of that?

    Holden Triplett: I would assume the Chinese got something for this. They’re very transactional. They’re not doing something for the good of the relationship between the U.S. and China.

    RFA: It didn’t seem as though John Leung, who’d been held in a Chinese prisoner, was an important asset for the FBI. What do you think was behind this?

    Holden Triplett: I don’t know what role he played for the FBI, or even if that’s true. But regardless, the message from the bureau is: Don’t worry. Even if you’re doing dangerous work, we will protect you. We will come and get you.

    Edited by Jim Snyder.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Tara McKelvey.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • At the 20th party congress in October 2022, ruling Chinese Communist Party leader Xi Jinping made it clear to the country that his hugely unpopular zero-COVID restrictions, including grueling lockdowns and the mass testing, tracking and quarantining of citizens, would remain in place for the foreseeable future.

    Just a few weeks later, young people holding up blank sheets of paper started gathering in their thousands in public places and university campuses across China, sparked by a fatal lockdown fire in Xinjiang’s regional capital Urumqi, calling on Xi to step down and amid growing calls for pandemic restrictions to end.

    Within days, a new policy had been announced, and authorities across the country began abandoning Xi’s pet policy, lifting quarantine requirements and travel bans in a bid to rescue the country’s flagging economy.

    Two years after the easing of restrictions, many who were there still have vivid memories of being sealed up in their apartments, and of the wave of COVID-19 infections and deaths that ripped through the country once restrictions were lifted.

    Guo Bin was living at his parents’ home in the northeastern city of Changchun in 2020, when the COVID-19 pandemic emerged in Wuhan and spread around the country and to the rest of the world.

    Graphic showing Guo Bin, who was trapped in his parents' apartment in Changchun, capital of northern China's Jilin province, amid a lockdown during the Chinese government's zero-COVID policy.
    Graphic showing Guo Bin, who was trapped in his parents’ apartment in Changchun, capital of northern China’s Jilin province, amid a lockdown during the Chinese government’s zero-COVID policy.

    His father wasn’t allowed to leave the factory where he worked, while Guo and his mother were barricaded into their alleyway by police and local unemployed youths pressed into service to enforce isolation orders.

    Guo and his mother were left to get by on potatoes and cabbage, while they heard of elderly people who lived alone without internet access starving to death that winter.

    Their home province of Jilin was locked down for another month in the winter of 2021, just in time for Lunar New Year, he said.

    “I was depressed, in such a low mood,” Guo recalled of that time, drawing parallels with the Mao era of mass social controls. “I was exposed to propaganda every day that was similar to the Cultural Revolution.”

    “I was trapped in a few dozen square meters with no access to fresh air, freedom of movement or communication with the outside,” he said. “It wasn’t like being in prison; it was a prison.”

    Mask orders for prisoners

    Citizen journalist Fang Bin, who served three years in jail after blowing the whistle on the extent of the initial COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan in early 2020, endured strict restrictions in prison, too.

    “In prison, you had to wear a mask 24 hours a day,” Fang said. “You weren’t allowed to take it off even to sleep.”

    “Anyone not wearing one would be forced to stand for three hours every day.”

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    Former Inner Mongolia official Du Wen said the mask orders didn’t always protect prisoners.

    “A lot of people around us were dying, but the authorities wouldn’t admit it was COVID-19,” Du told RFA Mandarin in a recent interview. “Nobody dared to admit it.”

    “At one point, 350 people in the Hohhot No. 2 Prison had a fever, but they still didn’t admit it was COVID,” Du said. “Because if they did, everyone from the prison bureau to the director to the prison guards would be sanctioned [under the zero-COVID policy].”

    “Some people died because of this, and they said it was tuberculosis.”

    Waves of deaths

    When restrictions were eventually lifted, the timing meant that the newly emerged Omicron variant of COVID-19 ripped through the population, causing huge waves of deaths that have never been confirmed or fully reported, according to anecdotal evidence from funeral parlors and social statistics.

    At the peak of the wave, mortuaries and funeral homes in Beijing were overwhelmed, with a weeks-long backlog of bodies awaiting cremation.

    Infection control enforcers known as 'Dabai' enter a building at the Sunshine New City Phase III apartment complex during the COVID-19 pandemic in Changchun, capital of northern China's Jilin Province, 2021.
    Infection control enforcers known as ‘Dabai’ enter a building at the Sunshine New City Phase III apartment complex during the COVID-19 pandemic in Changchun, capital of northern China’s Jilin Province, 2021.

    Bodies piled up in hospitals and in people’s homes awaiting cremation across China, as funeral homes recruited more staff to transport the dead.

    Overseas researchers estimated that cases peaked at 4.8 million a day with 62 million infections predicted across the Lunar New Year holiday of 2023.

    Fang Bin remembers that time well.

    “I was in the Jiang’an District Detention Center, and masks were no longer being worn, and everyone was infected,” Fang said. “More than 1,000 people in the detention center were infected.”

    Guo, who has since fled the country, said China should learn the lesson that cover-ups never help an emerging public health crisis.

    “Politics always comes first, rather than human life,” he said. “I hope we can all remember these ridiculous, absurd, painful, sad and random stories, and the suffering we have been through as a nation.”

    He said if the government had listened to whistleblowers like Wuhan doctor Li Wenliang instead of suppressing them, the outcome could have been very different.

    “We owe the world an explanation,” Guo said. “An apology, or at least some self-reflection.”

    Translated by Luisetta Mudie. Edited by Roseanne Gerin.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Qian Lang and Hsia Hsiao-hwa for RFA Mandarin.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.


  • This content originally appeared on Human Rights Watch and was authored by Human Rights Watch.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • Hong Kong is sending district councilors and other local officials to mainland China to learn how the ruling Chinese Communist Party uses local networks of volunteers to monitor the population and target potential unrest before it happens.

    China’s “red armband” brigade of state-sanctioned busybodies have been dubbed the biggest intelligence network on the planet by social media users, and have supplied information that has also led police to crack major organized crime, according to state media.

    Neighborhood committees in China have long been tasked with monitoring the activities of ordinary people in urban areas, while its grid management system turbo-charges the capacity of officials even in rural areas to monitor what local people are doing, saying and thinking.

    These local forms of surveillance and social control are known in Chinese political jargon as the “Fengqiao Experience.”

    Now, it looks as if Hong Kong will be adopting similar measures, according to the city’s Secretary for Home and Youth Affairs, Alice Mak, who confirmed that 18 local officials had already been to the eastern province of Zhejiang to study the system.

    “Through classroom study and on-the-spot understanding of the practical methods of the Fengqiao Experience … district councilors understand that regional governance requires strengthening communication with citizens, understanding their emergencies, difficulties and worries, as well as the early detection and resolution of citizens’ problems,” Mak told the Legislative Council on Wednesday.

    She said the Fengqiao Experience will be implemented in Hong Kong by newly introduced “care teams,” and that further training is in the pipeline.

    Former pro-democracy District Councilor Cheung Man-lung.
    Former pro-democracy District Councilor Cheung Man-lung.

    In July 2021, China empowered local officials at township, village and neighborhood level to enforce the law, as well as operating a vastly extended “grid management” system of social control in rural and urban areas alike.

    According to directives sent out in 2018, the grid system carves up neighborhoods into a grid pattern with 15-20 households per square, with each grid given a dedicated monitor who reports back on residents’ affairs to local committees.

    Hong Kong’s care teams are also expected to help the authorities inform the public, as well as reporting the views of the public to the government, according to a 2022 document announcing their deployment.

    Detecting grievances

    Current affairs commentator Johnny Lau said the ongoing crackdown on public dissent under two national security laws isn’t enough for the authorities, who want to nip any signs of potential unrest in the bud.

    “The authorities are taking the big-picture view that there will be a lot of public grievances given the current economic problems,” Lau told RFA Cantonese in a recent interview. “It’s clear that more grassroots work will have to be done to prevent any outbreak of such grievances.”

    He said the District Councils, which now contain only members judged “patriotic” following recent changes in the electoral system, will be the mainstay of the new approach, with the care teams staying in touch with local residents in neighborhoods.

    But he said there are also plenty of technological options for keeping an eye on what people are up to.

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    Former pro-democracy District Councilor Cheung Man-lung said the care teams won’t necessarily be effective if people don’t trust them, however.

    “Community work is always based on public trust in those in positions of responsibility,” Cheung said. “If people don’t trust them, then there’ll be a lot of problems [with this approach].”

    Cheung said he hasn’t seen much of his local care team, despite the bursting of a water main in his neighborhood recently.

    Chief Executive John Lee, who was “elected” unopposed following changes to the electoral rules in 2022, first announced the establishment of care teams in his October policy address of that year, saying they would “take part in community-building” across Hong Kong’s 18 districts.

    The government would carve up districts into sub-districts, and seek to engage local organizations and groups, including young people and ethnic minorities to take part in community building, he said.

    The first care teams, chosen for their patriotism and willingness to follow the government’s lead, were deployed in Tsuen Wan and Southern districts in 2023.

    The government changed the rules governing District Council election after the 2019 poll resulted in a landslide victory for pro-democracy candidates that was widely seen as a ringing public endorsement for the pro-democracy movement despite months of disruption and clashes.

    Translated by Luisetta Mudie.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Wei Sze and Dawn Yu for RFA Cantonese.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • By Mark Rabago, RNZ Pacific Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas correspondent

    Northern Marianas Governor Arnold Palacios and Senator Celina Babauta have travelled to Guam to attend a luncheon with Taiwan President Lai Ching-te.

    Taiwan is officially known as the Republic of China (Taiwan). China claims Taiwan as its own territory, with no right to state-to-state ties, a position Taiwan strongly disputes.

    Palacios welcomed the opportunity to meet Lai and said this could pave the way for improved relations with the East Asian country.

    “This meeting is an opportunity for the CNMI to foster relations with allies in the region.”

    When asked if meeting the President would upset the People’s Republic of China, which considers Taiwan a rogue state and part of its territory, Palacios said: “As far as being in the crosshairs of China, we already are in many ways.”

    Worldwide, a dozen countries maintain formal diplomatic ties with Taipei.

    In January, Nauru cut ties with Taiwan and shifted its diplomatic allegiance to Beijing.

    Reconnecting bonds
    Babauta, meanwhile, said she was deeply humbled and honoured to be invited to have lunch with Lai and Chia-Ching Hsu, Lai’s Minister of the Overseas Community Affairs Council.

    “I am looking forward to connecting and discussing opportunities to strengthen the bond between our two regions and explore how we can create new avenues for our mutual benefit and prosperity, particularly by leveraging our Jones Act waiver,” she said.

    “We must turn our economy around. This is an opportunity I could not pass up on.”

    Babauta said she asked Lai if she could also make a stopover to the CNMI, but his busy schedule precluded that.

    “I am assured that he will plan a visit to the CNMI in the near future.”

    The luncheon, which is part of Taiwan’s “Smart and Sustainable Development for a Prosperous Austronesian Region” program, will be held at the Grand Ballroom, Hyatt Regency Guam at noon Thursday and is expected to also have Guam Governor Lou Leon Guerrero and other island leaders.

    Lai has previously visited Hawai’i as part of his US tour, one that has elicited the ire of the government of the People’s Republic of China.

    Summit ends dramatically
    Earlier this year, the Pacific Islands Forum leaders’ summit ended dramatically when China demanded the conference communiqué be changed to eliminate a reference to Taiwan.

    The document had made a reference to the Forum reaffirming its relations to Taiwan, which has been a development partner since 1992.

    But the Chinese Ambassador to the Pacific Qian Bo was furious and the document was rewritten.

    Reports say China’s Foreign Ministry has “strongly condemned” US support for Lai’s visit to the US, and had lodged a complaint with the United States.

    It earlier also denounced a newly announced US weapons sale to Taiwan.

    This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ.


    This content originally appeared on Asia Pacific Report and was authored by APR editor.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.


  • This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Radio Free Asia.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • TAIPEI, Taiwan – President Surangel Whipps Jr. urged China to respect Palau’s sovereignty and international law, just days ahead of a contentious visit by Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te.

    Lai is visiting Palau, along with the Marshall Islands and Tuvalu – three of Taipei’s 12 remaining diplomatic allies – as part of a Pacific tour that has triggered fierce criticism in Beijing. China regards Taiwan as a renegade province that must be reunited, by force if necessary.

    Whipps said Lai’s visit would cement a strong 25-year relationship that will continue growing despite China’s opposition.

    “One of the things that China needs to understand is that they should respect our sovereignty and our decision to choose who our friends are,” he told BenarNews in an interview on Monday. “I think if you want to be a partner with Palau, a friend of Palau, you don’t do it by force.”

    China has courted Pacific island nations for the past two decades as it seeks to isolate Taipei from its allies, gain influence in international institutions and challenge U.S. dominance.

    Palau’s refusal to abandon Taiwan has led to what Whipps described as “unfriendly behaviour” from China.

    Whipps has accused China of starving Palau’s tourism-dependent economy of visitors and being behind a major cyberattack this year in which more than 20,000 documents were stolen.

    Last month, he said Chinese research vessels made two illegal incursions into Palau’s exclusive economic zone.

    “That’s another example of [China] not respecting the rule of law, not respecting boundaries,” he said. “These are the types of activities that don’t lend to friendly relations.”

    Taiwan President Lai Ching-te (center) greets people at a hotel in Honolulu at the start of his Pacific visit including to Palau, Marshall Islands and Tuvala.
    Taiwan President Lai Ching-te (center) greets people at a hotel in Honolulu at the start of his Pacific visit including to Palau, Marshall Islands and Tuvala.

    ‘Encourage investment’

    Whipps said he hoped Lai’s visit would unlock new opportunities for investment in areas such as tourism, aquaculture, agriculture, renewable energy and marine transportation.

    “We want to encourage investment and this is something that we hope for during President Lai’s visit,” he said.

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    Another initiative that would be discussed would be joint maritime rescue operations and patrols, he added.

    Palau, which is between the Philippines and the U.S. territory of Guam – a base for U.S. bombers – is one of three Pacific island nations including the Marshall Islands and Federated States of Micronesia that give the U.S. exclusive military access to their territories in exchange for economic assistance under compacts of free association.

    They have among the world’s largest exclusive economic zones and militarily strategic seas near East Asia, a region of potential flashpoints in China-U.S. competition.

    The U.S. military presence is set to grow in Palau with the installation of an over-the-horizon radar by 2026. The U.S. Marine Corps is also expanding a Japanese World War II-era runway on the island of Peleliu.

    Whipps, who won a second term in office after an election last month, said Palau’s close ties with the U.S, Taiwan and Japan were important in securing a free and open Pacific.

    He said certain Chinese actions were stoking regional tension, including its activities towards the Philippines in and around disputed shoals in the South China Sea.

    Whipps also criticised China’s test-firing of an intercontinental ballistic missile, without warning, into the Pacific Ocean in September as a “clear violation of common decency and respect for nations.”

    BenarNews is an RFA-affiliated online news service.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Harry Pearl for BenarNews.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • TAIPEI, Taiwan – The United States announced a new semiconductor export control package against China, curbing exports to 140 companies, its latest major effort to block China’s access to and production of chips capable of advancing artificial intelligence for military purposes.

    China has intensified its efforts to achieve self-sufficiency in the semiconductor sector in recent years, driven by export restrictions on advanced chips and manufacturing tools imposed by the U.S. and other countries. Despite this push, China still lags significantly behind the leading players in the chip industry.

    The new package includes curbs on China-bound shipments of high bandwidth memory chips and new curbs on 24 additional chipmaking tools and three software tools, according to the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security on Monday.

    The bureau also established new foreign direct product controls for certain semiconductor manufacturing equipment items that originate in foreign countries, but are produced with U.S. technology, software or tools.

    While equipment produced in countries such as Israel, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan will be subject to the rule, Japan and the Netherlands will be exempt.

    “This action is the culmination of the Biden-Harris Administration’s targeted approach, in concert with our allies and partners, to impair the PRC’s ability to indigenize the production of advanced technologies that pose a risk to our national security,” said Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo, referring China to its official name, the People’s Republic of China.

    Chinese firms facing new restrictions include nearly two dozen semiconductor companies, two investment companies and more than 100 chipmaking tool makers, including Naura Technology Group, Piotech, ACM Research and SiCarrier Technology as well as Swaysure Technology, Si’En Qingdao, and Shenzhen Pensun Technology, which work with China’s Huawei Technologies.

    China vowed to take “resolute measures” in response to the new export curbs.

    “We have repeatedly made clear our position on this issue. China firmly opposes the U.S.’ overstretching the concept of national security, abusing export controls, and maliciously blocking and suppressing China,” foreign ministry spokesperson Lin Jian told a press briefing.

    “This type of behavior seriously violates the laws of market economy and the principle of fair competition, disrupts international economic and trade order, destabilizes global industrial and supply chains, and will eventually harm the interests of all countries,” he added.

    Tough policy stance on China

    The restrictions come as the U.S. President Joe Biden is set to leave office on Jan. 20 with President-elect Donald Trump expected to adopt a tough policy stance on China.

    Trump said last month he would impose an additional 10% tariff on all products coming into the U.S. from China on his first day in office as penalties for deadly fentanyl and illegal immigrants, which he said were pouring across borders into the U.S.

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    Separately, on Saturday, the president-elect threatened to impose 100% tariffs on the BRICS nations if they were to create a rival currency to the U.S. dollar.

    BRICS is an intergovernmental organization comprising nine countries, including China and Russia.

    “We require a commitment from these countries that they will neither create a new Brics currency nor back any other currency to replace the mighty US dollar or they will face 100% tariffs and should expect to say goodbye to selling into the wonderful US economy,” Trump wrote on his social media platform Truth Social.

    Trump’s election victory sparked concern in China, where many expect the next president to take a tougher stand than his predecessor, particularly on trade and economic issues, with negative repercussions for an already struggling Chinese economy.

    Edited by RFA Staff.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Taejun Kang for RFA.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • Read a version of this story in Burmese.

    Closures along Myanmar’s shared border with China have cut off residents of Kachin and Shan states from humanitarian aid and sent the prices of goods skyrocketing, sources from the regions said Monday.

    Myanmar’s civil war in the aftermath of the military’s Feb. 1, 2021 coup d’etat prompted China to close all its border gates in Kachin state beginning on Oct. 19, and all border crossings in northern Shan state except for Muse township since July.

    Meanwhile, Myanmar’s junta has imposed restrictions on the transportation of goods to Kachin state from the country’s heartland, as the rebel Kachin Independence Army, or KIA, now controls all 11 of the state’s border gates with China, including the major trade checkpoints of Kan Paik Ti and Lwegel townships.

    In Shan state, the junta has also restricted the transportation of goods from Muse to areas of the state under the control of ethnic armed groups.

    The restrictions have left residents of the two border areas, and especially civilians displaced by fighting, feeling the squeeze, sources told RFA Burmese.

    A civilian sheltering in the Jay Yang camp for the displaced near Kachin’s Laiza township, where the KIA’s headquarters is located, said that between the border closures and junta restrictions on goods transported from the Kachin town of Bhamo and the state capital Myitkyina, “the situation has become dire.”

    “Residents are enduring severe hardships,” he said. “We are facing an uncertain and bleak future.”

    The displaced civilian said that the price of food items in Kachin state has risen dramatically, making it difficult for camp residents to afford basic necessities.

    RELATED STORIES

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    Nearly all prices have doubled since the border closures, he said, with eggs at 1,000 kyats from 400; a viss (3.5 pounds) of pork at 50,000 kyats from 20,000; a viss of fish at 30,000 kyats from 15,000; a viss of chicken at 40,000 kyats from 20,000; a viss of beef at 60,000 kyats from 30,000; a viss of potatoes at 10,000 kyats from 6,000; and a cup of chili peppers at 3,000 kyats from 1,500.

    Meanwhile, a liter (.26 gallon) of cooking oil now costs 25,000 kyats, up from 10,000, and a liter of gasoline costs 15,000 kyats, up from 7,000.

    At the time of publishing, the official exchange rate was 2,100 kyats to the U.S. dollar, while the black market exchange rate was 4,300 kyats per dollar.

    Prior to the border closures, relief groups had been providing camps for the displaced with rice, oil, salt and chickpeas, but now can only distribute around 30,000 kyats per person, camp residents told RFA.

    Displaced suffer shortages

    Residents said that since the KIA seized the Kan Paik Ti border gate on Nov. 20 and Chinese authorities shut down the crossing, food prices had increased in Myitkyina, and the Kachin capital is now enduring a fuel shortage.

    A resident of the Sha Eit Yang camp for the displaced, located in a KIA-controlled area along the border, told RFA that the gate closures had made life extremely difficult.

    “There is no work to earn money in the area near our camp, so we can only find jobs far away from the camp,” he said. “With all the border gates closed, we can’t earn any income.”

    People at the Muse border gate in Myanmar's Shan state wait to cross into China on Jan. 11, 2019.
    People at the Muse border gate in Myanmar’s Shan state wait to cross into China on Jan. 11, 2019.

    In Kachin state, more than 100,000 civilians have sought shelter in 160 camps following the fighting that began in 2021. Since the coup, the total number of displaced persons has risen to more than 200,000, according to aid workers. Around 40,000 displaced persons are taking refuge in around 20 camps in Kachin state along the Chinese border.

    Sin Yaung, the deputy head of the Wai Kyaing camp for the displaced near Laiza, told RFA that the longer the border gates remain closed, the more hardships residents will face.

    “If the closures persist, it will be very difficult to access food,” he said. “The closure of the border gates and restrictions on the transportation of goods have caused severe difficulties for residents.”

    Attempts by RFA to contact the junta’s spokesperson and social affairs minister for Kachin state, Moe Min Thein, and KIA information officer Colonel Naw Bu for more information went unanswered Monday.

    Transportation restrictions in Shan

    The junta has also blocked the transportation of food from Muse, which is under the control of the military, to rebel-occupied towns on the Myanmar-China border in northern Shan state, according to residents.

    A resident of Nam Hkam, which is under the control of the Ta’ang National Liberation Army, or TNLA, told RFA that no goods have gotten through from Muse since Nov. 27.

    “Residents are not allowed to carry food items by motorcycle and even vendors from Muse no longer come here,” he said. “Commodity prices have sharply increased. Tomatoes are now being sold for 20,000 kyats per viss here, whereas in Muse, one viss of tomatoes costs only 8,000 kyats.”

    A Chinese flag flies over the border wall between China and Myanmar in Ruili, west Yunnan province on Jan. 14, 2023.
    A Chinese flag flies over the border wall between China and Myanmar in Ruili, west Yunnan province on Jan. 14, 2023.

    Residents said that the TNLA has also blocked the transportation of fuel and food from Nam Hkam to Muse since Sunday, although TNLA spokeswoman Lway Yay Oo insisted that her group had imposed no restrictions on the flow of goods.

    RFA also tried to contact the junta’s spokesperson and economic minister for Shan state, Khun Thein, for comments on the commodity blockades, but he did not respond.

    Residents reported that restrictions have caused the prices of goods to “more than double” in Muse and Nam Hkam. Additionally, traders and drivers are out of work due to the closure of trade routes, traders in Muse told RFA.

    The restrictions imposed by China and Myanmar’s junta have impacted most of the nearly two million people who live in northern Shan state’s 20 townships, residents said.

    Translated by Aung Naing. Edited by Joshua Lipes and Matt Reed.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by RFA Burmese.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • Read a version of this story in Burmese.

    Closures along Myanmar’s shared border with China have cut off residents of Kachin and Shan states from humanitarian aid and sent the prices of goods skyrocketing, sources from the regions said Monday.

    Myanmar’s civil war in the aftermath of the military’s Feb. 1, 2021 coup d’etat prompted China to close all its border gates in Kachin state beginning on Oct. 19, and all border crossings in northern Shan state except for Muse township since July.

    Meanwhile, Myanmar’s junta has imposed restrictions on the transportation of goods to Kachin state from the country’s heartland, as the rebel Kachin Independence Army, or KIA, now controls all 11 of the state’s border gates with China, including the major trade checkpoints of Kan Paik Ti and Lwegel townships.

    In Shan state, the junta has also restricted the transportation of goods from Muse to areas of the state under the control of ethnic armed groups.

    The restrictions have left residents of the two border areas, and especially civilians displaced by fighting, feeling the squeeze, sources told RFA Burmese.

    A civilian sheltering in the Jay Yang camp for the displaced near Kachin’s Laiza township, where the KIA’s headquarters is located, said that between the border closures and junta restrictions on goods transported from the Kachin town of Bhamo and the state capital Myitkyina, “the situation has become dire.”

    “Residents are enduring severe hardships,” he said. “We are facing an uncertain and bleak future.”

    The displaced civilian said that the price of food items in Kachin state has risen dramatically, making it difficult for camp residents to afford basic necessities.

    RELATED STORIES

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    Nearly all prices have doubled since the border closures, he said, with eggs at 1,000 kyats from 400; a viss (3.5 pounds) of pork at 50,000 kyats from 20,000; a viss of fish at 30,000 kyats from 15,000; a viss of chicken at 40,000 kyats from 20,000; a viss of beef at 60,000 kyats from 30,000; a viss of potatoes at 10,000 kyats from 6,000; and a cup of chili peppers at 3,000 kyats from 1,500.

    Meanwhile, a liter (.26 gallon) of cooking oil now costs 25,000 kyats, up from 10,000, and a liter of gasoline costs 15,000 kyats, up from 7,000.

    At the time of publishing, the official exchange rate was 2,100 kyats to the U.S. dollar, while the black market exchange rate was 4,300 kyats per dollar.

    Prior to the border closures, relief groups had been providing camps for the displaced with rice, oil, salt and chickpeas, but now can only distribute around 30,000 kyats per person, camp residents told RFA.

    Displaced suffer shortages

    Residents said that since the KIA seized the Kan Paik Ti border gate on Nov. 20 and Chinese authorities shut down the crossing, food prices had increased in Myitkyina, and the Kachin capital is now enduring a fuel shortage.

    A resident of the Sha Eit Yang camp for the displaced, located in a KIA-controlled area along the border, told RFA that the gate closures had made life extremely difficult.

    “There is no work to earn money in the area near our camp, so we can only find jobs far away from the camp,” he said. “With all the border gates closed, we can’t earn any income.”

    People at the Muse border gate in Myanmar's Shan state wait to cross into China on Jan. 11, 2019.
    People at the Muse border gate in Myanmar’s Shan state wait to cross into China on Jan. 11, 2019.

    In Kachin state, more than 100,000 civilians have sought shelter in 160 camps following the fighting that began in 2021. Since the coup, the total number of displaced persons has risen to more than 200,000, according to aid workers. Around 40,000 displaced persons are taking refuge in around 20 camps in Kachin state along the Chinese border.

    Sin Yaung, the deputy head of the Wai Kyaing camp for the displaced near Laiza, told RFA that the longer the border gates remain closed, the more hardships residents will face.

    “If the closures persist, it will be very difficult to access food,” he said. “The closure of the border gates and restrictions on the transportation of goods have caused severe difficulties for residents.”

    Attempts by RFA to contact the junta’s spokesperson and social affairs minister for Kachin state, Moe Min Thein, and KIA information officer Colonel Naw Bu for more information went unanswered Monday.

    Transportation restrictions in Shan

    The junta has also blocked the transportation of food from Muse, which is under the control of the military, to rebel-occupied towns on the Myanmar-China border in northern Shan state, according to residents.

    A resident of Nam Hkam, which is under the control of the Ta’ang National Liberation Army, or TNLA, told RFA that no goods have gotten through from Muse since Nov. 27.

    “Residents are not allowed to carry food items by motorcycle and even vendors from Muse no longer come here,” he said. “Commodity prices have sharply increased. Tomatoes are now being sold for 20,000 kyats per viss here, whereas in Muse, one viss of tomatoes costs only 8,000 kyats.”

    A Chinese flag flies over the border wall between China and Myanmar in Ruili, west Yunnan province on Jan. 14, 2023.
    A Chinese flag flies over the border wall between China and Myanmar in Ruili, west Yunnan province on Jan. 14, 2023.

    Residents said that the TNLA has also blocked the transportation of fuel and food from Nam Hkam to Muse since Sunday, although TNLA spokeswoman Lway Yay Oo insisted that her group had imposed no restrictions on the flow of goods.

    RFA also tried to contact the junta’s spokesperson and economic minister for Shan state, Khun Thein, for comments on the commodity blockades, but he did not respond.

    Residents reported that restrictions have caused the prices of goods to “more than double” in Muse and Nam Hkam. Additionally, traders and drivers are out of work due to the closure of trade routes, traders in Muse told RFA.

    The restrictions imposed by China and Myanmar’s junta have impacted most of the nearly two million people who live in northern Shan state’s 20 townships, residents said.

    Translated by Aung Naing. Edited by Joshua Lipes and Matt Reed.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by RFA Burmese.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • Indonesia’s foreign minister on Monday responded to concerned lawmakers that a recent joint maritime development deal with China did not recognize Beijing’s claims in the South China Sea, but analysts said his explanations were a weak justification for a serious error.

    A joint statement issued after a meeting last month in Beijing between new Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto and Chinese President Xi Jinping said the two countries had reached an “important common understanding on joint development in areas of overlapping claims.”

    However, Jakarta had consistently rejected China’s sweeping claims in the contested South China Sea, which encroaches into Indonesia’s exclusive economic zone (EEZ) north of the Natuna islands.

    During a parliamentary hearing on Monday, Indonesian legislator Sukamta said these Chinese claims, which are represented on its maps by a so-called nine-dash line, are changed by Beijing as it pleases.

    “Previously it was nine dashes, now it’s 10,” said the legislator who goes by one name.

    “We must be firm in asserting our rights. … Without clear boundaries, we risk being manipulated by China,” he said.

    Sukamta called for more clarity on the geographical scope of the development agreement mentioned in the text of the joint statement issued after Prabowo met with Xi.

    China’s claims in the South China Sea overlap those of five Asian nations and Taiwan.

    And in what many analysts back then saw as a political message, Jakarta in 2017 renamed the southern reaches of the South China Sea the North Natuna Sea to emphasize its sovereignty over those waters encompassing natural gas fields.

    Another Indonesian lawmaker, Farah Puteri Nahlia, echoed Sukamta’s concerns.

    “We all understand that China is Indonesia’s key trading partner, but we should not become overly dependent,” Farah said.

    “What steps will the foreign ministry take to ensure we maintain our non-aligned stance? We must aim for not only free trade but fair trade, while safeguarding our EEZ amidst these tensions.”

    Indonesian Maritime Security Agency (Bakamla) patrol boat KN Tanjung Datu-301 (left) and Indonesian Navy corvette KRI Sutedi Senoputra (right) shadow the China Coast Guard (CCG) 5402 ship to expel it from the North Natuna Sea in Indonesia's exclusive economic zone, Oct. 21, 2024.
    Indonesian Maritime Security Agency (Bakamla) patrol boat KN Tanjung Datu-301 (left) and Indonesian Navy corvette KRI Sutedi Senoputra (right) shadow the China Coast Guard (CCG) 5402 ship to expel it from the North Natuna Sea in Indonesia’s exclusive economic zone, Oct. 21, 2024.

    Already, during the first week of Prabowo’s presidency in October, Indonesian naval and coast guard ships confronted and expelled a Chinese coast guard ship from its EEZ in the North Natuna Sea on three occasions.

    China has in recent years also opposed Indonesia’s oil and gas exploration activities in its EEZ.

    This agreement comes amid escalating tensions in the South China Sea region, a crucial maritime route for global commerce.

    ‘50% of nothing is still nothing’

    Foreign Minister Sugiono responded to lawmakers’ concerns saying that the joint statement did not recognize China’s nine-dash line.

    “The text itself is clear – it does not imply any such recognition,” Sugiono, who goes by one name, told lawmakers.

    “The specifics, including the locations and terms of the cooperation, have not yet been defined. This is merely a preliminary agreement and the details will be worked out later.”

    He also said joint cooperation was President Prabowo’s plan “as part of efforts to reduce tensions and maximize resource utilization,” and had been discussed with leaders of neighboring countries.

    “The core principle is that President Prabowo has directed us to enhance cooperation with our neighboring countries for mutual benefit, while upholding Indonesia’s sovereignty,” Sugiono said.

    He said Indonesia’s position on sovereignty remained unchanged, noting that the joint development agreement would be guided by international law and Indonesia’s interests.

    “Indonesia’s stance remains unchanged, as do the positions of its neighbors. However, the principle stands: 50% of nothing is still nothing,” Sugiono further said.

    “If there is no way to derive benefit from these resources for our nation’s interests, it is better to collaborate while strictly adhering to fundamental principles and maintaining sovereignty.”

    ‘Little room for multiple interpretations’

    For foreign policy analyst Mohamad Rosyidin, these explanations from Sugiono did not explain the crux of the problem – why the joint statement included the phrase “overlapping claims.”

    “The statement is merely an excuse for the blunder in the joint statement. It’s unlikely the government will admit to that mistake,” Rosyidin, of Diponegoro University, told BenarNews, an RFA-affiliated news service.

    “Just because we want to collaborate with China in the South China Sea doesn’t mean Indonesia should shift from a rule-based approach to pragmatism.”

    The Indonesian government should remain consistent with the nation’s stance on the South China Sea, he said.

    “The real problem is that Chinese vessels frequently enter Natuna waters. However, this does not mean there is an overlapping claim; it is a violation of sovereignty by China.”

    Another international relations analyst, Muhammad Waffaa Kharisma, concurred.

    “I am among those who believe there is little room for multiple interpretations of the joint statement between President Prabowo and President Xi Jinping regarding overlapping claims,” he told BenarNews.

    “Regardless of how it is responded to or justified, I see the initial phrasing in the agreement as a concession by Indonesia, yielding or compromising with China.”

    He said the problematic text could have an effect on Indonesia, if not immediately then in the near future.

    “Whether intentional or not is a secondary matter. Intentional or not, there will be impacts on Indonesia’s sovereign rights. … especially if there are no serious efforts for reversal through follow-up measures or statements,” he said.

    Such a concession may ease any tensions between Indonesia and China, but it strengthens Beijing’s hand and gives the impression Jakarta is yielding to the major power, he said.

    “Currently, the foreign minister and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs are in damage-control mode. The potential for conflict and unilateral claims are two sides of the same coin,” he said.

    “The only positive aspect is that the initiative has not yet materialized, as mentioned by the foreign minister.”

    BenarNews is an RFA-affiliated online news service.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Pizaro Gozali Idrus for BenarNews.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • Mainland Chinese shoppers are once more converging on stores in Hong Kong, but this time, they’re not in search of infant formula, clean cooking oil or Yakult probiotic drinks.

    They’re buying up large quantities of sanitary towels and other feminine care items, spurred by reports of contaminated and discolored cotton filling in similar products made just across the border in mainland China and sold in Chinese stores.

    “The quality’s more acceptable,” a resident of neighboring Guangzhou city shopping for sanitary products at one store in Hong Kong told Radio Free Asia in a recent interview. “I’m not so worried about using them because there are guaranteed standards.”

    “I wish Chinese state-owned enterprises and regulatory authorities would follow up on safety issues around Chinese sanitary towels,” said the woman, who gave only the surname Zhang for fear of reprisals.

    “I don’t buy them there anymore,” a woman who gave only the pseudonym Chen told RFA. “I only buy them here.”

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    More than 340 million women aged 15 to 49 use sanitary napkins in China, with sales of such products worth around 98 billion yuan, or US$13.4 billion.

    Yet many mainland Chinese women don’t trust feminine care products that are made in China.

    Chinese companies have been embroiled in a string of public health scandals affecting foodstuffs in recent years, including other incidents involving Sudan Red in foods, melamine-tainted milk, used “gutter” cooking oil and cadmium-tainted rice.

    Skimping on quality

    Women have been taking to social media in recent weeks to report quality issues in sanitary products made in mainland China, including reports of substandard cotton filling that has been recycled from questionable sources, is discolored or contaminated.

    A social media video last month showed one raw material supplier telling a blogger that the recycled material being sold as filling for sanitary towel manufacturers “came from diapers.”

    Another blogger cut open a Sanwu brand product on camera, finding “inexplicable black blobs and foreign objects” in the filling, including a human hair.

    Chinese manufacturers have also been accused of skimping on quality, including supplying sanitary towels that are several centimeters shorter than their advertised length.

    “It’s a hot topic on Douyin right now that some sanitary towels just aren’t long enough,” a Shenzhen resident who gave only the surname Shen for fear of reprisals told RFA in a recent interview. “Some have been said to be unhygienic, with filling that looks black when you shine a light on it.”

    Following social media complaints on Douyin and Xiaohongshu, government-backed media The Paper tested 24 different brands, finding that 88% of them were at least a centimeter (0.4 inches) shorter than advertised.

    Chinese industry standards allow a discrepancy of up to 4%, which would equate to about 10-15 millimeters, suggesting that the discrepancies may not be illegal.

    A worrying situation

    More worryingly, social media users carried out their own private laboratory tests on Chinese-made feminine care products, finding that many products currently on the market have excessive levels of bacteria, harmful chemicals or the wrong pH, and could be harmful to women, leading to health problems, including bacterial vaginitis and pelvic inflammatory disease.

    The reports prompted many women to take to social media in the hope of locating “safe” brands of sanitary products, spawning a wave of sellers on the social media platform claiming to have goods made in Hong Kong and Japan.

    Sanitary products sold in personal products stores like Hong Kong’s Watson’s are often made in Hong Kong or Japan, to far more stringent safety standards.

    In one social media video, a customer service representative of feminine products manufacturer ABC told a customer who complained: “If you don’t think this is acceptable, you don’t have to buy them.”

    The company’s products were later removed from the shelves of its Tmall flagship store following a social media outcry.

    A number of Chinese companies have made public apologies, while ABC has said that it is “deeply sorry” for its “inappropriate” customer service response, according to multiple media reports.

    Translated by Luisetta Mudie. Edited by Roseanne Gerin.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Wei Sze for RFA Cantonese.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • China on Monday slammed Lithuania’s expulsion of three of its nationals amid an ongoing row over the involvement of a Chinese-registered cargo vessel in the cutting of undersea internet cables in the Baltic Sea.

    The Lithuanian Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Friday declared three staff members of China’s representative office in the country, a type of diplomatic mission, as personae non gratae, citing alleged violations of the Vienna Convention outlining diplomatic law and Lithuanian legislation, and ordered them to leave the country within a week.

    Calling the move “brutal and provocative behavior,” China’s foreign ministry said Vilnius had previously expressed a desire to improve ties with Beijing, and expressed “strong condemnation.”

    The spat comes after questions were raised over the activities of a Chinese ship that was spotted near two undersea internet cables that were cut in the Baltic Sea on Nov. 17 and 18.

    The cable ship Ile de Brehat lays the C-Lion1 telecommunications cable in the Baltic Sea near Helsinki on Oct. 12, 2015.
    The cable ship Ile de Brehat lays the C-Lion1 telecommunications cable in the Baltic Sea near Helsinki on Oct. 12, 2015.

    While European officials haven’t made details of their investigations public, one of the undersea cables that was cut runs between Sweden and Lithuania.

    Social media users spotted the Chinese ship slightly slowing down and altering course as it crossed the 730-mile C-Lion 1 undersea cable connecting Finland and Germany and the 130-mile link between Sweden and Lithuania around the time that they were cut.

    Several media reports said the authorities in Sweden and Finland are investigating the suspected sabotage of two undersea fiber-optic cables in the Baltic Sea, with attention focusing on a Chinese-registered cargo ship, the Yi Peng 3.

    The ship was still anchored off Denmark on Monday, in close proximity to the German patrol vessel Bamberg, according to MarineTraffic.com.

    Foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning had said on Friday that Beijing was “willing to cooperate … to find out the truth” of the allegations.

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    But China hit out at Lithuania’s move on Monday.

    “China hopes that the new Lithuanian government will take concrete actions to abide by the political commitments made in the communiqué on the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries, adhere to the one-China principle, and push bilateral relations back on track,” foreign ministry spokesperson Lin Jian told a regular news briefing in Beijing on Monday.

    The state-run Global Times newspaper said Lithuania has already angered Beijing by switching ties in 2021 to democratic Taiwan, which China claims as “an inalienable part” of its territory.

    “Three years on since the downgrade of bilateral ties with China, Lithuania has again taken detrimental action that further exacerbates the relations,” the paper said in an editorial.

    “China calls on Lithuania to immediately stop undermining China’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, and stop creating difficulty for bilateral relations,”

    China reserves the right to take countermeasures against Lithuania, it quoted the country’s foreign ministry as saying.

    Translated by Luisetta Mudie.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by He Ping for RFA Mandarin.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • TAIPEI, Taiwan – China vowed to take “strong measures” following the decision by the United States to approve more arms sales to Taiwan, urging the U.S. to stop “sending out a wrong signal” to the island, hours before Taiwan’s President Lai Ching-te made a transit through the state of Hawaii.

    The U.S. State Department approved the potential sale, worth an estimated US$385m, of spare parts and support for F-16 jets and radars to Taiwan, hours before Lai began his trip to three Pacific nations, with stops in Hawaii and the U.S. territory of Guam.

    “China urges the U.S. to immediately stop arming Taiwan and stop conniving at and supporting the ‘Taiwan independence forces’,” said China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs in a statement on Sunday.

    “It damages China-U.S. relations, endangers peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait … China will closely follow the developments and take resolute and strong measures to defend our nation’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.”

    China regards Taiwan as a renegade province that should be reunited with the mainland, by force if necessary. The democratic island has been self-governing since it effectively separated from mainland China in 1949 after the Chinese civil war.

    Despite their lack of formal diplomatic ties, the U.S. has long been a key supplier of arms to Taiwan and is bound by U.S. legislation, the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act, to provide the island with arms for its defense.

    In a separate statement, the ministry said it “strongly condemned” the U.S. for “arranging” Lai’s stopover.

    Lai arrived on Saturday in Hawaii to begin a two-day transit in the U.S. as part of a trip to the South Pacific, his first since assuming office.

    “China firmly opposes any form of official contact between the United States and Taiwan, as well as any attempts by the leader of the Taiwanese authorities to visit the United States in any name or for any reason,” the Chinese ministry said, adding that it had “lodged serious protests with the U.S.”.

    In response, Taiwan’s foreign ministry stressed that Lai’s transit was “legitimate” and “normal”.

    “President Lai’s visits to diplomatic allies in the Pacific to strengthen diplomatic ties and his customary transit through the United States are all legitimate activities of the rights of a sovereign state,” the ministry said in a statement.

    “If China reacts in any extreme way to a normal visit by the President it will be an inappropriate act by China that undermines regional peace and stability, and will be condemned by the international community.”

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    Lai was given “red carpet treatment” on the tarmac when he arrived at Honolulu’s international airport, according to his office, which said it was the first time a Taiwanese president had been given such a welcome.

    He was met by Hawaii Governor Josh Green as well as Ingrid Larson, managing director in Washington of the American Institute in Taiwan.

    Lai visited the USS Arizona Memorial at Pearl Harbour and said the U.S. and Taiwan should “fight together to prevent war”.

    “Peace is priceless, and war has no winners,” he said.

    Lai also said he was “grateful” to the U.S. for its assistance in helping to ensure the success of the tour.

    Lai is on a weeklong trip to visit the Marshall Islands, Tuvalu and Palau, which are among the 12 countries that recognize Taiwan’s claim to statehood.

    Edited by RFA Staff.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Taejun Kang for RFA.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • Over the past year, analysts and writers in the mainstream press as well as in some left-wing media have argued that China has upended its relationship with Israel in its defense of Palestine in the wake of October 7. But China’s relationship with Palestine is not so clear-cut: While it has offered moderate rhetorical criticism of Israel’s genocide in Gaza, China has maintained investments in…

    Source

    This post was originally published on Latest – Truthout.

  • A court in Beijing on Friday handed down a seven-year jail term to prominent journalist and columnist Dong Yuyu after finding him guilty of “espionage” in a trial behind closed doors that ended in July 2023, his family and press associations said.

    The Beijing No. 2 Intermediate People’s Court announced the verdict and sentence in the trial of Dong, 62, on Friday, saying it was based on evidence of his “meetings with Japanese diplomats,” his family told Reuters in a statement.

    The Japanese diplomat Dong met with was also detained by police, and China’s foreign ministry hit out at “foreign personnel engaged in activities inconsistent with their status in China.”

    The U.S. National Press Club said Dong, the former deputy head of commentaries at ruling Communist Party newspaper the Guangming Daily, hasn’t been allowed to see or speak with his family since his arrest at Beijing restaurant in February 2022.

    Security was tight near the court building on Friday, with several police cars parked nearby and officers asking journalists to leave the area, Reuters reported.

    “Today’s verdict is a grave injustice not only to Yuyu and his family but also to every free-thinking Chinese journalist and every ordinary Chinese committed to friendly engagement with the world,” Dong’s family said in a statement sent to Reuters.

    The sentence was based on no evidence and “declares to the world the bankruptcy of the justice system in China,” the statement said.

    Commentator

    Espionage convictions in Chinese courts can result in sentences of 3-10 years in less severe cases, or life imprisonment in cases deemed more serious by the authorities.

    A pedestrian walks past Beijing No. 2 Intermediate People's Court, where former Chinese journalist Dong Yuyu received his verdict for espionage charges, in Beijing, China Nov. 29, 2024.
    A pedestrian walks past Beijing No. 2 Intermediate People’s Court, where former Chinese journalist Dong Yuyu received his verdict for espionage charges, in Beijing, China Nov. 29, 2024.

    Dong, who joined the Guangming Daily in 1987 but never became a Communist Party member, had a reputation for liberal commentaries, and was a former contributor to The New York Times‘ online Chinese edition.

    His opinion pieces ranged from legal reform to social issues, and often advocated moderate reforms, but steered clear of direct criticisms of China’s leadership, including President Xi Jinping.

    Dong wrote in a 2013 book review that the official view of the 1966-76 Cultural Revolution downplayed the ruling Chinese Communist Party’s responsibility for the decade of political turmoil. The article was investigated by the paper in 2017, and labeled “anti-socialist.”

    A graduate of Peking University law school, Dong regularly met with diplomats from various embassies and other journalists, Reuters reported.

    A Nieman Fellow at Harvard University in 2007, Dong had also been a visiting scholar and visiting professor at Keio University and Hokkaido University in Japan.

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    Hideo Tarumi, the former Japanese ambassador to Beijing who left his post in December 2023 amid deteriorating bilateral ties, wrote in his memoir that the diplomat who met with Dong had presented his passport and work permits, informing the police that his detention had violated the Vienna Convention because it breached his diplomatic immunity.

    A man reads an issue of the Guangming Daily newspaper at a public display window in Beijing, China,  June 10, 2020.
    A man reads an issue of the Guangming Daily newspaper at a public display window in Beijing, China, June 10, 2020.

    Tarumi made an immediate protest to the foreign ministry, meeting with Assistant Foreign Minister Wu Jianghao, who told him that the meeting was “irregular.”

    Tarumi replied that Wu had misrepresented the meeting and objected strongly, with the support of the ambassadors of 13 other countries, according to his account. Eventually, the Japanese diplomat was released.

    Targeting Japanese diplomats

    A Beijing-based journalist who declined to be named said China intensified its surveillance of Japanese diplomatic missions following the incident, barring them from taking part in exchange activities as they normally would, and isolating them in their embassy and consulates.

    More than 700 journalists, academics and NGO workers have signed an online petition on Change.org calling for Dong’s release.

    Foreign diplomats, journalists and academics are now being scrutinized more closely by the Chinese authorities, and anyone who contacts them could potentially be accused of “espionage” in today’s political climate, the petition said.

    It said Chinese nationalists had called for the investigation of all former Nieman Fellows from China.

    The New York-based Committee to Protect Journalists condemned Dong’s sentence.

    “CPJ condemns the sentencing of Chinese journalist Dong Yuyu to seven years in prison on espionage charges on Friday,” the group said via its X account.

    “The verdict is a travesty of justice and Dong Yuyu must be reunited with his family immediately.”

    Foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning told a regular news briefing on Friday, when asked to comment on the sentence, that “Chinese judicial organs handle cases strictly in accordance with the law, and illegal and criminal activities will be investigated and prosecuted according to law.”

    Edited by Malcolm Foster.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Luisetta Mudie.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • The ruling Chinese Communist Party has placed Miao Hua, a high-ranking defense official, under investigation for “serious violations of discipline,” a phrase often used to denote an internal party corruption probe.

    “Miao Hua, member of the Central Military Commission and director of the Political Work Department of the Military Commission, is suspected of serious violations of discipline,” defense spokesperson Col. Wu Qian told a news conference in Beijing on Thursday.

    “After research by the Party Central Committee, it has been decided to suspend Miao Hua from his duties pending investigation,” Wu said.

    The announcement came a day after the Financial Times newspaper reported that Admiral Dong Jun, who was named as successor to Li Shangfu in December 2023 after Li was fired for corruption, was himself being investigated for graft.

    Wu dismissed the report on Thursday as “pure fabrication and rumor with ulterior motives.”

    “China does not accept such reports,” he said, but gave no further details of the investigation into Miao Hua.

    Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun attends the ASEAN China Defense Ministers' meeting in Vientiane, Laos, Wednesday, Nov. 20, 2024.
    Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun attends the ASEAN China Defense Ministers’ meeting in Vientiane, Laos, Wednesday, Nov. 20, 2024.

    Current affairs commentator Cai Shenkun said Miao was taken away for investigation on Nov. 9, adding that Dong Jun is his former subordinate.

    “Dong Jun was put forward [for defense minister] by Miao Hua, who recommended him to Xi Jinping,” Cai told RFA Mandarin in an interview on Thursday. “There was a lot of controversy over his appointment, because he had only ever served in the navy, and had never fought on the front line.”

    He said any corruption on Dong Jun’s part was unlikely to be serious.

    “He has never worked in a particularly lucrative department, and naval cadres don’t have that much power anyway,” Cai said.

    He said if Dong was assisting party investigators with their inquiry, it would like be in the role of Miao’s former subordinate, and that close associates of Miao could fall with him.

    Refused to meet Austin

    A former admiral and commander of the Chinese navy, Dong was appointed minister of national defense in December 2023, replacing Li Shangfu who was removed in October 2023 after just seven months in office.

    The last time Dong appeared in public was on Nov. 21 when he attended the ASEAN Defense Ministers’ Meeting-Plus in Vientiane, Laos.

    Miao Hua, right, China's director of the political affairs department of the Central Military Commission arrives at the Pyongyang Airport in Pyongyang, North Korea Monday, Oct. 14, 2019.
    Miao Hua, right, China’s director of the political affairs department of the Central Military Commission arrives at the Pyongyang Airport in Pyongyang, North Korea Monday, Oct. 14, 2019.

    While holding talks with the defense chiefs of New Zealand, India, and Malaysia, as well as the ASEAN secretary-general, Dong refused a meeting with U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin.

    Beijing blamed it on Washington for undermining China’s “core interests” by providing weapons to Taiwan.

    A native of Shandong province from where Xi’s wife Peng Liyuan also hails, Dong –- as well as his predecessor Li Shangfu -– was believed to be appointed by Xi.

    Yet Dong wasn’t promoted to the Central Military Commission, the top military leadership of the Communist Party, nor was he appointed to the State Council, or the national cabinet.

    In China, defense ministers are usually members of both those bodies and Dong’s non-appointment had raised questions about his position.

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    Former ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe were expelled from the Communist Party for “grave discipline violations” such as taking bribes and causing great damage to the images of the party and its senior leaders, according to official statements.

    Series of sackings

    The investigation into Miao follows a slew of sackings at the highest levels of the People’s Liberation Army in recent months.

    Just after Dong was appointed, China expelled nine military officials from its parliament, including three former commanders or vice commanders of the PLA Rocket Force, one former Air Force chief and one Navy commander responsible for the South China Sea.

    Analysts said they believed that the expulsions were related to the corruption over equipment procurement by the rocket force.

    But they also link the purges to ongoing dissent within the Chinese military about its readiness to stage an invasion of democratic Taiwan, which has said it has no wish to submit to “peaceful unification” under Beijing’s territorial claim on the island.

    An academic who gave only the surname Song for fear of reprisals said Xi’s enthusiasm for an invasion may not be shared by actual military commanders, who fear China may not win such a war.

    “Even if the current boss [Xi] wants to attack Taiwan and work with Putin to change the global order for a century to come, real soldiers and generals know whether or not such a war can be won,” Song said. “The actual military commanders are the ones who know whether their forces are up to the fight, and whether the morale is there.”

    China's then-Minister of National Defence Li Shangfu salutes the audience before delivering a speech during the 20th Shangri-La Dialogue summit in Singapore on June 4, 2023.
    China’s then-Minister of National Defence Li Shangfu salutes the audience before delivering a speech during the 20th Shangri-La Dialogue summit in Singapore on June 4, 2023.

    “The last two defense ministers, Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu, were removed because they knew it couldn’t be won, and mustn’t be fought,” he said. “That, I think, is the most important reason.”

    China froze top-level military talks and other dialogue with the U.S. in 2022 after then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi became the highest-ranking U.S. official in 25 years to visit Taiwan.

    The island has never been ruled by the Chinese Communist Party, nor formed part of the People’s Republic of China, and its 23 million people have no wish to give up their sovereignty or democratic way of life to be ruled by Beijing, according to recent opinion polls.

    China, which hasn’t ruled out an invasion to force reunification, was infuriated by the Pelosi visit and canceled military-to-military talks, including contacts between theater-level commanders.

    President Joe Biden persuaded his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, to resume contacts in November 2023, when they met on the sidelines of an APEC summit in Woodside, California.

    Translated by Luisetta Mudie. Edited by Malcolm Foster.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Qian Lang for RFA Mandarin.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • Three Americans who Washington says were wrongfully imprisoned in China have landed back on U.S. soil as part of a rare prisoner swap with Beijing, in a move analysts said could signal China’s willingness to do further deals with the incoming Trump administration.

    Mark Swidan, of Houston, Texas, Kai Li, of Long Island, New York, and John Leung, a permanent resident of Hong Kong, have been reunited with their families for the first time in years in time for Thanksgiving, Nov. 28 this year, ABC News reported.

    Secretary of State Antony Blinken said he spoke to Li, Leung and Swidan while they were en route back home.

    “I told them how glad I was that they were in good health and that they’ll soon be reunited with their loved ones,” Blinken said via his X account.

    While the State Department didn’t reveal more details about the deal, Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning confirmed that three Chinese citizens had also been returned.

    “Three Chinese citizens who were wrongly detained by the United States have returned to their motherland safely,” Mao told a regular news conference in Beijing on Thursday.

    “China has always firmly opposed the U.S.’s suppression and persecution of Chinese citizens for political purposes and will, as always, take necessary measures to firmly safeguard the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese citizens,” she said.

    Accused of spying

    Reports named one of the Chinese nationals as Xu Yanjun, an official in the Chinese Ministry of State Security who became the first Chinese spy to be extradited to the United States following his arrest in Belgium in 2018.

    A jury found Xu guilty in 2021 of attempting to steal designs for an engine fan from Ohio-based GE Aviation. Department of Justice officials said it was part of an organized effort by Beijing to “modernize” its own economy by stealing U.S. technology.

    The plane with three American citizens, Mark Swidan, Kai Li and John Leung, who were imprisoned for years by China, arrives at Joint Base San Antonio Lackland, in San Antonio, Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2024.
    The plane with three American citizens, Mark Swidan, Kai Li and John Leung, who were imprisoned for years by China, arrives at Joint Base San Antonio Lackland, in San Antonio, Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2024.

    Another was identified as Ji Chaojun, a former graduate student was sentenced in Chicago to eight years in prison for spying for China in January 2023, according to multiple media reports.

    Mao declined to identify the returned Chinese nationals, but said a “fugitive” from Chinese justice had also been returned to the custody of the Chinese authorities, warning that the ruling Communist Party would “continue to pursue fugitives … to the end.”

    Sending a signal?

    Yang Haiying, a professor at Japan’s Shizuoka University, said such prisoner exchanges are rare for China, and could be intended to send a signal to the incoming Trump administration.

    “Maybe China is trying to test Trump, whether he will want to do various kinds of deals with China in future,” Yang said, describing the swap as a form of “hostage trading.”

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    If that works, then maybe China and the United States can make bigger deals in future, including trade deals, political deals, and agreements on international issues like the South China Sea,” he said. “I think they are sending that signal.”

    Current affairs commentator Guo Min said the swap was undoubtedly in Beijing’s interest at this time.

    “China regards some of its people as so-called patriots for propaganda purposes, saying that the Chinese government has made great efforts to protect patriots and successfully returned them to China,” Guo said.

    “Everything the Chinese government does is based on political considerations,” he said.

    The U.S. State Department on Wednesday downgraded its travel advisory for China from Level 3 (reconsider travel) to Level 2 (exercise extreme caution).

    The advisory now warns U.S. citizens of the possibility of “arbitrary enforcement of local laws” in mainland China, Macau and Hong Kong, with the possibility of exit bans in mainland China.

    Translated by Luisetta Mudie. Edited by Malcolm Foster.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Qian Lang for RFA Mandarin.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • When it debuted at an air show in Zhuhai, China, earlier this month, the J-31 fighter plane made an impression.

    Produced by a Chinese aviation company, Shenyang, the new jet took more than a decade to build- and bears more than a passing resemblance a U.S. fighter, the F-35, made by Lockheed Martin.

    As the U.S. Air Force’s chief of staff, David Allvin, told Air & Space Forces Magazine, the similarities between the two aircraft were striking. Both models have silver-grey wings, a pointed nose and a smooth, slicked-back design. Though made in two different countries, they looked as if they came from the same factory. If you were to put the two jets side-by-side, said Allvin, you could practically see where they both “got their blueprints.”

    That in itself is an achievement for the Chinese military, which has for years struggled to compete with the U.S. military advances. Still, there are differences between the two aircraft.

    The Chinese-made J-31 is more svelte than the American jet—despite the fact that the Chinese model has two engines, while the U.S.-made F-35 has one.

    Chinese designers may have chosen to build their aircraft with two engines to give the jet more power, says Douglas Royce, a senior aircraft analyst with the Sandy Hook, Connecticut-based research company, Forecast International.

    But the design could have also been chosen for a more primitive reason: the second engine could serve as a backup in case of mission failure.

    “Maybe they have less faith in the reliability of the aircraft,” says Greg Malandrino, a former U.S. fighter pilot now at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments.

    Chinese pilots will have to make do with a smaller workspace than American F-35 pilots, according to Boyko Nikolov, the head of a media company Bulgarian Military. The U.S. fighter jet’s cockpit is cushier, roomier, with a bigger canopy, while the Chinese plane’s cockpit reflects “a more utilitarian approach to pilot ergonomics,” according to Nikolov.

    A Chinese J-35A fighter, top, and an American F-35.
    A Chinese J-35A fighter, top, and an American F-35.

    Malandrino, says he did not notice any significant differences in the design of the two cockpits. Besides, as he points out, the cockpit of a fighter jet, whether Chinese or American, is not known for comfort. The seat is designed to provide the pilot with a way out of a tricky situation.

    “You’re sitting on ejection seat,” he says. “It’s basically a rocket seat.”

    Others questioned whether the Chinese jet, however well-designed, is all that sneaky. According to aviation expert Dario Leone, the J-31 spits a lot of smoke from its exhaust pipe when it’s in the air, which could make it easier to detect the plane.

    But experts agree that the real power of a fighter jet lies in the overall strength of the military they serve. Says Forecast International’s Royce: “People are thinking about two jets operating in a dog fight. But in the real world, it depends on the entire combat system.”

    “Until the two countries fight, it’s just guesswork,” Royce says. “You really don’t know till the shooting starts.”


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Tara McKelvey.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • Orientation
    Situating my article

    Often the rise of China and the Middle East appears to many Westerners as something recent, maybe 30 years old. Before that? Is Western dominance beginning with the Greeks and Romans – right? Wrong, not even close! The rise of the East and the South has roughly a 1,300 year history of dominance from 500 CE to 1800 CE. What is happening in the East today is no “Eurasian Miracle”. With the wind of 1,300 years at its back, it is returning to its long historical prominence today.

    In two my recent articles, Neocon Realists and Global Neoliberals Dead on Arrival and The Myopia of Anglo Saxons Rulers, I attempted to show how narrow International Relations Theory is in its systematic exclusion of the Eastern and Southern parts of the world from its theoretical history. In his book The Eurocentric Conception of World Politics, John Hobson rightfully accuses the West of Eurocentrism, paternalism, and imperialism. But in an earlier book, The Eastern Origins of Western Civilization, he methodically shows how the West first depended on and then denied that Eastern and Southern civilizations were a source of most of their technological, scientific and cultural breakthroughs. This article is based on The Eastern Origins of Western Civilization.

     Western claims about their place in world history

    • Charles Martel’s victory over the Saracens at the battle of Tours and Poitiers 732 CE
    • Europe pioneers the medieval agricultural revolution 600-1000 CE
    • Italian pioneers long-distance trade and early capitalism. Italy the leading global power 1000 CE
    • European crusaders assert control over the Islamic Middle East Post 1095 CE
    • Italian Renaissance and scientific revolution 1400-1650 CE
    • China withdraws from the world, leaving a vacuum filled by Europeans 1434 CE
    • Guttenberg invents the movable metal-type printing press 1455 CE
    • Bartolomeu Diaz is the first to reach the Cape of Good Hope 1487-88 CE
    • European Age of Discovery and the emergence of early Western globalization Post 1492 CE
    • The Spanish plunder the gold and silver bullion of Indigenous Turtle Islanders post 1492 CE
    • Da Gama makes its first contact with “primitives” and isolate Indigenous people 1498 CE
    • The Europeans defeat the Asians and monopolize world trade 1498-1800 CE
    • European military revolution 1550-1660 CE
    • First industrial miracle happens in Britain 1700-1850 CE
    • British industrialization is the triumph of domestic or self-generated change 1700-1850 CE
    • Commodore Perry opens up isolated Tokugawa Japan 1853 CE
    • Meiji Japan industrializes by copying the West 1853 CE
    • Britain reverses its trade deficit with China in the 1820s CE
    • Opium wars and unequal treaties force open and rescue China’s “backward” economy 1839-1858 CE

    Stopping Eurocentric thinking in its tracks
    You might not suspect that European goods were considered inferior both in terms of quality and price by Easterners. Public health and clean water were more advanced in China than in Europe. By 1800, as much as 22% of the Japanese population were living in towns, a figure that exceeds Europe. Even as late as 1850, the Japanese standard of living was higher than that of the British. In conclusion,  Europe invented very little for themselves. The only genuine innovations that they made before the 18th century were the Archimedean screw, the crankshaft or camshaft and alcoholic distillation process.

    Countering the Eurocentric Myth of the Pristine West
    John M. Hobsons claims in his book The Eastern Origins of Western Civilisation are:

    • The West and the East have been fundamentally and consistently interlinked through globalization ever since 500 CE.
    • The East was more advanced than the West between 500-1800 CE. It wasn’t until 1800 that the West first caught up with and then surpassed China.
    • The East and South were not only not passive bystanders, but in the overwhelming number of cases, they were the initiator of technological, economic and even cultural change.
    • The West did initiate new inventions and ways of life but only beginning in the 19th century.
    • It was also in the 19th century that the West began its denial of Eastern and Southern influence.
    • This denial of pioneering role of  Western leadership in world history requires a revisionist history of virtually the whole world of the last 1500 years.

    Eurocentric Propaganda Maps
    Eurocentrism has multiple sides to its denial, neglect and outright lying about its place in world history. One piece of black propaganda can be seen is in the ways its maps are constructed. Hobson points out that on the realistic map, the actual landmass of the southern hemisphere is exactly twice that of the Northern hemisphere. And yet in the Mercator map the landmass of the North occupiers 2/3 of the landmass. Secondly, while Scandinavia is about a third of the size of India, they are accorded the same amount of space on a map. Lastly, Greenland appears almost twice the size of China even though the latter is almost four times the size of Greenland.

    Placement of National and Regional Formations in World History Textbooks
    I remember my textbooks on world history. While they might start with Africa and Asia, the chapters were relatively short. But as soon as we got to Europe there are long chapters on technology, economics, politics and philosophy. It might not be until the end of the book than the rest of the world is reintroduced again. It’s as if there was no interaction going on between the West and the rest of the world between the time of the Greeks and the 20th century.

    Orientalist and Patriarchal Construction of the West vs the East
    The West is presented as a dynamic, ingenious, proactive, rational, scientific disciplined, ordered, self-controlled, sensible, mind-oriented, scientific, paternal, independent, functional, free, democratic, tolerant, honest, civilized morally and economically progressive (capitalist), parsimonious, and individualistic.

    On the other hand, the East (China, India and the Middle East) and the South (mostly Africa) is conceived of as unchanging, imitative, ignorant, passive, irrational superstitiously ritualistic, lazy, chaotic, erratic, spontaneous, emotional, body-oriented, exotic, alluring and childlike. Furthermore they are dependent, dysfunctional, enslaved, despotic, and intolerant. They are presented as corrupt, barbaric, savages, who are morally regressive economically stagnant, indolent, cruel and collectivist. Ten Western social scientists from the 19th century down to the present have accepted these dualistic stereotypes. It is out of these extremely unjust characterizations that the myth of the pristine Western development was born.

    Hobson writes that there is no dualist more extreme in categorizing the East and West than Max Weber. See Table 1 below.

    Table 1  Max Weber’s Orientalist View of the East and the West

    Occident Modernity Orient tradition
    Rational public law Ad hoc private law
    Double entry bookkeeping Lack of rational accounting
    Free and independent cities Political/Administrative camps
    Independent urban bourgeoise State controlled merchants
    Rational bureaucracy Patrimonial despotic state
    Rational science Mysticism
    Protestant ethics and the emergence of the rational individual Repressive religions and the predominance of the collective
    Basic institutional constitutions of the West are fragmented civilizations with balance of social power between all groups and institutions Basic institutional constitution of the East is a unified civilization with no social balance between groups and institutions
    Multi-state system of nation-states Single state system – empires
    Separation of the public and private Fusion of public and private


    The Western Falsification of the World Before 1500 CE

    Furthermore, standard picture of the world before 1500 is presented by Eurocentrism as:

    • the world mired in stagnant tradition;
    • a fragmented world divided between insulated and backward regional and; civilizations governed by a despotic states, mainly of the East.

    This concept was consciously reconstructed by Eurocentric intellectuals in the 19th century so that first Venice and later Portugal, Spain, The Netherlands and Britain were represented as the leading global powers in the post 1000 period. Please see Table 2 for Hobson’s rebuttals

    Table 2 The Status of World Civilizations before 1500

    Eurocentric Myths Hobson’s Rebuttals
    Major regional civilizations were insulated from each other Persians, Arabs, Africans Jews, Indians and Chinese created and maintained a global economy
    Political costs were too high to allow global trade Globalization in the East was a midwife if not the mother of the Medieval and Modern West
    There was an absence of capitalist institutions
    credit, money changes, banks, contract laws
    There was plenty of commercial activity among Muslims and Chinese before 1500
    Transport technologies were too crude to be effective Use of camels 300-500 was more cost effective than horses
    Trade in the East was only in luxury goods Mass consumer products in China and the Middle East. Africans imported beads cowries, copper and copper goods, grain, fruits and raisons, wheat and later on, textiles which were mass-based goods, not luxuries
    Global flows were too slow to be of consequence Transcontinental trade pioneered by Islamic merchants reached from China to the Mediterranean
    Global processes were not robust enough to have a major reorganizational impact The rise of Tang China (618-907), the Islamic empire (661-1258) and North Africa 909-1171) were plenty robust
    There was no iron production in the world prior to the British Muslims dominate the Europeans in iron production and in steel production until the 18th century. China as well

    The Eastern Origins of Western Civilization
    Middle Ages and the Islamic state
    We are now in a position to compare the Western claims of civilization and what happened when the East and South are given their due. First, much greater than the victory of Charles Martel, between 751-1453 there was the Arab victory in the Battle of Talas which established Islamic domination in West Central Asia. In addition, the Ottoman Turks took over Constantinople in 1453. Nine hundred years before the Europeans developed an agricultural revolution, the Chinese pioneered many technologies that enabled the European agricultural revolution of the 18th and 19th centuries.

    There was no comparison between the primitive and hopeless agriculture of Europe before the 18th century and the advanced agriculture of China after the 4th century BCE (57)

    Technology of the agricultural revolution

    The basic technological ingredients of the medieval agricultural revolution were:

    • watermills;
    • windmills;
    • heavy moldboard plough which created drainage furrows;
    • new animal harnesses; and
    • iron horseshoes.

    Contrary to Eurocentric historians, none of these technological innovations were pioneered by Europeans. Either it was diffused to the West by the East, or Westerners innovated after the Eastern raw materials made them available. For example, Hobson tells us the plough entered Eastern Europe through the East from Siberia in the 9th century. The collar harness was clearly pioneered by the Chinese in the 3rd century CE. The invention of the stirrup really came from India in the late 2nd century and the Chinese bronze and cast-iron stirrup in the 3rd century. Other inventions adapted from China included the rotary winnowing machine and seed drills. Some of the revolutionary rotational crops used by the British in the 18th century were being used by the Chinese some 12 centuries earlier.

    Italian Trade
    Hobson’s central claim is that virtually all the major innovations that lay behind the development of Italian capitalism were derived from the more advanced East, especially the Middle East and China. The Italians might have been pioneers of long-distance trade that established merchant capitalism in Europe, but not on a world scale. The Italians were late arrivals to an Afro-Asian led global economy. The globalization enabled the diffusion of Eastern inventions to enable the development of a backward West. Neither did the European Crusades assert control over the Islamic Middle East. They remained dependent on the Islamic Middle East as well as Egypt. One last point about the Italians. Six-hundred years before the Italian Renaissance of 1400-1650 there was an Eastern and Islamic Renaissance which was the foundation for not only the Western Renaissance, but the scientific revolution of the 17th century.

    Eastern origins of the financial revolution
    Italians did not invent the bills of exchange, credit institutions, insurance and banking. Sumerians and Sassanids were using banks, bills of exchange and checks before the advent of Islam, although it was the Muslims who took these early beginnings the furthest. In the West, single entry bookkeeping was the most widespread use right down to the end of the 19th century. The Italian traders only began to use mathematics to replace the old abacus system once the Pisan merchant Fibonacci relayed eastern knowledge in 1202.

    The Eastern Renaissance
    Arab scholars drew heavily on Persian and Indian as well as Chinese sources on medicine, mathematics philosophy theology, literature, and poetry that lay the foundation for the Italian Renaissance. It’s true that Leonardo Fibonacci, wrote a book rejecting the old abacus system in favor of the new Hindu-Arabic system. However, by the beginning of the 10th century all six of the classical trigonometric functions had been defined and tabulated by Muslim mathematicians. Ibn al-Shatir of the Maragha school develop a series of mathematical models which were almost the same as those developed 150 years later by Copernicus in his heliocentric theory of the heavens.

    The Eastern origins of the navigational revolution
    The foundation of the navigational revolution was the astrolabe and mariners’ compass. The compass could be used even in cloudy weather when the stars were covered. These breakthroughs allowed Europeans to take to the oceans. However, most of them were invented and all were refined in the East. It was the Muslims who undertook all the major innovations.

    Qualification about Italy
    This is not to say that Italy was unimportant to the fortunes of European commerce. However, Venice prevailed over its rival Genoa not because of its so-called ingenuity but because of its lucrative access to the East via Egypt and the Middle East. Italians played a vitally important role in spreading commercialization through Christendom (not the world). According to Hobson, the belief that Italy was important or the development of Europe in the medieval period seems reasonable. But the notion that Italians pioneered these inventions is a myth

    The myth of the European Age of Discovery
    When we examine the so-called European Age of Discovery we find that  that over 1,000 years before Bartolomeu Diaz circled the Cape of Good Hope the Arabs sailed around the Cape and into Europe. The Chinese did so in the 9th century and in the third century the “primitive” Polynesians and Indians sailed to the Cape and the East Coast of Africa.

    Chinese ships were striking in both their size and quantity. In the 8th century some 2,000 ships were working on the Yangtze.  It can be safely said that the Chinese were the greatest sailors in history. For nearly two millennium they had ships and sailing techniques far in advance of the rest of the world that comparisons are embarrassing. (58)

    As for the Portuguese, they borrowed Islamic innovations in mathematics in order to work out latitude, a longitude relying on the Islamic tables developed by an 11th century Muslim astronomer. The European age or the “Vasco da Gama epoch of Asia” turns out to be retrospective Eurocentric wishful thinking

    The myth of Spanish gold ruling the world
    As for the globalization of the economy in the 15th century, one thousand years ago, the Afro-Asian age expanded to a globalized market while not choosing to initiate imperialism. In the late 15th century, the Spanish plundered New World civilizations for their gold and silver. But 40 years before this, the Chinese initiated a silver currency and provided a strong demand for European silver.

    India was not isolated
    It is said that Vasco Da Gama made the first contact with Indian civilization which is presented as isolated. However, John Hobson tells us India was not isolated but had trading contact with the rest of Eurasia. In fact, Indians were economically superior to their Portuguese discoverers. Furthermore, the Chinese, Indian, Islamic and maybe Black African science and technology provided the basis for Portuguese ships and navigation.

    China and the Ming Dynasty

    When we turn to China, we hear the common claim that China withdrew in 1434, inexplicitly renouncing an opportunity to compete with Western imperialism. Supposedly they left a gap which the West filled.  But the truth is China maintained its power as a world trader all the way from 1434 to well into the 19th century (1840). Hobson tells us that:

     The original documents were distorted by the Chinese state in an attempt at being seen as maintaining a Confucius-like isolationist ideal. It was clear that one way or another Chinese merchants continued their extremely lucrative trading with or without official sanctioning. Many European scholars had been therefore easily seduced by the rhetoric of the Chinese state. (63,70)

    One typical myth of Chinese  state was that in true oriental despotic form, they crushed all capitalist activities. The reality is that the system was simply too large and the state too weak to be able to set up a command economy. The second myth is that the Ming state only dealt with luxury commodities. The truth, according to Hobson is that the majority of textiles produced in India were aimed at mass markets.

    Hobson says half the world was in China’s grip. China could have had the greatest colonial power 100 years before the great age of European exploration. They simply were not interested in imperialism (nor are they today). China was the most powerful economy between 1100 to 1800/1840.  Even as late as roughly 1800-1850, Chinese population growth rates increased at a phenomenal rate and would only be matched by Britain after its industrialization.

    China and the printing press
    As for the Gutenberg printing press and the movable mental type printing press, the Chinese had this by 1095. In addition, the Koreans invented the first metal type thirty years before the Guttenberg press. By the end of the 15th century, the Chinese published more books than all the other countries combined. Even as early as 978, one of the Chinese libraries contained 80,000 volumes. It was exceeded by the holdings of some of the major Islamic libraries. It was only in the 19th century that the European printing press became faster than its Asian counterparts.

    Myth of European pioneering of a military revolution
    Before the military revolution, swords, lances, mace and cross-bows were used in warfare. These were replaced by gunpowder, guns and cannons. Much has been made about the European military revolution between 1550 and 1660. But at most, 700 years before this between 850-1290, the Chinese developed all three that underly that military revolution. While the Europeans eventually took these military technologies further, (certainly by the 19th century) the fact remains that without the available advances from the East, there would have been nothing to have been taken further. It was the Jesuits who persuaded Europeans to face the fact that gunpowder, the compass, paper and printing all were invented in China.

    England drug-dealing opium
    Lastly we turn to the relationship between the British and the Chinese. Up until 1820, the Chinese matched the British industrially and it was the British who had a trade deficit. Eurocentric historians congratulate the British in reversing its trade imbalance, not bothering to mention the way they did that was by pushing opium. Even radicals like Marx and Engels looked the other way when the British “opened up” China, rescuing it, according to Marx and Engels, from Oriental despotism. There is a slight problem according to Hobson. Since as far back as 850 China has been open to world trade and achieved great economic progress long before the British had any industrialization of comparative commercial relations.

    Respect for China until the 19th century
    Many Enlightenment thinkers positively associated with China and its ideas including Montaigne, Leibniz, Voltaire, Wolf, Quesnay, Hume and Adam Smith. Voltaire’s book in 1756 has been described as the perfect compendium of all the positive feeling of the time in Europe about the Far East. Martin Bernal reminds us that no European of the 18th century (before 1780) could claim that Europe had created itself.

    Britain as a late developer of the industrial revolution
    For Eurocentric historians, the British genius was responsible for the industrial revolution unaided by anyone else, non-Europeans especially. But almost 2,000 years earlier, the Chinese had developed industry.

    The first cast-iron object dated from 513 BCE. Steel was being produced by the 2nd century BCE. China produced 13,500 tons of iron in 806, some 90,400 tons by 1064 and as many as 125,000 by 1078. Even as late as 1788 Britain was producing only 76,000. Chinese iron was not confined to weapons and decorative art but to tools and production. All this was made possible by the breakthroughs in smelting… and the use of blast furnaces. It was the assimilation of what the Chinese had built that made possible  the industrial revolution in Britain. Further, the industrialization process was made possible not by some independent British know-how but through the exploitation of multiple African resources. (51-53)

    The steam engine, pride of the British industrial revolution, was antedated by the Chinese as early as 1313 CE. The cotton industry, Hobson says, was the pacemaker of British industrialization. But here too, the cotton industry first found its home in both China and India centuries earlier.

    Japan industrialized before England
    When we turn to Japan, we find that Eurocentric historians agree that the Meiji empire underwent a powerful industrialization process, but they imagine that the process happened late, after 1853. Furthermore, it was only through Commodore Perry “opening up” the isolated Tokugawa Japan that industrialization began. But little did they know that Tokugawa Japan was tied to the global economy ever since 1603! Independent Tokugawa development provided a starting point for the subsequent Meiji industrialization. In other words, Japan was an early developer of industry, even before the industrial revolution in Britain.

    English Racist Identity in Justifying Imperialism

    In my article The Myopia of Anglo-American Rulers I went into great detail about the Eurocentrism, paternalism and racism that is involved in Western international relations theory. This described how Westerners convinced themselves of their superiority over the East and South. I will just briefly add George Fredrickson’s two kinds of racism, implicit and explicit in the eightieth and 19th centuries. Implicit racism occurs in the 18th and first half of the 19th centuries. Its foundation was cultural, institutional and environmental. People were not conscious of practicing it and their way of expressing imperialism was to imagine they were on a civilizing mission. They had a “Peter Pan” theory of East as childlike, alluring and exotic.

    In Britain after 1840 there was a new kind of racism which Fredrickson called explicit. Here the criteria for this “scientific” racism was genetic or physical characteristics of the Easterners and Southern civilizations. This racism was overt and conscious, and the superiority of the West was understood as permanent. Their ways of justifying imperialism were a mixture of optimism and pessimism. It was optimistic in its Social Darwinist mentality of subjugation at the hands of the superior British. However, it was also pessimistic because the English feared contact with other races might contaminate the Westerners.

    Evolution of Western Identity 500 CE to 1900 CE
    Westerners also divided societies into civilized (British, Germany) barbaric (China, India, Japan) and  savage (Africa). Each type had a skin color, temperament, religion, climatic character, type of government, self, manner of thinking, ontogenesis, social and political legitimizing and social pathology.

    Table 3  The Construction and Consequences of Western Identity

    Time period Western Identity Eastern and Southern Projections Western Appropriation Strategies
    500-1453 Constructed as Christendom Hostile and evil threat
    Islamic Middle East and Persia
    Attacking Islam through the first round of the Crusades
    1453- 1780 Increasingly as the
    advanced West
    Ottoman Turk as hostile and barbaric threat Attacking Islam through the second Crusades initiated by da Gama, Columbus
    Africans and indigenous Americans considered as pagans or savages ripe for exploitation and repression Appropriating bullion and circulating through global silver recycling process
    Slave trading and commodification of labor
    1780- 1900 Superior and carrier of advanced civilization Either inferior or evil savages or barbarians Slave trading in Britain and US
    Appropriation of Asian and African land, labor and markets through formal and informal imperialism

    How Than Did Contingency Enable The Rise of the Oriental West?
    The prominent anti-Eurocentric scholars Kenneth Pomeranz and James Blaut emphasize contingency (the fortuitous accident) as the critical factor in the rise of the West. The West was lucky that:

    • The more powerful Eastern societies did not seek to colonize Europe.
    • The Mongols turned to China – not Europe.
    • Mongols delivered both goods and Eastern resources.
    • The Muslims were not interested in conquering Western Europe.
    • The Spanish stumbled on the Americas where gold and silver lay in abundance.
    • The Native Americans had inadequate immune systems.
    • African slaves had adequate immune systems.
    • The East Indian company happened to be in India at a time when the Mughal polity began to disintegrate of its own accord

    Conclusion
    I began this article by situating it within two previous articles I wrote showing how narrow International Relations Theory is cross-culturally in the exclusion of the Eastern and Southern civilizations from its theoretical understanding of world events. Embedded in this theory was Eurocentrism, paternalism, racism and imperialism. In this article, thanks to John M. Hobson’s book Eastern Origins of Western Civilization I show how in 19 areas of its history Western claims to superiority and leadership in relationship to science, technology, world trade, military weaponry, industry the West was dependent on the East from the 5th to the 19th centuries. It only clearly took the lead around 1840.

    So how did the West first deny its dependency and then insist on its superiority over the civilizations it once depended on? I begin by pointing out how on a microlevel its propaganda can be experienced in the areas of map-making and textbook construction. I name Max Weber as the historian with the most extreme hostility to the East and South in his study of Eastern and Western civilizations. I identify eight European myths about the status of world civilizations at the dawn of the modern West, 1500 CE. I then comb through the West’s dependency on Islamic, Chinese, Indian and African civilizations from 500 to 1900 BCE. I close my article by showing the extent to which the West did become more powerful was based on luck more than skill.

    So what does this have to do with the world today? It has been clear to me through my study of political economists and world historians that the West has been in decline since the mid 1970s and as China, Russia and Iran are rising along with BRICS. My article attempts to show that the rise of the West has not been a glorious 500 year trek, beginning with the Renaissance or two thousand year triumph beginning with Greeks. It has been a short 130-year history which is ending. The rise of the East and the South has roughly a 1,300 year history with the wind at its back and is returning to its long historical prominence today.

    The post Ungrateful Lying Upstarts first appeared on Dissident Voice.

    This post was originally published on Dissident Voice.

  • GlobalFoundries, a New York-based company, is the world’s third largest maker of semiconductor chips. It landed in hot water this month when U.S. authorities fined it $500,000 for selling its products to SJ Semiconductor, a Chinese company that can be found on a growing list of firms deemed a national security threat.

    Known unofficially as “America’s blacklist,” this catalog of over a thousand companies is maintained by the Bureau of Industry and Security, a division of the Commerce Department. Officially called the Entity List, it dates back decades and includes firms that are part of China’s military industrial complex. Companies from other countries like Iran and Russia are also on the list, but Chinese companies have the highest representation.

    U.S. businesses have to obtain a special license in order to trade with these companies.

    New firms are added regularly.

    Why are Chinese companies a focus on the blacklist?

    China has one of the most robust economies in the world and is attempting to modernize their military, the People’s Liberation Army, on air, land and sea. U.S. officials believe that China has been expanding their military in recent years in order to achieve dominance over the United States and gain an edge over its armed forces.

    Buying U.S. products helps Chinese manufacturers make weapons and develop technology, Western experts say. “China’s basically using these civilian companies to bolster its military,” says University of Tennessee’s Vasabjit Banerjee, coauthor of an October 2022 Foreign Affairs article, “The Coming Chinese Weapons Boom.”

    Chinese officials counter that they are promoting international cooperation through trade, not trying to dominate others with it.

    “The Chinese side has all along firmly opposed the U.S.’ arbitrary use of [the] ‘Entity List,’ as well as other export control instruments, to suppress Chinese companies,” Liu Pengyu, a spokesperson at the Chinese embassy in Washington, told RFA. “We urge the US side to stop using national security as a catch-all phrase to politicize and weaponize trade issues.”

    What happens when a company gets “blacklisted”?

    Companies can get added to the Entity List when employees at federal agencies such as State, Energy or Homeland Security draw up a request to consider whether a foreign company should be added. They explain why they believe the firm poses a threat to national security and then submit their request to a group known as the End-User Review Committee. Members of the committee evaluate the request and then vote. If a majority agrees that a company poses a threat, then it’s added. There are currently more than 1,100 companies on the list. China has the most entries.

    A drone made by sanctioned Chinese company DJI is seen in 2023.
    A drone made by sanctioned Chinese company DJI is seen in 2023.

    Those in the U.S who try to secretly export goods may be punished. The penalties may range from hefty fines to imprisonment.

    A smaller, more recently formed list known as the UFLPA Entity List is maintained by the Department of Homeland Security and blacklists Chinese companies that use Uyghur forced labor, but this is separate to the better-known Commerce blacklist.

    Does it work?

    Once a company is placed on the Entity List, most U.S. business owners steer clear of them. This makes it harder for the foreign company to get new parts to build weapons and develop advanced military technology. And so, experts say, the list is working.

    Being put on the list is “a huge red flag,” says Craig Phildius, a former official with the bureau who now works for a Washington-based group, Export Controls and Sanctions Advisors. “A lot of companies will simply not do business with them.”

    But there are clear limitations. Chinese manufacturers can circumvent the U.S.-imposed restrictions by buying products from other countries, or just make the parts themselves.

    “China is simply too big for the West to actually hope to stop it from developing technologically,” says Sam Perlo-Freeman, a research coordinator at a London-based nonprofit, Campaign Against Arms Trade.

    One recent study shows that blacklisted Chinese firms invest more in their own research. Firms placed on the list increase their investment in research and development by 16 percent on average, the study authors said.

    What has China done in response to the blacklist?

    Chinese officials have established their own mechanism for controlling exports of valuable resources. Last year, they imposed restrictions on sales of a chemical element, gallium, used to make computer chips. Chinese officials say they have taken these steps in order to ensure their own national security.

    China's President Xi Jinping speaks during a meeting with President Joe Biden on the sidelines of the APEC Summit in Lima, Peru, Nov. 16, 2024.
    China’s President Xi Jinping speaks during a meeting with President Joe Biden on the sidelines of the APEC Summit in Lima, Peru, Nov. 16, 2024.

    In early November, China’s Ministry of State Security officials said they had blocked an attempt to smuggle a bottle of gallium out of the country.

    People in Washington and Beijing are waiting to see whether the list gets longer or shorter in the coming year. The newly elected president, Donald Trump, will take office in January, and he’s promised big changes.

    Still, Trump has spoken out forcefully against China. Says Phildius: “I think he will—for lack of a better word—keep the screws tightened.”


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Tara McKelvey.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • China’s Communist Party is stepping up the use of big data to predict people’s behavior in a bid to identify “social risks” and prevent violent attacks on members of the public in the wake of the car killings in Zhuhai earlier this month.

    “We should … deeply tap into the rich seams of political and legal data, strengthen data identification, screening, analysis and evaluation, and find ways to capture and identify risks and hidden dangers,” party law enforcement czar Ting Bai told officials on a recent inspection tour in the eastern province of Zhejiang, according to official reports.

    Citing President Xi Jinping’s instructions to officials in the wake of the Nov. 11 fatal vehicle attack that left 35 dead in Zhuhai, Ting said the authorities should start responding to potential threats with preventive action “in a graded and classified manner.”

    “[We must] improve our ability to make accurate predictions, precise warnings, and precise preventive measures,” he said in comments reported by the Supreme People’s Procuratorate, China’s state prosecutor.

    China is reeling in the wake of a number of attacks on members of the public in recent weeks, including a fatal car attack at a stadium in the southern port city of Zhuhai this month that left 35 people dead and dozens more injured.

    Since then, further violence has been making the headlines, including a fatal college stabbing and a car attack on students at a primary school in Hunan province.

    Authorities in southern China are already sending local officials and volunteers to intervene in people’s marital troubles and to mediate disputes between neighbors in the wake of the fatal car ramming in the grounds of a Zhuhai sports stadium by a 62-year-old man surnamed Fan who was reportedly angered over a divorce settlement.

    Analyzing big data

    Now, local officials are being encouraged to set up systems that analyse huge amounts of big data to warn them of potential social tensions and disgruntlement, so they can try to intervene before such crimes are committed.

    Local governments are expected to build “comprehensive governance centers,” Ting said.

    A man breaks a car's window following a vehicle collision outside a primary school in Changde, Hunan province, China. Nov. 11, 2024.
    A man breaks a car’s window following a vehicle collision outside a primary school in Changde, Hunan province, China. Nov. 11, 2024.

    Local officials, who have at their disposal an army of paid “grid workers,” local militias and unpaid volunteers, have been told to “make the work of security and stability maintenance their top priority.”

    Public Security Minister Wang Xiaohong also told officials in the northeastern province of Liaoning last week that they should be using big data to help “proactively warn of risks.”

    Kung Hsiang-sheng, associate researcher at Taiwan’s Institute for National Defense and Security Research, said such systems are extremely hard to implement in real life, however.

    “Internet censors already filter and delete politically sensitive posts, but they have little ability to monitor happenings on the ground,” Kung said.

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    “The only way they would be able to prevent and detect such crimes is if the person announced they were planning to kill people in a school or on the street in advance, say in an online forum,” he said.

    He said there is unlikely to be much prior warning of such crimes online.

    “They can’t investigate anyone who sounds disgruntled on the internet,” Kung said. “It’s much harder to use technology to prevent crimes … that are carried out with no prior online warning.”

    ‘Dissatisfaction and unrest’

    Chiang Ya-chyi, professor of law and politics at Taiwan’s Ocean University, said there is plenty of big data available these days in China, however.

    “China uses big data to monitor people’s every word and move on the internet,” Chiang said. “But there are still limitations, even under comprehensive monitoring.”

    “If they strengthen the analysis of big data, they’ll need to invest more in manpower,” she said. “Are they going to trace and prevent any possible flashpoints of dissatisfaction and unrest, one at a time?”

    She said the main cause of dissatisfaction in China is the economic downturn and the lack of say ordinary people have in their own lives.

    A man looks at people walking along a shopping centre in Wuhan, in China’s central Hubei province on Jan. 1, 2021.
    A man looks at people walking along a shopping centre in Wuhan, in China’s central Hubei province on Jan. 1, 2021.

    She said social pressures would continue to build if the basic problem wasn’t addressed by the government.

    Chinese dissident Gong Yujian, who now lives in Taiwan, agreed.

    Gong said most people in China are “lying flat” and waiting out the economic downturn and increasingly autocratic governance under Xi Jinping, amid a major collapse of public confidence in the regime.

    “When this confidence collapses, everyone from the lowest rungs to the middle class, outside the party and within the party, from intellectuals to entrepreneurs, ordinary civil servants to senior officials start to feel anxious, and see no hope for their personal future or their country’s,” Gong said.

    “They leave, either by sneaking across the border or emigrating; those who can’t get out are forced to praise Xi Jinping,” he said. “Either that or they lie low, or even more extreme, they start hurting each other to demonstrate their loyalty.”

    He said high-tech monitoring in the style of George Orwell’s dystopian novel 1984, won’t address these issues.

    “As for using high-tech methods to create a 1984 situation where there are no blind spots in society, China under Xi Jinping’s rule already has that, yet they’re still unable to prevent vicious incidents [like the Zhuhai attack].”

    Translated by Luisetta Mudie. Edited by Malcolm Foster


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Hsia Hsiao-hwa for RFA Mandarin.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • Taiwan urged China on Thursday not to overreact to President Lai Ching-te’s upcoming trip to three diplomatic allies in the Pacific, but the island’s foreign minister did not comment on media reports that Lai would also stop off in Hawaii and the U.S. territory of Guam.

    Lai sets off on Saturday for visits to the Marshall Islands, Tuvalu and Palau, his first overseas trip since taking office on May 20.

    “We call on Beijing not to use the long-standing practice [of Taiwan’s presidents traveling overseas] as a pretense to overreact, for example, by holding military exercises that risk destabilizing cross-strait relations,” Taiwan’s Central News Agency cited Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung telling lawmakers.

    Lin’s remarks came after the Reuters news agency on Wednesday reported that China would likely launch military drills near the island, using Lai’s upcoming trip to the Pacific and a possible U.S. transit as a pretext, citing regional security officials.

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    China views Taiwan as its territory and it objects to any country or international organization treating the island as a separate state.

    In particular, China objects to visits to the United States by Taiwan’s leaders, and to visits by U.S. officials to Taiwan.

    China froze top-level military talks and other dialogue with the U.S. in 2022 after then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi became the highest-ranking U.S. official in 25 years to visit self-government Taiwan.

    China also launched intensive military exercises around Taiwan after Pelosi’s visit and has held frequent drills in the air and seas around the island since then.

    Beijing has over the years successfully swayed several of Taipei’s diplomatic allies to shift their recognition to China. As of Nov. 28, only 12 countries maintained official diplomatic relations with Taiwan.

    Taiwan’s foreign minister declined to say if Lai would transit through Hawaii or Guam, but he said Presidential Office would make an announcement when the time was right, CNA reported.

    Edited by Taejun Kang.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by RFA Staff.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • WASHINGTON – Donald Trump has made no secret of his plans to hit China with massive tariffs. The only question is how much exactly.

    Calling tariffs “the most beautiful word in the dictionary,” the president-elect threatened during the 2024 election campaign to hit Chinese imports with tariffs of “more than” 60%, effectively slamming the brakes on trade between the world’s two biggest economies.

    On Monday, he said that whatever rate was ultimately levied, there would be an extra 10% tariff on top of that to punish Beijing for continued outflows of precursors for the synthetic opioid fentanyl, which U.S. authorities say is killing around 75,000 Americans a year.

    All that suggests that the U.S.-China relationship looks set under the second Trump presidency to become increasingly dominated by a grand rebalancing of trade ties, experts told Radio Free Asia.

    Women pass by a display board showing Chinese stock market movements on the U.S. presidential election day, in Beijing. 
 (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
    Women pass by a display board showing Chinese stock market movements on the U.S. presidential election day, in Beijing.
    (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)

    In many ways, they said, things will pick right up from where Trump left them in January 2021, having hit China with some $50 billion worth of tariffs, which the Biden administration has since declined to roll back.

    Yet things may be a lot different this time.

    Trump tariffs 2.0

    Beijing now has nearly a decade of experience in dealing with trade pressure from the United States, said Shanghai-based Han Lin, the China country director for the Asia Group business consultancy.

    While the world’s second-biggest economy was looking to increased exports as its ticket out of slumping growth, he said, Chinese economic officials also now have experience with retaliatory measures and knowledge of how best to hit back at aggressive U.S. policies.

    “China is better prepared now than during Trump 1.0,” Han told RFA. “It has a wider range of carrot-and-stick trade responses, but the ever-present need for foreign investment may calibrate their behavior to send a message of strength without unnecessary escalation.”

    President Donald Trump waves during joint statements with China's President Xi Jinping at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, Nov. 9, 2017.
    President Donald Trump waves during joint statements with China’s President Xi Jinping at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, Nov. 9, 2017.

    A likely response from Beijing, he explained, would be to let the Chinese yuan “drift weaker,” so the exchange rate with the U.S. dollar makes Chinese goods more competitive for American buyers without directly needing to confront Trump or spark a tit-for-tat trade war.

    “This will help offset the impact of U.S. tariffs on China exporters,” he said, noting they would “inevitably” get requests to lower their prices from American importers looking to avoid their own revenue losses.

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    But it’s not even clear yet how much damage control will be needed.

    Zhiwu Chen, a professor of finance at the University of Hong Kong, said China’s leadership likely saw Trump’s campaign threats of 60% tariffs as more of a “negotiating tactic” than a solid policy promise.

    From Beijing’s view, he said, the final tariff rate was likely to be lower – especially if China agrees to buy more American exports like agricultural goods or oil, thereby mitigating the U.S. current account deficit.

    “What the leadership in Beijing learned from Trump 1.0 is that he is for real and transactional, kind of like an open book, so they may prefer his style, though they don’t like his bare-knuckle style,” Chen said, adding he believed trade ties could even “warm up somewhat in 2025.”

    Soybeans are harvested from a field on Hodgen Farm in Roachdale, Indiana, Nov. 8, 2019.
    Soybeans are harvested from a field on Hodgen Farm in Roachdale, Indiana, Nov. 8, 2019.

    Trump ally Elon Musk would be a key dissenting voice in the White House, he explained, and would advocate against a total decoupling with the Chinese market, given his extensive business ties there.

    “Elon Musk can be counted on to temper that push as Tesla depends so much on the China market,” Chen told Radio Free Asia.

    The art of the deal

    Others are less convinced that the author of the “The Art of the Deal” is necessarily so focussed this time on striking a deal with Beijing.

    Tao Wang, the Hong Kong-based chief China economist at the UBS Investment Bank, noted that China’s government would not blush at the idea of negotiating with Trump to find a new status quo.

    “I think the Chinese government would be very open to having a deal,” Wang at a Nov. 20 event at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. “It’s just not really clear to me what Trump would want.”

    “Last time, he said he’s the great salesperson – he wants to sell more soybeans, and LNG, and all these American products,” she said. “Now he seems to want something different: He wants fiscal revenue from tariffs, and he wants to bring manufacturing back to the U.S.”

    On the campaign trail and in his debate with Vice President Kamala Harris on Sept. 10, Trump touted the fiscal revenue a 60% tariff on Chinese imports would generate, arguing that the funds paid by Chinese importers could even offset tax cuts for Americans.

    A Ford Explorer SUV is displayed at the China International Import Expo in Shanghai, China. (Reuters/Nicoco Chan)
    A Ford Explorer SUV is displayed at the China International Import Expo in Shanghai, China. (Reuters/Nicoco Chan)

    Still, even if Trump is serious about the 60% Chinese tariff rate, the practicalities of governing could temper his plans once in office.

    At the same Nov. 20 event, Mary E. Lovely, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, said that the campaign pledges of tariffs on China would be the easy part for Trump.

    When so many basic goods used by American consumers and businesses come from inexpensive Chinese sources, she argued, implementing the tariffs without fanning inflation would be the hard part.

    Economists warn that the tariffs on China will accelerate inflation just as the U.S. economy is recovering from an extended bout of surging prices.

    “I don’t think anyone really knows how realistic his team has been about alternative sources,” Lovely said, explaining that the current White House had been struggling to diversify U.S. supply chains.

    “We saw that in the Biden administration, where there was effort to create alternatives. They really didn’t make a whole lot of progress,” she said. “This is a really difficult problem. I’m afraid we don’t know if the new team has really faced up to how difficult it is going to be.”

    Dear leader

    One thing seems clear though, and that’s that the U.S.-China relationship will increasingly be defined by the personal relationship between Xi and Trump, who in his first term variously expressed both admiration and disdain for China’s authoritarian leader.

    “President Trump will probably want to engage directly with President Xi, and the leader-to-leader level interaction will color and inform the agenda and the tone of the relationship going forward,” said Ryan Hass, the director of the Brookings Institution’s John L. Thornton China Center, at an event hosted by the think tank on Friday.

    The Biden administration struggled to ignite talks between lower-level U.S. and Chinese officials. Bilateral tensions saw many Chinese officials – even the defense minister – ignore overtures from their U.S. counterparts, fearing the consequences of appearing too friendly.

    After Biden and Xi’s high-profile summit in San Francisco last November, though, cooperation at the lower levels was resumed.

    An employee works on solar photovoltaic modules for export at a factory in Sihong, in eastern China's Jiangsu province.
    An employee works on solar photovoltaic modules for export at a factory in Sihong, in eastern China’s Jiangsu province.

    Still, Hass cautioned that Trump would not have absolute power in his dealmaking with Xi. Pressure would remain on him to maintain close alliances with allies like Taiwan, South Korea and Japan, he said.

    “President Trump is not Kim Jong Un: He does not decide by fiat what the United States is, or where the United States is going,” Hass said, noting Trump was now “elderly” and “in his final term” as president.

    He pointed to Rep. Matt Gaetz’s decision last week – apparently forced by Trump – to step aside as the nominee for attorney-general amid private opposition even from Trump-allied Senate Republicans.

    “I mention that because President Trump’s views on alliances are also out-of-sync with the views of many members of Congress related to alliances,” Hass said, listing Senators Bill Haggerty, Jim Risch, Dan Sullivan and Marco Rubio, Trump’s pick for secretary of state.

    “These are all Republicans who feel very strongly about the importance of alliances,” he said, “so I encourage us to keep that front of mind.”

    Edited by Malcolm Foster.

    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Alex Willemyns.

  • China’s defense minister Dong Jun has been placed under investigation for alleged graft, British daily Financial Times reported on Wednesday, quoting U.S. sources.

    If confirmed, Dong would be the third consecutive minister of defense to be investigated for corruption, after Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu, in what seems to be a wider anti-graft operation across the top ranks of the Chinese military.

    The newspaper quoted current and former U.S. officials familiar with the situation as saying that Chinese President Xi Jinping was “conducting a wave of investigations” into the People’s Liberation Army, or PLA, but it remained unclear what kind of corruption allegations Dong was facing.

    China’s embassy in Washington declined to comment on the news.

    A former admiral and commander of the Chinese navy, Dong was appointed minister of national defense in December 2023, replacing Li Shangfu who was removed in October 2023 after just seven months in office.

    The last time Dong appeared in public was on Nov. 21 when he attended the ASEAN Defense Ministers’ Meeting-Plus in Vientiane, Laos.

    While holding talks with the defense chiefs of New Zealand, India, and Malaysia, as well as the ASEAN Secretary-General, Dong refused a meeting with U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin.

    Beijing blamed it on Washington for undermining China’s “core interests” by providing weapons to Taiwan.

    Wei Fenghe (L), Dong Jun (C) and Li Shangfu (R).
    Wei Fenghe (L), Dong Jun (C) and Li Shangfu (R).

    Wider probe

    A native of Shandong province from where Xi’s wife Peng Liyuan also hails, Dong – as well as his predecessor Li Shangfu – was believed to be appointed by Xi.

    Yet “Dong was not promoted to the Central Military Commission, the top military leadership of the Communist Party, nor was he appointed to the State Council, or the national cabinet,” political analyst Willy Lam told Radio Free Asia, while cautioning that one should be careful not to speculate too much over the alleged investigation.

    In China, defense ministers are usually members of both those bodies and Dong’s non-appointment had raised questions about his position.

    The FT quoted U.S. military officers and officials as suggesting that such investigations into the PLA’s top officials “were undermining Xi’s confidence in his military” and raising doubts about its capabilities.

    Lyle Morris, senior fellow at the Asia Society’s Center for China Analysis, wrote on X that in his opinion, “this is not a normal shake-up” and more purges are coming.

    Former ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe were expelled from the Communist Party for “grave discipline violations” such as taking bribes and causing great damage to the images of the party and its senior leaders, according to official statements.

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    Since Li’s sacking from the defense chief’s post last October, there was a series of restructurings at high levels of the Chinese military establishment.

    Just after Dong was appointed, China expelled nine military officials from its parliament, including three former commanders or vice commanders of the PLA Rocket Force, one former Air Force chief and one Navy commander responsible for the South China Sea.

    Analysts said they believed that the expulsions were related to the corruption over equipment procurement by the rocket force.

    Edited by Mike Firn and Taejun Kang.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by RFA Staff.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • TAIPEI, Taiwan – G7 foreign ministers called on China to oppose North Korea’s growing military ties with Russia, while NATO recommended its members employ diplomatic and economic levers to discourage Beijing from aiding Moscow.

    China, one of North Korea’s few traditional allies, has recently been under growing pressure to serve as a responsible stakeholder as the United States and its allies worry that the deployment of North Korean troops will dangerously escalate the Ukrainian war.

    “We are seriously concerned about the deployment of the DPRK’s troops to Russia and their use on the battlefield against Ukraine … We urge countries with ties to Russia and the DPRK, including China, to uphold international law by opposing this dangerous expansion of the conflict and implementing all relevant UNSC resolutions,” foreign ministers of the Group of Seven said in a statement on Tuesday.

    DPRK refers to North Korea’s official name, the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, while UNSC is short for the U. N. Security Council.

    “We condemn in the strongest possible terms the increasing military cooperation between DPRK and Russia, including DPRK’s export and Russia’s procurement of North Korean ballistic missiles and munitions in direct violation of relevant UNSC Resolutions, as well as Russia’s use of these missiles and munitions against Ukraine,” they added.

    Separately, NATO recommended its members discourage China through diplomacy from aiding Russia.

    “It [the NATO Parliamentary Assembly] recommended employing diplomatic and economic levers to discourage China from aiding Russia,” the security bloc’s assembly said on Tuesday.

    “The Assembly called for tightening sanctions on Russia and North Korea, citing Pyongyang’s growing military support for Moscow,” it added.

    In a video message to the assembly, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte sought support for Ukraine in its war against Russia and its allies.

    “There’s war in Europe. We see China, Iran, North Korea and Russia joining forces to undermine us, and threats continue to transcend borders, from terrorism to cyber attacks. So it is vital that NATO becomes stronger, more capable and more agile,” Rutte said.

    China has not commented on North Korea’s deployment except to say the development of relations between Russia and North Korea was solely for them to decide.

    U.S. President Joe Biden, during a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Peru on Nov. 16, condemned North Korea’s decision to send its troops to Russia to assist in the war against Ukraine, while expressing “deep concern over [China’s] continued support for Russia’s defense industrial base.”

    At that time, Xi said that China’s position regarding the war had “always been fair and square,” adding Beijing would “not allow conflict and turmoil to happen on the Korean Peninsula” and that it would “not sit idly by” while its strategic interests are endangered.

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    The U.S. and South Korea have said that North Korean troops had been fighting against Ukrainian forces in Russia’s Kursk region, parts of which Ukrainian forces occupied in early August.

    Washington has estimated more than 10,000 North Korean soldiers had been sent to Kursk and had begun combat operations alongside Russian forces.

    Neither Russia nor North Korea have confirmed the presence of North Korean troops.

    But South Korea’s main security agency confirmed on Monday that it had “specific intelligence” that North Korean forces in Russia had suffered casualties, though it gave no figures. Media reported that 500 North Koreans and one high-level North Korean official had been killed in a Ukrainian attack with British missiles last week.

    Ukraine also said North Korea had sent more than 100 ballistic missiles to Russia, along with military specialists, to support its war with Ukraine.

    Edited by Mike Firn.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Taejun Kang for RFA.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.

  • China on Friday added Japanese passport-holders to a newly expanded list of people eligible for unilateral visa-free entry on a trial basis, foreign ministry spokesperson Lin Jian announced on Friday.

    China also notified Japan that it will remove a buoy near the Diaoyu Islands, which are also claimed by Japan as the Senkaku Islands, Kyodo news reported.

    Japan had objected to the installation of the buoy in the high seas over Japan’s southern continental shelf in the Pacific Ocean without explanation, with Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi calling the move “regrettable” in June.

    The buoy was installed in high seas north of Japan’s southernmost Okinotori Island by the Chinese survey vessel Xiang Yang Hong 22 during a voyage through Japan’s waters, ostensibly “for the purpose of scientific research and serving public good.”

    A China Coast Guard vessel sails near the Japan Coast Guard vessel Kabira, left, off Uotsuri Island, one of a group of disputed islands called Senkaku Islands, also known in China as Diaoyu Islands, in the East China Sea, on April 27, 2024.
    A China Coast Guard vessel sails near the Japan Coast Guard vessel Kabira, left, off Uotsuri Island, one of a group of disputed islands called Senkaku Islands, also known in China as Diaoyu Islands, in the East China Sea, on April 27, 2024.

    The move prompted an angry reaction from Chinese “little pink” nationalists online.

    “Only those at the bottom of society remember history,” complained one comment, while another said: “My heart hurt inexplicably when I read this.”

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    But state media reporting on the visa policy was buoyant, citing figures from Trip.com’s Japanese platform showing a surge of interest in Chinese destinations, with searches spiking by 112% within 30 minutes of the announcement.

    Popular searches included Zhangjiajie (28.8%), Changbai Mountain (9.2%), Qingdao (11.1%), and Shanghai (9.6%), the Global Times newspaper reported.

    Seeking foreign investment

    Analysts said Beijing is keen seek further rapprochement with Japan, amid worsening tensions with the United States and an exodus of foreign investors.

    “Japan is one of the most important foreign investors in China, particularly in technology,” Chen Li-fu, president of the Taiwan Professors Association, told RFA Cantonese in a recent interview, citing massive Japanese investment in Chinese vaccine factories in recent years.

    “If China wants foreign investors to return … Japan is the most likely source of investment,” he said. “Japanese manufacturers are still likely to want to set up in China, because … most of its textile brands, its automotive industry and chemicals industry have ties with China.”

    “And that cooperation would fall outside of the influence of the United States,” Chen said.

    An illustration of printed Chinese and Japanese flags July 21, 2022.
    An illustration of printed Chinese and Japanese flags July 21, 2022.

    Taiwanese national security expert Shih Chien-yu said China is also looking for other sources of income before the Trump administration comes to power in Washington, bringing with it a huge hike in tariffs.

    U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has said he will impose a 10% tariff on all products coming into the U.S. from China on his first day in office as penalties for deadly fentanyl and illegal immigrants, which he claimed were pouring across the borders.

    Competition with US

    Trump’s election victory sparked concern in China, where many expect the next president to take a tougher stand than his predecessor, particularly on trade and economic issues, with repercussions for an already struggling Chinese economy.

    “Faced with the way its international relations are going, China is learning to put aside the proud attitude of the past,” Shih said. “It’s clear that there will be competition with the United States, so Beijing will definitely look to compete by reaching out to Tokyo to try to ease ties.”

    “They’ll be wanting to do this especially over the next few months, before Trump’s Indo-Pacific strategy becomes clear … because if they wait until after that, there’ll be very little room for further action,’ he said.

    Shih said any rapprochement with Tokyo could also have security implications for the region.

    “China, the United States and Japan have a very special military and security relationship, so China will be trying to differentiate its relationships with the United States and Japan,” he said.

    “China will try to make some adjustments regarding Japan’s stance, which is to protect Taiwan or assist in its defense, because Japan will play an important role in any military conflict in the Taiwan Strait,” Shih said.

    Asked about visa-free entry for Japanese nationals, foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning said Beijing wants to boost exchanges with Japan.

    “We hope that Japan will work with China to jointly enhance the level of facilitation of personnel exchanges between the two countries,” Mao told a regular news briefing in Beijing on Monday.

    Translated by Luisetta Mudie. Edited by Joshua Lipes.


    This content originally appeared on Radio Free Asia and was authored by Ray Chung for RFA Cantonese.

    This post was originally published on Radio Free.