Category: National Security

  • American officials are apoplectic about alleged mystery drones flying over the United States. Last Thursday, New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy sent a letter to President Joe Biden, expressing “growing concern” about the drones and seeking federal help “to fully understand what is behind this activity.”

    Tri-state area Democratic Sens. Cory Booker, Andy Kim, Chuck Schumer, and Kirsten Gillibrand sent a letter to Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, FBI Director Christopher Wray, and Federal Aviation Administration head Michael Whitaker requesting a briefing on the supposed drones.

    And, last week Rep. Jeff Van Drew, R-N.J., initially suggested that the unidentified flying objects might hail from an “Iranian drone mothership” operating off the East Coast.

    “Whether this is a foreign adversary or even just a group of drone hobbyists,” he said, “we cannot allow unidentified drones to operate freely in our airspace with no consequences and it is time we eliminate the threat they pose and shoot them down.”

    After beginning in New Jersey, drone hysteria is spreading like wildfire, with sightings popping up from Massachusetts to California, prompting widespread outcry and the temporary closure of an airport in New York state and, in Ohio, Wright-Patterson Air Force Base’s airspace.

    The widespread anxiety, especially among lawmakers, about living beneath potentially malign mystery drones is striking, given America’s proclivity for employing drones to spy on people across the world without their consent — and, in many cases, kill them. The irony is not lost on experts.

    “Americans are finally seeing how uncomfortable it is to have unknown aircraft buzzing overhead.”

    “After decades of the U.S. government flying armed military drones over cities and villages around the world, Americans are finally seeing how uncomfortable it is to have unknown aircraft buzzing overhead,” said Erik Sperling of Just Foreign Policy, an advocacy group critical of mainstream Washington foreign policy. “Even when drones are not killing people, it shouldn’t be hard to imagine that having an unknown aircraft hovering above your head is not something most people are comfortable with.”

    “American politicians aren’t known for walking a mile in someone else’s shoes,” he said. “Hopefully, these incidents will help them realize that monitoring people this way in other countries isn’t going to win hearts and minds.”

    No Explanation

    For more than two decades, the United States has been flying drones over the heads of millions of people in foreign lands — remotely watching, recording, and even killing some of them. Since its first drone strikes in Afghanistan in 2001 and Yemen in 2002, U.S. drones have killed thousands of people in those countries and others, including civilians in Libya, Pakistan, Somalia, and Yemen.

    Last year, an investigation by The Intercept determined that an April 2018 drone attack in Somalia killed at least three, and possibly five, civilians, including 22-year-old Luul Dahir Mohamed and her 4-year-old daughter Mariam Shilow Muse. For more than six years, the family has tried to contact the U.S. government, including through an online civilian casualty reporting portal run by U.S. Africa Command, but they have never received a response.

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    Pentagon Compensated Zero Civilian Victims in 2022 — Despite Evidence That the U.S. Killed a Mom and Child in Somalia

    “They know innocent people were killed, but they’ve never told us a reason or apologized,” Abdi Dahir Mohamed, one of Luul’s brothers, told me last year. “No one has been held accountable.”

    The entire family has been traumatized. When Luul’s nephew saw a “normal airplane” flying over their farm, he began running around, trying to hide, convinced it might kill him. The family told Luul’s son, Mohamed Shilow Muse, the truth about his mother’s death and since then, when he sees or hears a drone, they said, “he rushes under a tree to hide.”

    For decades, people around the world have lived with drone-induced anxieties and resounding silence from U.S. officials. Before the U.S. military was expelled from Niger by the U.S.-trained ruling junta earlier this year, it hosted U.S. drone bases whose purpose was murky and kept secret from the Nigeriens who lived beneath the unblinking gaze of America’s eyes in the sky.

    In the hard-scrabble Tadress neighborhood, on the outskirts of America’s drone outpost in the northern town of Agadez, people were apprehensive when talking about “le drone” when The Intercept visited last year. Women in the neighborhood, who spoke on the condition of anonymity for fear of reprisal, complained of the noise and the fumes coming from the base — and concern about the small aircraft that took off in the dead of night.

    “No one knows what they are doing. We see the red and blue blinking lights above us.”

    “We’re scared,” complained a woman in a pink hijab, who had lived in the area since before the base was built. “No one knows what they are doing. We see the red and blue blinking lights above us. We don’t know what they’re looking at.”

    Maria Laminou Garba, who runs a recycling collective in Tadress that pays unemployed youth to gather recyclables, expressed similar concerns of living under an American microscope. “They are always flying overhead — often in the night or early morning,” she said last year. “It’s scary. We think they are watching us.”

    The reactions are justified. In Somalia, the U.S. continues to fly surveillance missions and conduct lethal airstrikes.

    In Niger, drones not only searched for militants in rural areas and neighboring countries, but also provided overwatch for the Agadez outpost and troops coming and going from the base in Tadress — putting the civilians there under their gaze.

    This 21 February 2001 US Air Force file photo obtained 05 November 2002 shows an unmanned predator aerial vehicle with a hellfire missile attached. It was reported 04 November that six suspected al Qaeda members,including Abu Ali, who was believed to have played a major role in the October 2000 attack on the destroyer USS Cole, were killed in Yemen when a CIA drone launched a "Hellfire" missile and struck the car they were traveling in.               AFP PHOTO/US AIR FORCE (Photo by US AIR FORCE / US AIR FORCE / AFP) (Photo by US AIR FORCE/US AIR FORCE/AFP via Getty Images)
    A U.S. Air Force Predator drone with a Hellfire missile attached, on Feb. 11, 2001, in an undisclosed location. U.S. Air Force/AFP via Getty Images

    Everyone in the Village

    Americans like Van Drew, of “Iranian drone mothership” fame, are learning what people around the world, including Luul and Mariam’s family, have been saying for years: The prospect of living beneath another country’s drones — especially lethal robot aircraft — is terrible. (Van Drew has walked back his “mothership” fearmongering but continues to express unease.)

    A September 2012 study of civilians in Pakistan by Stanford Law’s International Human Rights and Conflict Resolution Clinic and the Global Justice Clinic at NYU School of Law reported, “U.S. drone strike policies cause considerable and under-accounted-for harm to the daily lives of ordinary civilians, beyond death and physical injury.”

    The researchers found the constant presence of drones, the fear that a strike might occur at any time, and the inability of people to protect themselves “terrorize[d] men, women, and children, giving rise to anxiety and psychological trauma among civilian communities.”

    Following a series of attacks by the U.S. — six drones strikes and one raid — that killed 36 members of two large, intermarried Yemeni families between 2013 and 2018, one family member, Abdullah Abdurabuh Obad al Taisy, told me about the psychological fallout among survivors, especially children.

    “Everyone in the village is affected,” he said. “They usually can’t sleep properly because of the fear. They can’t even eat properly. Even the children are afraid to go out and play. Some of them are mentally sick right now, because of this constant feeling of fear.”

    2015 study by the Alkarama Foundation, a human rights group, found that among Yemenis living in two villages where U.S. drones operated, post-traumatic stress disorder was “extremely prevalent,” with many suffering from constant worry and sleep disorders including nightmares or insomnia. Ninety-six percent of children interviewed said they were afraid that a drone attack might harm them, their family, or their community — with “the feeling of fear,” the study said, “further exacerbated among children when they hear sounds that resemble the buzzing of drones.” 

    The fear and anxiety induced by the distinctive “buzz” of drone engines is hardly confined to children. “The drones were terrifying,” wrote David Rohde, a journalist kidnapped by the Afghan Taliban in 2008 and held in the tribal areas of Pakistan. “From the ground, it is impossible to determine who or what they are tracking as they circle overhead. The buzz of a distant propeller is a constant reminder of imminent death.”

    Populations subjected to constant drone activity report “exaggerated startle responses, fleeing indoors and hiding when seeing or hearing drones, fainting, poor appetite, psychosomatic symptoms, insomnia, and startled awakening at night with hallucinations about drones,” according to a 2017 study in Current Psychology. “Civilians’ fear appears to cripple their daily activities, such as leaving their homes, working, attending social functions, and sending children to school.”

    “There is a reason that privacy is regarded as a human right — because nobody wants to feel like they’re living under the Eye of Sauron.”

    The psychological toll exists even when the perceived threat is merely aerial surveillance from on high.

    “There is a reason that privacy is regarded as a human right — because nobody wants to feel like they’re living under the Eye of Sauron, an eye in the sky that’s monitoring things that they’re doing,” said Jay Stanley, a senior policy analyst at the American Civil Liberties Union, referencing the imposing symbol of malign omniscience in J.R.R. Tolkien’s “The Lord of the Rings” books. “That’s something that the U.S. shouldn’t be imposing on people abroad. And it’s something that we shouldn’t tolerate in our own communities.”

    The Truth Is Out There

    Stanley thinks there is a good chance that many of the “drones” seen over New Jersey are conventional aircraft and, perhaps, some experimental models. The panic surrounding the sightings, however, reveals something fundamental about Americans’ anxieties.

    “In my experience — working on privacy issues from internet tracking to data mining — I find aerial surveillance has a special electricity for people,” he said. “Someone tracking my financial transactions and building a profile of me is very abstract, but a flying robotic video camera hovering over my community — that’s very concrete. And it freaks people out.”

    In the meantime, neither people like Luul and Mariam’s family in Somalia nor Garba, the recycling organizer in Niger, will ever get what Americans panicking over skyward objects are: reasonable assurances from the authorities that they’re perfectly safe.

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    Last Thursday, national security communications adviser John Kirby dismissed concerns over the drone panic.

    “We have no evidence at this time that the reported drone sightings pose a national security or a public safety threat or have a foreign nexus,” he said.

    An FBI official reported that government investigators overlaid the locations of the reported drone sightings and found that “the density of reported sightings matches the approach pattern” of New York and New Jersey’s busiest airports. The FBI has received 5,000 tips about drones but fewer than 100 have led to legitimate leads, according to a joint statement by the Department of Homeland Security, the FBI, the FAA, and the Pentagon released on Monday.

    After observing the unidentified flying objects alongside local police in New Jersey, Kim, the senator, initially expressed concern. After discussions with civilian experts, however, he walked back some of his worries about the “possible drones.”

    “I don’t discount others may have seen actual drone activity, and not all I saw is fully explained by flight paths, but much of it was,” he announced on X, taking federal authorities to task for not adequately addressing public fears and providing detailed explanations. “Federal experts should provide information and guidance to the public including local police departments like the one that took me out to help them decipher what they are seeing.”

    Kim pointed to anxieties across America that he believes are fueling the drone panic. “I think this situation in some ways reflects this moment in our country. People have a lot [of] anxiety right now about the economy, health, security etc.,” he wrote. “And too often we find that those charged with working on these issues don’t engage the public with the respect and depth needed.”

    A founding member of the Protection of Civilians in Conflict Caucus, Kim has been outspoken on U.S. drone strikes in the past. His office, however, refused to engage on the disconnect between American drone policy abroad and the drone hysteria exhibited by officials in the United States. (“We’re not going to comment at this time,” Anna Connole, Kim’s press secretary, told The Intercept.)

    “Members of Congress like Andy Kim have been rightly concerned about civilian casualties, but drones aren’t just a problem when they kill civilians,” said Sperling.

    “It’s just a profoundly disturbing climate to live in, when you have an unknown, unaccountable drone hovering over your head. Members of Congress should understand that monitoring people with futuristic unmanned aircraft is not a normal state of affairs for people beneath the drones. And they should apply that realization when it comes to U.S. foreign policy.”

    The post America Gets a Taste of Its Own Medicine: Drone Terror appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • The U.S. Department of Defense sent over a thousand tons of ammunition to Israel on a ship that stopped at a U.S. naval base in Spain — a violation of Spain’s embargo on ships carrying military cargo bound for Israel, according to researchers from the Palestinian Youth Movement and Progressive International.

    The ship, owned by Sealift Inc., was also used for delivering aid to Gaza last spring, when the U.S. carried out its disastrous and short-lived floating pier aid mission.

    While partly operated by the U.S. Navy, Naval Station Rota is Spanish territory technically beholden to Spanish law. Moving ammunition bound for Israel through a U.S. Navy base on Spanish soil makes enforcement of the embargo trickier.

    “Shipments through American military bases in Spain of military materials are harder to detect.”

    “Shipments through American military bases in Spain of military materials, which may be used in the commission of international crimes, are harder to detect,” Enrique Santiago, a lawyer and Spanish legislator whose party is in the government coalition, told The Intercept. He said that, though Spanish oversight should apply, “in practice, American bases are beyond the reach of Spanish sovereignty.”

    Santiago added, “If shipments of military material used in international crimes are made through American bases in Spain, and this fact can be evidenced, the people taking part in them would equally have criminal liability.”

    The revelation that deadly ammunition is being shipped by the U.S. to Israel through Spanish ports is the latest chapter of a spiraling international row between the two allies, both members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. (Neither Sealift nor the U.S. military responded to requests for comment.)

    The U.S. recently lodged a case with the Federal Maritime Commission, an independent U.S. government agency that regulates international shipping and can levy astronomical fines — potentially hitting Spain with costs that run well into the millions.

    Last month, The Intercept reported that Maersk, one of the world’s largest shippers, is among the companies that delivered millions of pounds of materiel, including armored vehicles, from commercial American ports to Israel for use in the ongoing genocidal war on Gaza. A number of those shipments, which stopped in Spain, violated Spanish policy that blocked ships carrying Israeli war materiel from docking at its ports.

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    Following reporting in The Intercept and Spanish newspaper El Diario, Spain in recent weeks blocked two vessels from docking, forcing Maersk to reroute some of its transatlantic shipping of government and military cargo from the U.S. through Morocco. (Maersk did not respond to a question about the shipments routed through Morocco.)

    Spanish officials put the embargo in place last May to end Spanish involvement in arms sales to Israel. Since then, Spain has prevented more than five vessels from docking at its ports under the policy.

    “We call on the European and North African nations of conscience to deny docking or refueling to all vessels carrying ammunition or military cargo to Israel,” said Aisha Nizar a campaign organizer with the Palestinian Youth Movement. “And we specifically call on the government of Spain to continue to implement the decision it made in May 2024.”

    Spain’s United Left political coalition last week proposed a new protocol in the Spanish Parliament, which, if passed, would allow ships carrying military cargo to stop in Spain, but would instruct Spanish authorities to inspect the vessels and seize any Israel-bound military equipment. According to the proposed protocol, Spain would then report the ships to the International Court of Justice and International Criminal Court — where Israel is facing allegations of genocide and other war crimes — as well as to the Spanish judicial system.

    In response to Spain denying entry to ships, the U.S. opened an investigation in early December into whether Spain’s denials of entry to the vessels constitute a violation of maritime trade regulations. The Federal Maritime Commission, an independent body that monitors conditions that may affect shipping and U.S. international trade, said it is “concerned that this apparent policy of denying entry to certain vessels will create conditions unfavorable to shipping in the foreign trade, whether in a particular route or in commerce generally.”

    “Should this happen, an unending legal battle would begin.”

    If the investigation finds Spain to be in breach of the regulations, the U.S. could fine the Spanish government up to $2.3 million per voyage. In effect, the U.S.is threatening a NATO ally for upholding its own policies and attempting to comply with international humanitarian law.

    “A fine imposed by the United States against a country that is abiding by its obligations to prevent a genocide is clearly an illegal and illegitimate sanction in view of international law,” said Santiago, the Spanish politician. “Should this happen, an unending legal battle would begin.”

    “Moreover,” he said, “we would work for Spain to take measures to sanction all American citizens that may have taken part in this attack against international law and against Spain.”

    A Million Pounds of Ammunition

    In their latest report, researchers from the Palestinian-led diaspora group Palestinian Youth Movement and the left-wing umbrella coalition Progressive International traced the journey of the container ship MV Sagamore. Based on reviews of U.S. military contracts, satellite imagery, and changes in cargo weight throughout MV Sagamore’s voyages, the researchers found that the vessel has in the last year completed numerous missions carrying ammunition and other materiel to Israel from the U.S. Military Ocean Terminal Sunny Point, or MOTSU, in North Carolina.

    According to the report, the MV Sagamore transferred over 1 million pounds of ammunition and military cargo to Israel in just one of its shipments. The ship is owned by Sealift Inc. and chartered on behalf of the U.S. Navy’s Military Sealift Command.

    Used for the transport of live ammunition and explosives, MOTSU is the largest military terminal in the U.S. The U.S. military’s Transportation Command website notes that the port is used for sending and receiving “military equipment like rockets, missiles, howitzers, grenades, projectiles, pyrotechnics and more” — hazardous materials that cannot be handled at commercial ports. Researchers found that the Sagamore has made six calls to MOTSU in the last year; the last journey out of MOTSU that the ship made was to Israel’s Ashdod Port.

    While the military-contracted missions do not make the details of their ships’ cargo publicly available, using an array of evidence, the researchers wrote that they can conclude with “a very high degree of certainty, that … [is the] vessel that delivered over a thousand tonnes of Class 1 explosive ammunition to Israel this winter as it currently conducts its war against Gaza.”

    Researchers with the Palestinian Youth Movement said that the MV Sagamore was also used for the U.S. military’s floating pier in Gaza to deliver aid to Gaza between May and July 2024. The pier was the Biden administration’s ill-conceived and costly gesture for delivering humanitarian aid to the bombarded Strip, as Israel blocked aid by land. The temporary dock cost $230 million and delivered about a day’s worth of aid to Palestinians in Gaza.

    The pier was dismantled after 20 days in use, following damage due to bad weather. Video evidence also appeared to show that the pier, intended for delivering aid, was used by the U.S. military to assist Israeli soldiers in the June Nuseirat refugee camp massacre, in which the Israeli military killed over 275 Palestinians, including dozens of children, and extracted four Israeli hostages. (The U.S. denied that the pier was for the operation.)

    To deliver aid through the temporary pier, the MV Sagamore picked up food aid in Cyprus and delivered it to the Port of Ashdod; the goods were then transported by truck to the floating dock. Researchers found that, while the vessel was contracted to deliver aid, it was concurrently under contract with the U.S. to deliver ammunition, though the contracts did not specify the recipients.

    While the researchers could not conclude that the ship carried aid and weapons to Israel during the same voyage, the report said, “A review of the federal DoD contract data and vessel travel data complicates the publicly-stated narrative that the MV Sagamore was engaged in simple humanitarian aid transfers.”

    MV Sagamore’s journeys, as detailed in the report, included a voyage on which the ship loaded vast weights of materiel at the North Carolina military terminal, then stopped at a joint U.S.–Spain operated military port in Spain, before heading to Israel to unload the cargo.

    The post U.S. Defied Spanish Embargo on Arms Bound of Israel by Making Enforcement More Difficult appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • The CIA analyst accused of leaking top secret documents about Israel’s war plans against Iran must stay in jail ahead of trial, a federal judge said Wednesday. The judge sided with prosecutors’ claims that the analyst could make further disclosures affecting events in the turbulent Middle East if he was free before his trial on two Espionage Act counts.

    “You can’t stop them from talking — and even talking is a danger here.”

    U.S. District Judge Patricia Tolliver Giles’s order to hold Asif William Rahman reversed a magistrate judge’s decision last week to grant pretrial release on the grounds that Rahman could safely be released to home detention with his family.

    Giles said the concern that Rahman could make further leaks — the central debate between the government and Rahman’s lawyers on Wednesday — weighed heavily on her decision. Even if he were banned from accessing electronic devices at his father’s house in suburban Maryland, Giles said, Rahman could still find other ways of distributing top secret information.

    “I mean, it’s one thing to limit someone’s computer access, but you can’t stop them from talking — and even talking is a danger here,” she said. “There is no family that I would trust the safety of our community, of our national security, to.”

    The decision could change the calculus for Rahman and his defense attorneys as they fight Espionage Act charges that carry long prison sentences. Defense lawyer Amy Jeffress said she would appeal the ruling.

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    The documents allegedly released by Rahman were analyses by the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, which commands powerful satellite photography capabilities, of Israel’s preparations for a strike against Iran. Israel was making the preparations as part of the widening regional war over its assault on the Gaza Strip; steadily rising tensions between Iran and Israel have led to exchanges of long-range attacks.

    In court last week, a federal prosecutor said those documents’ release delayed Israel’s attack, which ultimately took place October 26.

    In a shift for prosecutors, who have not previously made assertions about Rahman’s motive, Assistant U.S. Attorney Troy Edwards said Wednesday that “ideology” appeared to have spurred the CIA analyst to action.

    The very fact that the documents gained widespread attention after being posted on a pro-Iranian Telegram channel suggested that Rahman was ideologically motivated, Edwards said. As evidence, he pointed to the reception that the documents drew on social media, with one user claiming that they might help halt “World War III.”

    Because of Rahman’s alleged motive, Edwards said, “there is an ongoing incentive for the defendant to continue to reveal what he knows.”

    “He has no access now to any information — other than what’s in his head.”

    Defense lawyers said that the government does not have any proof that Rahman, if he is the leaker, could make further disclosures.

    “He has no access now to any information — other than what’s in his head,” said Jeffress, Rahman’s attorney.

    Jeffress also pushed back on the idea that the disclosures had an earth-shattering impact, pointing in a court filing to anonymous Israeli officials who downplayed their significance in comments to news media.

    In the same brief, she pointed to another man accused of leaking classified information about an attack on Iran who has remained free: Donald Trump.

    Jeffress argued that if he were jailed, Rahman would be the first alleged leaker to receive a detention order in the court district where his case is filed.

    She also said that prosecutors’ supposedly bulletproof evidence that Rahman was the leaker is not as strong as they have made it out to be. Rahman was tied to the leaks by virtue of having been the only government employee to print out the documents in question, but Jeffress said it was part of his job to print such documents out for a physical briefing book at the U.S. Embassy in Cambodia, which could be accessed by others.

    Rahman, clad in a green Alexandria jail jumpsuit, turned and nodded to his family as he was led out of the courtroom by security officers.

    The post Judge Reverses Decision to Release Alleged CIA Leaker Ahead of Trial appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • A rebel blitzkrieg against President Bashar al-Assad’s forces in northwestern Syria reignited that nation’s dormant civil war last week, when a coalition of militant groups united behind Hayat Tahrir al-Sham — a former Al Qaeda affiliate known as the Al Nusra Front that the U.S. considers a terrorist group — and captured Syria’s largest city, Aleppo. The rebel army, which include Turkish-backed forces, have since pushed government troops out of Hama, another major metropolis.

    For years, Syria’s complicated battlefields have been populated by shifting groups of militants battling a range of enemies, including each other, and proxies backed by outside powers. Iran and Russia have propped up the autocratic Assad regime for more than a decade, while Turkey and the United States have troops on the ground in areas outside government control, and each support local proxies.

    News reports and videos posted on social media indicate U.S.-backed rebels, supported by American airstrikes, may now be battling Syrian government forces as part of renewed fighting in the east.

    That U.S. backing means boots on the ground. Around 900 U.S. troops are deployed in Syria alongside private military contractors, in what one expert calls “arguably the most expansive abuse” of the war powers granted to the executive branch in the wake of 9/11 — and those troops have, on average, come under fire multiple times each week since last October, according to new Pentagon statistics obtained by The Intercept.

    Since the war in Gaza began last year, U.S. forces have been under sustained attack by Iran-backed militants across the Middle East, with the Pentagon’s Syrian bases being the hardest hit. Since October 18, 2023, there have been at least 127 attacks on U.S. forces in Syria, according to Lt. Cmdr. Patricia Kreuzberger, a Pentagon spokesperson, and information supplied by U.S. Central Command, or CENTCOM. On average, that’s about one attack every three days.

    “Why are U.S. troops in Syria? What is the mission? What is the endgame? And is this legally authorized?”

    Mission Support Site Conoco — also known as Mission Support Site Euphrates — located near a gas field in northeastern Syria, has been attacked about 40 times since last October, according to a “defense official” who would only agree to speak on background using that moniker.

    Another Pentagon source confirmed that several U.S. troops are currently being evaluated for potential traumatic brain injuries after incoming mortar rounds landed near that base in eastern Deir Ezzor on Tuesday.

    Documents provided by another Pentagon official, on the condition of anonymity, show that still another U.S. base, Mission Support Site Green Village, has been attacked at least 28 times. Last month, U.S. troops came under rocket attack at Patrol Base Shaddadi, one of at least 22 attacks on the small outpost since last October. There have also been at least 11 attacks on al-Tanf, a small garrison near the Iraq and Jordanian borders in southeast Syria.

    Brian Finucane, a former State Department lawyer now with the International Crisis Group, said the ongoing bombardment of U.S. bases should prompt hard questions in America’s halls of power. “Why are U.S. troops in Syria? What is the mission? What is the endgame? And is this legally authorized?” are the questions that need answers, he said. “The administration doesn’t want to have that debate. Congress also seems perfectly fine avoiding it. And so, the legislative and executive branches are content to muddle along, avoiding their constitutional responsibilities — the need for congressional authorization — and really debate the merits of this conflict.”

    The U.S. military has been conducting operations in Syria since 2014. America’s bases there and in neighboring Iraq ostensibly exist to conduct “counter-ISIS missions,” despite the fact that the Pentagon concluded in 2021 that the Islamic State in Syria “probably lacks the capability to target the U.S. homeland.”

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    Around 900 U.S. troops — including commandos from Combined Special Operations Joint Task Force-Levant — and an undisclosed number of private military contractors are operating in Syria. In 2022, The Intercept revealed the existence of a low-profile 127-echo counterterrorism program in Syria targeting Islamist militants. Under the 127e authority, U.S. Special Operations forces arm, train, and provide intelligence to small groups of elite foreign troops. But unlike traditional foreign assistance programs, which are primarily intended to build local capacity, 127e partners are dispatched on U.S.-directed missions, targeting U.S. enemies to achieve U.S. aims.

    The Syrian Democratic Forces, a Kurdish-led militant group based in the country’s northeast is America’s main proxy force in Syria. While the SDF fights Islamist extremists with U.S. support, it also battles Turkey and Turkish-backed militants. Turkey, America’s longtime NATO ally, opposes the SDF due to that group’s ties to the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, a Kurdish nationalist militant group that both the Turkish and U.S. governments, among others, have designated a terrorist group. 

    For many years, the SDF has been implicated in widespread human rights violations. The most recent State Department report on human rights in Syria notes that members of the group have been involved in “abuses involving attacks striking residential areas, physical abuse, unjust detention, recruitment or use of child soldiers, restrictions on expression and assembly, and destruction and demolition of homes.”

    In the last week, the SDF appears to have also launched an offensive against Syrian government troops. Pentagon Press Secretary Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder announced that the United States was “in no way involved in the operations you see playing out in and around Aleppo in northwestern Syria.” What’s less clear is whether the U.S. is aiding an opportunistic SDF offensive in the east of the country. This week, in a press release, the SDF announced efforts to safeguard a number of villages around the town of Deir Ezzor “in light of the serious security situation arising from recent developments in western Syria.” Videos also emerged on social media showing purported U.S. airstrikes in Deir Ezzor supporting SDF ground forces battling Assad regime troops.

    “[F]ighters from a U.S.-backed, Kurdish-led coalition battled government forces in the northeast, both sides said, opening a new front along a vital supply route,” according to Reuters.

    The Pentagon did not respond to The Intercept’s repeated requests for comment on such reports.

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    The future of America’s escalating war in Syria may face renewed scrutiny early next year. President-elect Donald Trump showed antipathy to the U.S. war in Syria and withdrew U.S. forces from the north of the country in 2019, opening the door to a Turkish invasion.

    “When Trump ordered the removal of U.S. forces from Syria in late 2018, there was a scramble within the government to try to figure out what that meant and whether there were ways to walk it back,” said Finucane, the former State Department lawyer. “The Pentagon was fine to pull out U.S. troops from al Tanf because there was really no counter-ISIS mission. But in his memoir, [Trump’s national security adviser] John Bolton said he wanted to keep troops there to counter Iran.” 

    For four years, experts say the Biden administration has continued this shadow effort aimed at Iran under the guise of a counter-ISIS mission, fending off several congressional efforts to force the removal of U.S. troops from Syria. Last year, a bid by Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., to compel the withdrawal of all U.S. troops from Syria within 30 days also failed. “The American people have had enough of endless wars in the Middle East,” Paul told The Intercept at the time. “Yet, 900 U.S. troops remain in Syria with no vital U.S. interest at stake, no definition of victory, no exit strategy, and no congressional authorization to be there.” Those troops may be increasingly drawn into the Syrian civil war in support of their SDF allies.

    “This is arguably the most expansive abuse of the 2001 AUMF in the history of the law,” said Erik Sperling of Just Foreign Policy, an advocacy group critical of mainstream Washington foreign policy, referring to the 2001 Authorization for Use of Military Force, enacted in the wake of the September 11 attacks. “We know from Biden administration leaks that the U.S. presence in Syria was part of an anti-Iran proxy war strategy but after Congress started voting to remove troops, they cracked down on those leaks and they said it’s only about terrorism.”

    Ryder, the Pentagon press secretary, reiterated this talking point on Monday, following a U.S. strike on a “hostile target” supposedly threatening U.S. and coalition forces at Mission Support Site Euphrates, noting that U.S. forces in Syria are “singularly focused on the enduring defeat of ISIS.”

    Following an attack on U.S. personnel in Syria on November 25, the U.S. responded in typical fashion: with a strike against an Iranian-backed militia group, along with tough talk. “As previously stated, we will not tolerate any attacks on our personnel and coalition partners. We are committed to taking all necessary actions to ensure their protection,” said CENTCOM commander Gen. Michael Erik Kurilla.

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    U.S. troops have, however, been relentlessly attacked across the Middle East since last October. There have been at least 208 attacks against U.S. forces in the region — two in Jordan, 79 in Iraq, and 127 in Syria — according to Kreuzberger and CENTCOM. In addition to coming under fire about once every other day, U.S. troops have been killed or seriously injured in these attacks. In January, three U.S. soldiers were killed and more than 40 other personnel were injured in an attack on a base in Jordan near the Syrian border. Eight U.S. troops also suffered traumatic brain injuries and smoke inhalation from an August 9 drone attack on the Rumalyn Landing Zone in northeastern Syria.

    “There were deliberations within the Biden administration prior to October 2023 about redeploying some of the U.S. forces in Syria, particularly from al Tanf,” said Finucane. “But once U.S. troops started taking fire, the deliberations came to a halt because the U.S. doesn’t want to be perceived as removing troops because they were under attack.”

    Keeping military personnel in harm’s way for the sake of foreign policy credibility has become increasingly risky with the Gaza war and the flare-up of the Syrian civil war.

    “As the U.S. and Israel have escalated conflicts in the region, it’s put U.S. troops in Syria in further danger.”

    “It’s clear that as the U.S. and Israel have escalated conflicts in the region, it’s put U.S. troops in Syria in further danger. They are sitting ducks for U.S. ‘adversaries,’” said Sperling, a former congressional staffer who has worked on Syria policy for over a decade. “There are times when it’s worth it for U. S. service members’ lives to be put at risk. That’s why you have a military. But that’s also the reason that the framers of the Constitution said that Congress has the power to declare war. There needs to be a debate and vote.”

    Trump has signaled he wants to withdraw U.S. troops from northern Syria, according to Robert F. Kennedy Jr., whom Trump has tapped to be his secretary of health and human services. “Get them out!” Trump reportedly said.

    “The Biden administration never put the war in Syria up for debate because they know the American people don’t want another war in the Middle East. They know there is no popular support for putting U.S. troops at risk for this. That’s extremely undemocratic and immoral,” said Sperling, who noted that the president-elect has an opportunity to change course. “Many of Trump’s advisors will try to drag him deeper into this regional conflict in the Middle East. His legacy is going to hinge on whether he keeps his campaign promise to be an anti-war president. He can start with Syria.”

    The post As Civil War Heats Back Up, U.S. Troops Are Still Deployed in Syria — And Under Fire appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • A federal jury held a defense contractor legally responsible for contributing to the abuse of detainees at Abu Ghraib for the first time on Tuesday.

    The jury awarded a total of $42 million to three Iraqi men — a journalist, a middle school principal, and fruit vendor — who were held at the notorious prison two decades ago. The plaintiffs’ suit accused Virginia-based CACI, which was hired by the U.S. government to provide interrogation services at Abu Ghraib, of conspiring with American soldiers to torture detainees. 

    Tuesday’s verdict marks a rare victory for plaintiffs seeking to bring American corporations to justice for playing a part in the country’s so-called war on terror. 

    “What the jury did today is send a very clear message that the contractors who go to war or go work with the government overseas, they will be held accountable for their role in whatever violations their employees may commit,” said Katherine Gallagher, senior staff attorney at the Center for Constitutional Rights, which represented the plaintiffs, at a press conference on Tuesday afternoon. “They need to have far better oversight over their employees to ensure that something like what happened at Abu Ghraib never happens again.”

    The case hinged largely on the legal definition of conspiracy, which doesn’t require an overt act but can also include cooperation with others engaging in torture, said Stjepan Meštrović, a sociology professor at Texas A&M University and expert witness in multiple courts-martial of soldiers who served at Abu Ghraib. “This ruling opens the door to future findings of responsibility based upon conspiracy to commit war crimes by civilian contractors and other adjuncts to military forces,” he said in an emailed statement. 

    CACI had argued that while abuses did occur at Abu Ghraib, it was ultimately the Army who was responsible for this conduct, even if CACI employees may have been involved. The defense contractor also argued there was no definitive evidence that their staff abused the three Iraqi men who filed the case — and that it could have been American soldiers who tortured them. The jury did not find that argument persuasive.

    A lawyer for CACI did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

    The monetary compensation for plaintiffs includes $3 million each for compensatory damages and $11 million each for punitive damages. Their lawyers say that’s what they requested. Baher Azmy, legal director at the Center for Constitutional Rights, said in a press conference on Tuesday that the verdict “sends a strong message that this kind of corporate malfeasance and neglect and recklessness and deflection is outrageous and deserves to be punished.”

    The case was filed 16 years ago but got caught up in procedural hurdles, as CACI tried more than 20 times to dismiss the lawsuit. November’s case was a retrial; in an initial trial in April, jurors were deadlocked following more than a week of deliberations. The judge declared a mistrial. That trial, earlier this year, also marked the first time that an American jury heard directly from Iraqis who were detained at Abu Ghraib.

    The lawsuit was first brought in 2008 under the Alien Tort Statute, which allows noncitizens to bring cases involving clear violations of international law, such as torture, to an American federal court when there’s a substantial connection to the U.S. “It was the United States that invaded Iraq, it was the United States that detained our clients, and it was a US company that profited from their torture and abuse,” Gallagher said in Tuesday’s press conference. 

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    That Al Shimari v. CACI survived so many procedural hurdles is impressive, notes Shirin Sinnar, a law professor at Stanford University, in an emailed statement. In recent years, the Supreme Court has made it harder for cases involving national security concerns to get a trial. “It’s exceedingly rare for torture survivors or other human rights victims of the U.S. global war on terror to prevail in U.S. courts, whether against government officials or military contractors,” Sinnar wrote. “The Supreme Court has made it incredibly difficult to hold the national security state accountable in court. So this victory is exceptional in every sense of the term.”

    “The American public is putting its government and its contractors on notice.”

    It’s also notable that an American jury sided with the Iraqi men against an American military contractor, says Yumna Rizvi, a senior policy analyst at the Center for Victims of Torture, an international nonprofit. “It shows that they’re clearly not in lockstep with the decisions of their government,” Rizvi said. “The American public is putting its government and its contractors on notice that, ‘We see you and we don’t agree with what you’ve done or are doing.’”

    Rizvi wonders about the precedent that could have been set for other cases if plaintiffs had been able to go to trial earlier. “You can’t just go around destroying people’s bodies and spirits and minds and just walk away from it,” she said. “Unfortunately, that’s what we’ve seen for too long in the U.S. war on terror and how the U.S. has behaved around the world.”

    The plaintiffs — Suhail Najim Abdullah Al Shimari, Salah Hasan Nusaif Al-Ejaili, and Asa’ad Hamza Hanfoosh Zuba’e — had testified about facing sexual abuse and harassment, as well as being beaten and threatened with dogs at Abu Ghraib in the early 2000s. “My body was like a machine, responding to all external orders,” Al-Ejaili, a former journalist with Al Jazeera, had previously said. “The only part I owned was my brain, which could not be stopped by the black plastic bag they used to cover my head.”

    Al-Ejaili flew to the U.S. to be present for both trials, but he first heard the jury’s verdict while he was at home with his family in Sweden. On Tuesday, he was expecting a call from Azmy notifying him about the jury’s decision. When his phone rang, Azmy’s first words were: “Salah, we won.” 

    “It was pure, profound joy,” Al-Ejaili said.

    The post Abu Ghraib Detainees Awarded $42 Million in Torture Trial Against U.S. Defense Contractor appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • While president-elect Donald Trump accuses the U.S. military of being too “woke,” a morale patch showcased on a Defense Department website suggests some troops are as bigoted as ever. While the military has covered up evidence of the patch, removing photographs of it amid press outcry, the Pentagon has not disavowed it.

    In late October, the website of the Defense Visual Information Distribution Service — the Pentagon’s official photo repository — posted a photograph highlighting the shoulder patch of Lt. Kyle Festa, a pilot assigned to the Navy’s Helicopter Maritime Strike Squadron 74. 

    Festa’s patch features crosshairs over likenesses of the Tusken Raiders, the fictional “sand people” who attacked Luke Skywalker in the 1977 movie “Star Wars.” The patch reads: “Houthi Hunting Club. Red Sea 2023-2024.”

    The insignia commemorated his deployment aboard the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower in the Red Sea, according to the photo’s caption. Since January, U.S. warships in the Red Sea have repeatedly struck the Houthis, a nationalist movement that controls much of Yemen and has been attacking ships — including U.S. warships — there and in the Gulf of Aden in retaliation for the U.S.-backed Israeli war on Gaza.

    “The enemy is given quasi-racialized and subhuman status, which makes it easier to kill them.”

    U.S. military personnel wear all manner of patches — official and unofficial — on their uniforms. Some so-called morale patches are rooted in heraldry and history; others reference pop culture or dark humor.

    “The patches reduce the Houthis to the status of a not-quite-human, semi-alien Other. So the enemy is given quasi-racialized and subhuman status, which makes it easier to kill them,” observes Janet McIntosh, a professor of anthropology at Brandeis University and an expert in the U.S. military’s long history of dehumanizing its enemies. “It also lumps all Houthis into the same category, which will also make non-combatants or civilians easier to kill.”

    For years, the United States backed an atrocity-filled air campaign led by Saudi Arabia against the Houthis. Just after entering office, President Joe Biden formally delisted Houthis as terrorist group. But after the Houthis started targeting ships, Biden reclassified them as a terrorists and began launching attacks on Houthi missile and radar sites.

    “For over a year, the Iran-backed Houthis, Specially Designated Global Terrorists, have recklessly and unlawfully attacked U.S. and international vessels transiting the Red Sea, the Bab Al-Mandeb Strait, and the Gulf of Aden,” said Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin last month, announcing airstrikes in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen by Air Force B-2 bombers, a rarely used stealth plane capable of carrying the U.S. military’s largest “bunker buster” bombs.

    The Intercept asked the Office of the Secretary of Defense whether Austin agrees with the morale patch’s characterization of the Houthis but did not receive a reply prior to publication. “The patch signifies the squadron’s operational achievements and heritage,” according to the caption of the official Navy photograph by Austen McClain. 

    After several journalists — including former Intercept reporter Ken Klippenstein — drew attention to the “Houthi Hunting Club” photograph, that image and another of Festa wearing the patch, were removed from the Defense Department website. “After further review, it was determined that the patch was inappropriate in nature and not consistent with uniform regulations,” Cmdr. Dawn M. Stankus, a public affairs officer for Naval Air Force Atlantic, told The Intercept. She and other Navy spokespeople failed to respond to more substantive questions about the decision.

    Dehumanization is a conduit to killing. The use of animalistic slurs has been shown to increase people’s willingness to endorse harming a target group. The Nazis, for example, compared Jews to rats. During the Rwandan genocide, Hutu officials referred to Tutsis as “cockroaches.”

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    White Americans have been dehumanizing racial and ethnic Others since long before there was a United States. Racist dehumanization was central to the justification of European conquest, settler colonialism, and chattel slavery, making it inextricable from the nation’s origins. No less a document than the U.S. Declaration of Independence of 1776 refers to “merciless Indian savages.” Recent studies have shown, almost 250 years later, racist attitudes by Americans toward minority groups persist.

    Research led by Nour Kteily, a social psychologist at Northwestern University, asked participants to rate where they think various groups belong on a 100-point scale of “evolutionary progress,” mapped onto the drawing of the “Ascent of Man” showing ape-like human ancestors on the left and a fully upright humans on the right. They found “Americans rate Americans, Europeans, Japanese. and Australians equivalently high on the scale (i.e., 90 to 93) but rate Mexican immigrants, Arabs, and Muslims 10 to 15 points lower,” according to their 2017 study. A quarter of Americans, in fact, rated Muslims at or below 60 on the scale.

    The U.S. military also has a long history of dehumanizing its enemies — especially racial Others — from the Indian Wars of the 18th and 19th centuries onward. During America’s war in the Philippines, at the turn of the 20th century, U.S. troops began calling their Indigenous enemies “goo-goos.” The pejorative term then seems to have transmuted into “gook” and was applied over the decades to enemies during the so-called banana wars in Haiti and Nicaragua prior to World War II, and after that conflict in Korea during the 1950s.

    The epithet returned to the lips of U.S. troops in Southeast Asia during the Vietnam War. While other slurs were freely employed, “gook” was — from the beginning of the conflict to its end — uttered ad infinitum. “The colonels called them gooks, the captain called them gooks, the staff all called them gooks. They were dinks, you know, subhuman,” recalled one veteran in an interview in the 1970s, published in Robert J. Lifton’s “Home From the War.”

    The notion that the Vietnamese were something less than human was often spoken of as the “mere-gook rule,” or MGR. This held that all Vietnamese — northern and southern, adults and children, armed enemy and innocent civilian — were little more than animals, who could be killed or abused at will. The MGR mentality excused all manner of atrocities and encouraged troops to kill without compunction. “Shouldn’t bother you at all, just some more dead gooks. The sooner they all die, the sooner we go back to the World,” a Marine recounted, in a memoir published by Naval Institute Press, being told at the time. The slur and the mindset encouraged callous killing during a conflict in which an estimated 2 million Vietnamese civilians were slain, around 5.3 million were wounded (using a conservative estimate), and 11 million were displaced by the war.

    During the war on terror, a passel of new slurs came into use, with “sand nigger” among the most vile. “The infantry taught us to use language like ‘haji’ and ‘raghead’ and ‘target’ and ‘towelhead’ to dehumanize not just enemy combatants, but every Iraqi or Arab person we encountered,” recalled one post-9/11 Marine Corps veteran. “Our senior Marines joked about raping Iraqi women, so we did too. They called Iraqi children terrorists in training, and meant it. So we did too.”

    The U.S. military is not unaware of its propensities. In a 2013 article in Military Review, three Army lieutenant colonels (two on active duty and one retired) wrote:

    For the soldier at war, objectifying oneself as superior and the ‘other’ as inferior can rapidly transform even minor abuses into very serious crimes. … Leaders often condone this self-deception because they believe they are helping themselves and their troops to do what “must be done.” Unfortunately, while attempts at dehumanizing the enemy may make killing easier for some (at least in the short term), these attempts can be the first steps on the road toward atrocities — acts that cannot occur without such dehumanization.

    For years, the military has been excoriated by right-wing pundits for being too “woke.” The foreword to Project 2025, the Heritage Foundation’s nearly 900-page blueprint for a second Trump term, laments that “woke bureaucrats at the Pentagon force troops to attend ‘training’ seminars about ‘white privilege.’” The Houthi Hunting Club patch suggests that such sessions may have had limited effect.

    “The military’s tacit endorsement of the patches is part of a broader pattern of conflicted messaging in military training and military culture,” said McIntosh, who addresses this tension in her forthcoming book, “Kill Talk: Language and Military Necropolitics.” “On the one hand, one is instructed about rules and laws designed to carefully control violence, but on the other, you can find messaging that indirectly encourages the idea that military identity is partly about transgressing morality and sometimes even the military’s own rules.”

    In many cases, morale patches are not officially sanctioned but are tolerated within the military to foster esprit de corps. In 2021, the Air Force ordered a review of official and unofficial unit emblems, morale patches, mottos, nicknames, and challenge coins to weed out those that were racist, sexist or otherwise offensive. “Our core values demand we hold ourselves to high standards and maintain a culture of respect and trust in our chain of command,” read the memorandum announcing the review. That same year, the 51st Civil Engineer Squadron “Mongrels” in Osan, South Korea, replaced its pit bull morale patch because it too closely resembled an image of a pit bull that the Anti-Defamation League had labeled a white supremacist symbol.

    While the photographs of Festa and his Houthi Hunting Club patch were removed, the Defense Visual Information Distribution Service website continues to display photos of other patches such as a 2022 women’s leadership patch with the “imagery of a woman standing proudly against the force of an atomic explosion.” Another patch features the likeness of Nusret Gökçe — a celebrity chef better known as Salt Bae for his ridiculous way of sprinkling salt on steaks — dropping Joint Direct Attack Munitions in a similar manner.

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    The Houthi Hunting Club patch is available through a commercial website that stresses that while it is not affiliated with the U.S military, it is nonetheless “where most [U.S. Marine Corps] and Navy squadrons direct purchase their squadron patches,” adding that they “are licensed by the USMC and US Navy Trademark Offices.” (It is not clear if Festa’s patch was purchased from the website.)

    “This general kind of layering of the semiotics of fun onto military killing is really common.”

    McIntosh noted that unlike the use of slurs as a means of dehumanization during the Vietnam War, the Houthi Hunting Club patch uses images of fictional movie characters, offering plausible deniability — a means to cast the patch as a joke. She calls this an example of “frame perversion,” the commingling of upbeat and menacing symbolism within military culture. “The Houthi Hunting patches both invoke the sport of hunting — where people kill for fun — and entertainment by picturing the sand people, who have pop cultural resonance. This general kind of layering of the semiotics of fun onto military killing is really common,” she says, noting that it is both a gallows-humor coping mechanism and a license for violence and military depravity.

    The contradictions surrounding the patch are legion, not the least of which being the failures of the U.S. military effort against the Houthis. The USS Eisenhower Strike Group alone conducted more than “750 engagements,” utilizing “792 munitions in combat,” according to a July Navy press release. Just a month earlier, however, a report from the Defense Intelligence Agency acknowledged that Houthi attacks had led to a 90 percent decline in shipping activity through the Red Sea.

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    The U.S. Has Been at War in Yemen for 20 Years, but Houthis Can Still Choke the Red Sea

    Since November 2023, the Houthis have carried out almost 100 attacks on ships, sinking two vessels and seizing another. They have even targeted U.S. Navy ships, leaving sailors unaccustomed to enemy attack distressed. “It was incredibly different,” said Cmdr. Benjamin Orloff, a Navy pilot. “And I’ll be honest, it was a little traumatizing for the group. It’s something that we don’t think about a lot until you’re presented with it.”

    The Pentagon failed to respond to questions about its military efforts against the Houthis and whether it views the military campaign as a success. It also failed to comment on the decision to remove photographs of the Houthi Hunting Club patch, nor whether any action would be taken to restrict its wear by military personnel.

    The post America’s Shadow War in Yemen Has Its Own Racist Military Swag appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • TOPSHOT - Motorists drive their vehicles past a billboard depicting named Iranian ballistic missiles in service, with text in Arabic reading "the honest [person's] promise" and in Persian "Israel is weaker than a spider's web", in Valiasr Square in central Tehran on April 15, 2024. Iran on April 14 urged Israel not to retaliate militarily to an unprecedented attack overnight, which Tehran presented as a justified response to a deadly strike on its consulate building in Damascus. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP) (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)
    A billboard depicting Iranian ballistic missiles with text in Persian that says “Israel is weaker than a spider’s web,” in Tehran on April 15, 2024. Photo: Atta Kenare/AFP via Getty Images

    If you ask the average citizen of any country whether their leaders should start wars, almost all would give a resounding “No.” The public, overall, opposes war, but tolerates leaders who prioritize power, legacy, and special interests over the wishes of their own people.

    This is how we find ourselves recklessly stumbling toward a global conflict that could erupt out of the regional crises currently unfolding.

    With its early Saturday morning attack, Israel is on the verge of dragging the U.S. into a regional war with Iran.

    Let’s start with the Middle East. With its early Saturday morning attack, Israel is on the verge of dragging the U.S. into a regional war with Iran. The plans were drawn up weeks ago and, despite U.S. warnings, Israel went ahead with the bombing.

    Though, for the moment, Iran seems to be exercising restraint, U.S. leadership seems to not be up for the challenge of averting this conflagration. The Biden administration has proven ineffective. Not only has it failed to secure a ceasefire in Gaza, the administration is also emboldening Israel by providing military assistance against retaliatory attacks from Iran.

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    For its part, Israel keeps pushing the envelope, ignoring U.S. pleas for restraint, confident that powerful Israel lobby groups will ensure American politicians will continue to supply them with money, weapons, and intelligence.

    Enter Russia and Ukraine

    A regional Middle East conflict could itself grow into larger war — by dragging in Russia. Given its presence in Syria, there is no predicting exactly how Russia might react to a regional war with U.S. involvement. What we do know is that Russia has issued ominous warnings to Israel about attacking Iranian nuclear sites — warning that will now be tested.

    The Russian stance is not difficult to understand. For the U.S., a regional Middle East war would mean jumping into Israel’s fight. For Russia, isolated on the world stage, the region holds the key to a web of interlocking interests. Russia buys drones and ballistic missiles from Iran for use against Ukraine, and Iran, for its part, is perpetually a potential customer for Russia’s sophisticated defense systems. 

    Then there is the war in Ukraine itself, where the sides for a global conflict were drawn up. NATO members, bound by a mutual defense pact, are supporting Ukraine in its war against Russia. As a response, four countries are coming together as “the axis of resistance” — against, as how Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell refers to it, the new “axis of evil”: Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran.

    As part of its alliance, the West continues to supply military equipment with more offensive capabilities. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy wants long-range missiles that can attack deeper into Russian territory. Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly warned that if certain red lines get crossed, he will retain the right to use tactical nuclear weapons.

    So far, the West has crossed a few of Putin’s red lines without consequence. The question we might ask is: How long do both sides want to play this Russian roulette? 

    Both the Middle East and Ukraine conflicts create a growing risk that the U.S. and NATO and end up in direct confrontation with Russia and its allies — the new world war. 

    Snowball in the Far East

    If this world war breaks out along the lines of the Middle East war and Ukraine conflict, there is no reason to think the conflagration would be contained.

    Any number of miscalculation or military accident in either the Taiwan Strait or South China Sea could trigger direct confrontation between China — unlike Russia, an ascendant world power — and the U.S.

    A wider war in Easter Europe or the Middle East could, for instance, give China an opening to go to war over Taiwan. So far, China seems in no rush to invade, tacitly accepting the U.S. policy of “strategic ambiguity” — where the U.S. remains deliberately vague on whether it would defend Taiwan militarily.

    A wider war in Easter Europe or the Middle East could give China an opening to go to war over Taiwan.

    If the West becomes embroiled in a full-scale war with Russia or in the Middle East, that calculation could change.

    Even short of an invasion of Taiwan, China is likely to leverage a distracted West into ever more aggressive actions in the South China Sea, where the potential for conflict is high.

    The burgeoning Eastern power is already carrying out its own version of the Monroe Doctrine. Flouting international law, China is flexing its muscle by claiming control over navigation pathways that threaten the neighboring countries of Vietnam, Malaysia, and the Philippines — the latter of which bears the brunt of Chinese harassment and, ominously, has a mutual defense pact with the U.S.

    History as Our Guide

    There are two absolute truths about war. Once started, the outcome is unpredictable. Secondly, and more importantly, wars always escalate. We are witnessing conflicts on three fronts that are exhibiting both characteristics.

    History is a powerful teacher, and it’s time we dust off a few history books. Much of what is occurring on today’s geopolitical chessboard has analogues to events that unfolded in the early 20th century. 

    Due to arrogance and sheer folly, the relationships between the three cousins — King George V of Britain, Kaiser Wilhelm II of Germany, and Tsar Nicholas II of Russia — deteriorated due to a mix of personal, political, and national factors. This ultimately contributed to the outbreak of the colossal sibling squabble we know as World War I.

    Much like today, several key factors set the stage for the First World War. Militarism and nationalism were on the rise, and an arms race between major powers raged. European empires were engaged in intense competition for global dominance and access to resources, particularly in Africa.

    As it is today, the powers divvied up into alliances: The Triple Alliance between Germany, Austria–Hungary, and Italy (though Italy later withdrew) on one side, and the Triple Entente, with a surrounded Russia joining France and the United Kingdom. In a scenario with echos today today, these alliances were meant to provide mutual defense but also created a precarious situation where a conflict involving one member could quickly spiral into a wider war.

    Many of today’s politicians cater to the donor class and special interests that favor conflict.

    Those were empires. Their subjects could be excused for their inability to sway their leaders, whose sheer stupidity they would always be subject to. Today, some of the players fit this bill — but not all.

    In the democratic West, we are supposed to have a voice. Yet, many of today’s politicians, with the help of the mainstream media, seem indifferent to the desires of their voters, catering instead to the donor class and special interests that favor conflict.

    In this dizzying milieu of crisscrossed global interests and unaccountable leadership, our odds can look daunting. Yet those of us bestowed with the right to press our governments must continue to press policy makers to stop this madness before it’s too late.

    The post How the Israeli Attack on Iran Could Seed a New World War appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • RTX Corporation, the weapons giant formerly (and better) known as Raytheon, agreed on Wednesday to pay almost $1 billion to resolve allegations that it defrauded the U.S. government and paid bribes to secure business with Qatar.

    “Raytheon engaged in criminal schemes to defraud the U.S. government,” said Deputy Assistant Attorney General Kevin Driscoll of the Justice Department’s Criminal Division on Wednesday. “Such corrupt and fraudulent conduct, especially by a publicly traded U.S. defense contractor, erodes public trust and harms the DOD, businesses that play by the rules, and American taxpayers.”

    RTX, as part of this agreement that spanned multiple investigations into its business, admitted to engaging in two separate schemes to defraud the Defense Department, which included deals for a radar system and Patriot missile systems. It also agreed to enter a separate deferred prosecution agreement, which requires increased government oversight and transparency for the next three years, in connection with the Qatari kickbacks.

    “Over the course of several years, Raytheon employees bribed a high-level Qatari military official to obtain lucrative defense contracts and concealed the bribe payments by falsifying documents to the government, in violation of laws including those designed to protect our national security,” said Breon Peace, U.S. attorney for the Eastern District of New York. “We will continue to pursue justice against corruption, and as this agreement establishes, enforce meaningful consequences, reforms and monitorship to ensure this misconduct is not repeated.”

    The $950 million payment includes criminal penalties, civil fines, restitution, and the return of profits that RTX made by bilking the Pentagon.

    The announcement is a rare example of a major defense company being held accountable for its white-collar crimes. But while defrauding the government and breaking international corruption laws, Raytheon has also been party to potential war crimes in recent years.

    One of the largest military contractors on Earth, Raytheon makes missiles, bombs, components for fighter jets and many other weapon systems used in war zones from Afghanistan and Iraq to Gaza and Yemen. Civilians have frequently paid the price.

    “Not only does Raytheon rip off the government on a regular basis, but its weapons have been used to kill civilians in Yemen, Gaza, and other war zones,” William Hartung, a senior research fellow at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft and longtime weapons industry watcher, told The Intercept.

    RTX spokesperson Chris Johnson said the company was taking responsibility for its wrongdoing in the fraud and bribery scandal. “We have worked diligently during the investigations to remediate that misconduct and continue to do so,” he told The Intercept but declined to comment on civilian casualties caused by Raytheon’s weapons.

    Prior to 2023, the Israeli military used Raytheon’s 5,000-pound GBU-28 “bunker buster” and laser-guided Paveway bombs, as well as AGM-65 Maverick air-to-ground missiles, AIM-9X missiles, AIM-120 Sidewinder missiles, and TOW long-range missiles to attack targets in Gaza, according to a 2022 report by the American Friends Service Committee, a Quaker organization. 

    Such weapons are typically launched or dropped from F-15, F-16, and F-35 fighter jets for which Raytheon provides weapon systems, components, and maintenance services. The Israeli military has possibly used its “bunker buster” bombs — weapons prohibited for use in areas with large civilian populations — in Gaza during the current war as well.

    The Saudi-led coalition’s war in Yemen was also waged using Raytheon munitions. In 2022, the coalition conducted an airstrike on a detention center that, according to Doctors Without Borders, killed at least 80 people and injured more than 200. An investigation by Amnesty International found a Raytheon-made GBU-12, a 500-pound laser-guided bomb, was used in the attack. Amnesty also found that Raytheon bombs were used in a 2019 Saudi-led airstrike that killed six civilians — including three children.

    An investigation by CNN and Yemen-based human rights group Mwatana found evidence that Raytheon weapons systems were used by the Saudi-led coalition in numerous instances of civilian harm, such as a 2018 attack on a wedding party that killed 21 civilians, including 11 children, and injured another 97 people, 48 of them children; a 2016 airstrike that killed 15 members of a single family including 12 children, the youngest a 1-year-old boy; the 2016 bombing of an apartment that killed six; and a 2015 strike on a residential neighborhood that killed one civilian and wounded six others, including two women and a young girl.

    “The Raytheon allegations are stunning, even by the lax standards of the arms industry,” Hartung told The Intercept this week. “Engaging in illegal conduct on this scale suggests that, far from being an aberration, this behavior may be business as usual for the company.” 

    While Raytheon has been a key U.S. defense contractor since the 1940s, cashing in on tens of billions of dollars in government contracts, the company has, indeed, been embroiled in scandals and malfeasance for decades, though it has rarely been compelled to pay fines and penalties of this magnitude.

    The company pleaded guilty to “illegally trafficking in secret military budget reports” (1990); paid $4 million to settle charges that it overbilled the Pentagon (1994); paid $10 million to settle a class-action lawsuit contending that its Amana unit sold defective furnaces and water heaters (1997); paid $2.7 million to settle allegations that it improperly charged the Pentagon for expenses incurred in marketing products to foreign governments (1998); paid $400,000 to settle claims that it overcharged the Defense Department (1999); paid the federal government more than $1 million to resolve quality-control issues on various electronic devices sold to the Pentagon (2000); paid $3.9 million to settle charges that it overbilled the Defense Department (2003); agreed to pay a $25 million civil penalty to resolve State Department charges that the company violated export controls (2003); agreed to pay $12 million after the SEC found it made “false and misleading disclosures and used improper accounting practices that operated as a fraud” (2006); agreed to pay an $8 million fine for export control violations (2013); agreed to pay $1 million to settle a claim involving procurement fraud (2019); agreed, along with a subsidiary, to pay $515,000 to settle False Claims Act allegations (2021); and agreed to pay $59.2 million to settle an Employee Retirement Income Security Act complaint after using an outdated mortality table to improperly calculate retirement benefits (2021).

    Earlier this year, RTX agreed to pay $200 million to settle allegations that it violated U.S. export controls, including by transferring some technology behind Air Force One and U.S. military aircraft to China, among other wrongdoing, and was named in a class-action lawsuit for allegedly discriminating against job-seekers who are 40 years or older. This week’s $950 million agreement includes a $428 million civil settlement for allegedly deceiving the government about its labor and material costs to justify pricier no-bid contracts and for double-billing on a weapons maintenance contract.

    “Raytheon Corporation engaged in a systematic and deliberate conspiracy that knowingly and willfully violated U.S. fraud and export laws,” said Special Agent in Charge William S. Walker of Homeland Security Investigations, New York earlier this week. “Raytheon’s bribery of government officials, specifically those involved in the procurement of U.S. military technology, posed a national security threat to both the United States and its allies.”

    Johnson, the RTX spokesperson, would not comment on Raytheon’s long history of alleged misconduct, noting only that “RTX has entered into agreements with the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ) and the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) related to previously disclosed investigations,” characterizing them as “legacy legal matters.” He also failed to respond to questions about the company endangering U.S. national security and its obligation to the U.S. taxpayers.

    While taxpayers have been harmed by Raytheon’s corrupt business practices, the weapons giant’s investors have cashed in during Israel’s war on Gaza. “Raytheon’s total return for investors in the past year is 82.69 percent, outperforming the S&P 500 by about 46 percent,” Eli Clifton, a senior adviser at the Quincy Institute, wrote recently.

    “At this point Raytheon appears to be a rogue company that is more interested in increasing revenues for its executives and shareholders than serving as a reliable supplier of defense equipment,” Hartung told The Intercept. “The scale of Raytheon’s malfeasance suggests that the Justice Department should take a close look at the practices of other arms contractors to determine whether the kinds of things Raytheon has done are an industry-wide practice.”

    The post When Blood Money Isn’t Enough: Raytheon Admits to Defrauding Pentagon appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • Two decades ago, Shahawar Matin Siraj started to feel uneasy about a plan to bomb a subway station in Manhattan. Osama Eldawoody, a New York City Police Department informant recruited after 9/11, had established himself as a father figure to Siraj, who was 21 when they met. Eldawoody was almost twice his age. He had shown Siraj graphic visuals of Muslims being tortured and told him that suicide bombings were forbidden but “killing the killers” was not.

    Siraj eventually introduced Eldawoody to a friend, James Elshafay, who was 19 at the time. Elshafay started suggesting actual targets, such as bridges and police precincts. Siraj offered an alternative: the Herald Square subway station. Eldawoody told Siraj that the “Brotherhood” wanted to support his plan. 

    But as it started to feel real, Siraj tried to back out — insisting about 18 times that he was not willing to place bombs in the station. “I have to, you know, ask my mom’s permission,” he had said — suggesting that the most he would be comfortable with would be acting as a lookout. Siraj and Elshafay were arrested a week later.

    Elshafay pleaded guilty and was sentenced to five years in prison and three of supervised release. Siraj decided to fight the charges, went to trial, and was sentenced in 2007 to 30 years in prison after three years of pretrial detention. 

    Now, after serving more than 75 percent of his sentence, he and his lawyers at CLEAR, a legal nonprofit and clinic at the City University of New York, are fighting for his compassionate release.

    Shahawar Matin Siraj receives his GED at FCI-Terre Haute, Indiana, in 2010. Photo: Courtesy of the Siraj family

    Opening arguments took place on Wednesday before the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit in Manhattan, where Siraj’s legal team is appealing a March 2023 decision from the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of New York denying that request. Siraj’s lawyer, Mudassar Hayat Toppa, a staff attorney at CLEAR, argued that he deserves compassionate release for many reasons, especially his youth and vulnerability at the time. A forensic psychologist, arranged by the defense to evaluate Siraj for sentencing, had previously said that he had impaired critical thinking and analytical skills. “Based on his intellectual limitations … he is susceptible to the manipulations and demands of others,” the expert noted. Even Siraj’s family described a somewhat childlike demeanor; his sister mentioned that before his arrest he would watch cartoons and play video games, particularly Pokémon, everyday. 

    The defense also pointed on Wednesday to Siraj’s efforts at rehabilitation, including how he put his own safety at risk to protect a federal corrections official from an act of violence from another inmate. They emphasized the significantly shorter sentence given to his co-defendant; difficult prison conditions, including four years at the Communications Management Unit at FCI-Terre Haute; and the discriminatory police surveillance that led law enforcement to him. Rather than considering these reasons holistically, the district court denied his motion by evaluating each one in isolation, they argued. The prosecution refuted this argument on Wednesday, with lawyer Nina Gupta saying that the government did not view each reason in isolation. In a legal brief, they cited a map that Siraj had drawn of the subway station and that he failed to meet the heavy burden of proof showing that the district court “made a clearly erroneous assessment of the evidence.”

    Siraj is one of almost 1,000 terrorism defendants prosecuted by the U.S. since 9/11, according to an Intercept database that was last updated in June 2023; more than 350 defendants’ cases involved FBI stings with an informant or undercover agent. The fear of this kind of surveillance transformed the social fabric of Muslim communities and made them more insular. 

    “You didn’t know if the person you’re talking to was an informant or undercover,” says Fahd Ahmed, executive director of Desis Rising Up and Moving, or DRUM, which represents low-wage South Asian and Indo-Caribbean immigrants, workers, and youth in New York City. (Siraj’s family are members.) A 2014 Human Rights Watch report closely reviewed 27 federal prosecutions involving 77 defendants and found that in some instances, “the FBI may have created terrorists out of law-abiding individuals by suggesting the idea of taking terrorist action or encouraging the target to act.” The report also described a pattern of targeting people with mental or intellectual disabilities in these stings. 

    Related

    More Than 400 People Convicted of Terrorism in the U.S. Have Been Released Since 9/11

    Siraj’s counsel — like many others — had tried and failed in proving their earlier assertions of entrapment in court. Despite reports documenting the invasive role of law enforcement in encouraging crime, winning a legal case using an entrapment defense is essentially “impossible,” says Kathy Manley, legal director for Coalition for Civil Freedoms, a nonprofit organization that advocates for people they believe have been targeted in terrorism cases as part of the broader “war on terror.” Manley explains that’s because prosecutors just need to find that an individual is predisposed to commit a crime in order to rule out entrapment. They can do that by showing that the defendant failed to remove themselves from the situation or by pointing to political statements, Manley says. In Siraj’s case, the prosecutors considered his empathy for Palestinian suicide bombers living under occupation and his fascination with Osama bin Laden. 

    In asking for compassionate release, CLEAR is not attempting to relitigate the court’s verdict on entrapment. The lawyers tried on Wednesday to clarify a letter written by Siraj that they say the district court “erroneously interpreted.” The defendant had written in a letter to the court, “I knew I would never have been involved in any terrorist plot had I never met the informant, but I also knew I had made some terrible mistakes.” The district court concluded that “such an assertion is not an acceptance of responsibility, but an attempt to shift blame for extraordinarily serious conduct and to relitigate the underlying facts of his case” — and in particular, “the jury’s rejection of his entrapment defense.”

    This reasoning was used to reject arguments highlighting Siraj’s rehabilitation, age, and unique vulnerabilities, since the district court perceived this “unwillingness to accept responsibility” as evidence that Siraj is not sufficiently remorseful, after 17 years in prison, for his actions. CLEAR highlighted several other explicit admissions of responsibility and remorse for his role in the conspiracy. “I also know that I am ultimately responsible for my actions and the consequences that resulted from them,” Siraj had written.

    Compassionate release has been granted in similar cases before, albeit rarely. Last July, a U.S. district judge ordered the release of three men convicted in a terrorism sting, saying that “the real lead conspirator was the United States.” Three men from the “Newburgh Four” were freed after the judge found that they were little more than “petty criminals” and that FBI agents had been the major driver of a supposed plot to blow up synagogues in New York and shoot down official planes.

    Shahawar Matin Siraj with his mother, Shahina Parveen Siraj, at FCI Otisville. Photo: Courtesy of the Siraj family

    After Wednesday’s trial, Siraj’s lawyer said that evidence of his client’s rehabilitation is among the most compelling he’s seen in compassionate release cases. “This case is important not just for Siraj,” Toppa said, “but also for others serving long sentences on terrorism-related convictions, whose redeeming conduct and statements during their incarceration are scrutinized to an unreasonable degree and dismissed by courts seemingly because of the nature of their offense.”

    As Siraj waits for the court’s verdict, he has now spent 20 of his 42 years behind bars. His family is shattered too. After Siraj’s arrest in 2004, community members, including some relatives, pulled away and avoided visiting their home or saying hello on the street, says Ahmed, the director of DRUM. That’s a common dynamic with families whose loved ones have been charged with terrorism in cases involving informants. “They’re worried about getting painted as terrorism sympathizers,” Ahmed says. As for Siraj’s mother, Ahmed says she rarely leaves her home because she doesn’t want to miss a phone call from him.

    The post An Informant Pushed Him to Plot a Subway Bombing. After 20 Years Behind Bars, He Has a Chance at Freedom. appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 12:  Former U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney talks about his wife Lynne Cheney's book "James Madison: A Life Reconsidered" May 12, 2014 in Washington, DC. The Cheneys spoke at the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research.  (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
    Former Vice President Dick Cheney at the American Enterprise Institute on May 12, 2014, in Washington, D.C. Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images

    The Iraq war — sold on lies and bungled in its prosecution — has become the embodiment of American hubris in the 21st century. Hundreds of thousands died, allies were alienated, and the U.S. became mired in a decadeslong boondoggle that is still unfolding. By 2007, a few years after the war was launched, all but its most diehard proponents had come to see it as the mistake it was.

    Today, those same diehard war hawks — the very people who planned and carried out the Iraq invasion — are proudly throwing their full support behind Vice President Kamala Harris in the November presidential election.

    Chief among them is former Vice President Dick Cheney. Not far behind are a clutch of other Bush-era figures aligned with the neoconservative movement, like Bill Kristol; former officials like former Attorney General Alberto Gonzales; and staffers for the late former Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz.

    Harris is, in turn, embracing her new right-wing fan club, touting endorsements from more than 200 Republican staffers who worked for George W. Bush, McCain, and another former Republican presidential nominee, Sen. Mitt Romney, R-Utah.

    Harris is embracing her new right-wing fan club.

    “Of course, we have plenty of honest, ideological disagreements with Vice President Harris,” the GOP staffers wrote in a letter. “That’s to be expected. The alternative, however, is simply untenable.”

    These hawks say they’re endorsing Harris largely to stop Donald Trump — citing his conduct and “chaotic leadership” — but these prominent conservatives are backing the Democratic nominee because their visions for U.S. foreign policy increasingly appear to be aligned. The Democratic and Republican parties are more unified than ever in their commitment to preserving American hegemony and preventing the multipolar world from emerging.

    As vice president, Cheney was one of the principal architects not only of the Iraq War, which left hundreds of thousands of Iraqis dead, but also the U.S.’s worldwide torture regime. The aftershocks of America’s eight-year occupation are still being felt in the region and in our domestic politics to this day. Former Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wy., who inherited her father’s hawkish views, has also pledged to do whatever she can to elect Harris, including launching a PAC that has raised millions of dollars to boost the Democrat’s campaign.

    This marks a departure from the past 20 years of Democratic presidential campaigns, which were built on a repudiation of the Bush administration and its disastrous war in Iraq.

    Just 18 months after American troops went into Baghdad, the 2004 Democratic presidential nominee, John Kerry, said that the invasion created “a crisis of historic proportions.” He charged Bush with “stubborn incompetence” over his handling of the war. In 2008, Barack Obama’s opposition to the unpopular war was a major source of his success at the ballot box.

    Even in 2016, the repercussions of the Iraq War were a major issue in the Democratic primary. Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., made his opposition to the war a cornerstone of his platform and repeatedly referenced Hillary Clinton’s vote in favor of it. “I don’t think you are qualified if you have voted for the disastrous war in Iraq,” Sanders said of Clinton.

    Now, however, an endorsement from one of the biggest war criminals in recent history is seen as an asset, not a liability.

    Harris for Hawks

    The Harris campaign isn’t just courting moderates and conservatives as part of a short-term strategy to win the election. Rather, Democrats are actively supporting and spouting neoconservative ideas.

    During her keynote address at the Democratic National Convention, Harris vowed: “As commander-in-chief, I will ensure America always has the strongest, most lethal fighting force in the world” — as her party blocked any Palestinian Americans from appearing on the convention stage to speak about Israel’s genocidal war on Gaza.

    The party’s 2024 platform also reflects this rightward shift. A section from the 2020 platform on ending forever wars and opposing regime change was completely removed in 2024. The Democratic Party went from calling for an end to U.S. support for Saudi Arabia’s brutal war in Yemen to championing the Biden administration’s plan for a normalization deal between Israel and the Persian Gulf monarchy — a plan that could also put American lives on the line to protect the Saudi dictatorship for decades to come.

    Some of the most glaring neocon-coded changes in the platform have to do with Iran policy. This year’s platform attempted to portray Trump as being too soft on Iran, while including no mention of the Trump administration’s assassination of a top Iranian military commander. Though Harris’s national security adviser, Phil Gordon, helped negotiate the 2015 Iran deal, others in her circle have predicted that a Harris administration would not seek to return to the Iran nuclear deal.

    It’s not like Trump offers a viable alternative. As recently as the debate this week, Harris and Trump tried to outflank each other on issues like China, immigration, and crime. Trump called Biden a “very bad Palestinian” who doesn’t want to help Israel “finish the job” in Gaza. Both parties are guilty of China-bashing and casting China as an existential threat to the U.S. As president, Trump declared economic war on China, which was then escalated by Biden.

    The American people don’t support any of these bloodthirsty policies, but it appears that circles of power in the U.S. are increasingly disconnected from the will of the people. The vast majority of Americans who want the U.S. to pull back and focus on domestic issues are going to be left without any serious option in November. The country, and the world, will pay the price.

    The post Do Kamala Harris’s Neocon Supporters Just Hate Trump, or Is There Something More to Her Appeal? appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • WASHINGTON, DC - MAY 12:  Former U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney talks about his wife Lynne Cheney's book "James Madison: A Life Reconsidered" May 12, 2014 in Washington, DC. The Cheneys spoke at the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research.  (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
    Former Vice President Dick Cheney at the American Enterprise Institute on May 12, 2014, in Washington, D.C. Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images

    The Iraq war — sold on lies and bungled in its prosecution — has become the embodiment of American hubris in the 21st century. Hundreds of thousands died, allies were alienated, and the U.S. became mired in a decadeslong boondoggle that is still unfolding. By 2007, a few years after the war was launched, all but its most diehard proponents had come to see it as the mistake it was.

    Today, those same diehard war hawks — the very people who planned and carried out the Iraq invasion — are proudly throwing their full support behind Vice President Kamala Harris in the November presidential election.

    Chief among them is former Vice President Dick Cheney. Not far behind are a clutch of other Bush-era figures aligned with the neoconservative movement, like Bill Kristol; former officials like former Attorney General Alberto Gonzales; and staffers for the late former Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz.

    Harris is, in turn, embracing her new right-wing fan club, touting endorsements from more than 200 Republican staffers who worked for George W. Bush, McCain, and another former Republican presidential nominee, Sen. Mitt Romney, R-Utah.

    Harris is embracing her new right-wing fan club.

    “Of course, we have plenty of honest, ideological disagreements with Vice President Harris,” the GOP staffers wrote in a letter. “That’s to be expected. The alternative, however, is simply untenable.”

    These hawks say they’re endorsing Harris largely to stop Donald Trump — citing his conduct and “chaotic leadership” — but these prominent conservatives are backing the Democratic nominee because their visions for U.S. foreign policy increasingly appear to be aligned. The Democratic and Republican parties are more unified than ever in their commitment to preserving American hegemony and preventing the multipolar world from emerging.

    As vice president, Cheney was one of the principal architects not only of the Iraq War, which left hundreds of thousands of Iraqis dead, but also the U.S.’s worldwide torture regime. The aftershocks of America’s eight-year occupation are still being felt in the region and in our domestic politics to this day. Former Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wy., who inherited her father’s hawkish views, has also pledged to do whatever she can to elect Harris, including launching a PAC that has raised millions of dollars to boost the Democrat’s campaign.

    This marks a departure from the past 20 years of Democratic presidential campaigns, which were built on a repudiation of the Bush administration and its disastrous war in Iraq.

    Just 18 months after American troops went into Baghdad, the 2004 Democratic presidential nominee, John Kerry, said that the invasion created “a crisis of historic proportions.” He charged Bush with “stubborn incompetence” over his handling of the war. In 2008, Barack Obama’s opposition to the unpopular war was a major source of his success at the ballot box.

    Even in 2016, the repercussions of the Iraq War were a major issue in the Democratic primary. Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., made his opposition to the war a cornerstone of his platform and repeatedly referenced Hillary Clinton’s vote in favor of it. “I don’t think you are qualified if you have voted for the disastrous war in Iraq,” Sanders said of Clinton.

    Now, however, an endorsement from one of the biggest war criminals in recent history is seen as an asset, not a liability.

    Harris for Hawks

    The Harris campaign isn’t just courting moderates and conservatives as part of a short-term strategy to win the election. Rather, Democrats are actively supporting and spouting neoconservative ideas.

    During her keynote address at the Democratic National Convention, Harris vowed: “As commander-in-chief, I will ensure America always has the strongest, most lethal fighting force in the world” — as her party blocked any Palestinian Americans from appearing on the convention stage to speak about Israel’s genocidal war on Gaza.

    The party’s 2024 platform also reflects this rightward shift. A section from the 2020 platform on ending forever wars and opposing regime change was completely removed in 2024. The Democratic Party went from calling for an end to U.S. support for Saudi Arabia’s brutal war in Yemen to championing the Biden administration’s plan for a normalization deal between Israel and the Persian Gulf monarchy — a plan that could also put American lives on the line to protect the Saudi dictatorship for decades to come.

    Some of the most glaring neocon-coded changes in the platform have to do with Iran policy. This year’s platform attempted to portray Trump as being too soft on Iran, while including no mention of the Trump administration’s assassination of a top Iranian military commander. Though Harris’s national security adviser, Phil Gordon, helped negotiate the 2015 Iran deal, others in her circle have predicted that a Harris administration would not seek to return to the Iran nuclear deal.

    It’s not like Trump offers a viable alternative. As recently as the debate this week, Harris and Trump tried to outflank each other on issues like China, immigration, and crime. Trump called Biden a “very bad Palestinian” who doesn’t want to help Israel “finish the job” in Gaza. Both parties are guilty of China-bashing and casting China as an existential threat to the U.S. As president, Trump declared economic war on China, which was then escalated by Biden.

    The American people don’t support any of these bloodthirsty policies, but it appears that circles of power in the U.S. are increasingly disconnected from the will of the people. The vast majority of Americans who want the U.S. to pull back and focus on domestic issues are going to be left without any serious option in November. The country, and the world, will pay the price.

    The post Do Kamala Harris’s Neocon Supporters Just Hate Trump, or Is There Something More to Her Appeal? appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • The U.S. military has announced the sale of billions of dollars of missiles, bombs, and other weapons to Israel in the past year, as the campaign on Gaza grinds on. Now, the Department of Defense is also building aircraft facilities in Israel to accommodate American-made refueling tanker planes, according to newly issued public contracting documents reviewed by The Intercept.

    The project includes new construction and upgrades of existing buildings, including one or more hangars, warehouses, and storage facilities, at an Israeli military base in the south of Israel, according to Army Corps of Engineers documents.  

    The construction stems from a nearly $1 billion contract, awarded to defense giant Boeing in 2022, to provide Israel with four KC-46A tanker aircraft to be delivered by the end of 2026. The purchase of the KC-46As was seen as a signal of Israel’s determination to increase its capacity to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities.

    The KC-46A is the newest tanker being produced for the United States Air Force to replace its two aging models. The new aircraft has been plagued with myriad problems, including issues with its Remote Vision System, which allows the boom operator to see the boom through a video feed. The plane has also become a financial burden, racking up more than $7 billion in losses.

    For Israel, the new aircraft, purchased for $927 million, will replace the decades-old, repurposed Boeing 707 passenger planes that the Israeli Air Force currently uses for mid-air refueling of fighter aircraft.  

    Last month, the Biden administration approved five major arms sales to Israel, including 50 F-15 fighter aircraft, tank ammunition, tactical vehicles, air-to-air missiles, and 50,000 mortar rounds, among other equipment totaling more than $20 billion. While technically “sales,” the cost of these weapons is mostly paid by the United States since Israel uses much of the military aid Congress approves to buy U.S.-made weapons.

    Since last October, Israeli attacks on the Gaza Strip have spawned a humanitarian catastrophe, killed more than 40,000 Palestinians and wounded close to 94,000 according to the Palestinian Ministry of Health. Israel has used U.S. munitions in its strikes on Gaza.

    The KC-46A construction project, according to documents issued on Wednesday, includes “establishing and adapting aviation and maintenance infrastructure for the KC-46,” including construction of five new concrete and steel structures, as well as the possibility for building additional buildings and warehouses.

    The Pentagon is no stranger to construction projects in Israel. Late last year, The Intercept revealed that the Defense Department had awarded a multimillion-dollar contract to build U.S. troop facilities for a secret base it maintains deep within Israel’s Negev desert, just 20 miles from Gaza. Code-named “Site 512,” the longstanding U.S. base is a radar facility that monitors the skies for missile attacks on Israel. 

    A recent investigation by The Intercept disclosed that Site 512 is just one of more than 60 U.S. bases, garrisons, or shared foreign facilities in the Middle East. These sites range from small combat outposts to massive air bases in 13 countries: Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. 

    At least 14 of these bases have been attacked in recent years. Since October 17 of last year alone, a mix of one-way attack drones, rockets, mortars, and close-range ballistic missiles have led to at least 145 U.S. casualties — troops and contractors — at regional outposts. That includes three service members killed in a January drone attack on Tower 22, a facility in Jordan.

    The Defense Department intends to award contracts for work on the KC-46A construction project in February 2025. The Pentagon failed to respond to The Intercept’s request for comment about the construction project.  The State Department acknowledged The Intercept’s questions but did not offer answers prior to publication.

    The post U.S. Army Is Upgrading an Israeli Base to Help Fit Boeing Warplanes appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • The U.S. military has announced the sale of billions of dollars of missiles, bombs, and other weapons to Israel in the past year, as the campaign in Gaza grinds on. Now, the Department of Defense is also building aircraft facilities in Israel to accommodate American-made refueling tanker planes, according to newly issued public contracting documents reviewed by The Intercept.

    The project includes new construction and upgrades of existing buildings, including one or more hangars, warehouses, and storage facilities, at an Israeli military base in the south of Israel, according to Army Corps of Engineers documents.  

    The construction stems from a nearly $1 billion contract, awarded to defense giant Boeing in 2022, to provide Israel with four KC-46A Pegasus tanker aircraft to be delivered by the end of 2026. The purchase of the KC-46As was seen as a signal of Israel’s determination to increase its capacity to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities.

    The KC-46A is the newest tanker being produced for the U.S. Air Force to replace its two aging models. The new aircraft has been plagued with myriad problems, including issues with its Remote Vision System, which allows the boom operator to see the boom through a video feed. The plane has also become a financial burden, racking up more than $7 billion in losses.

    For Israel, the new aircraft, purchased for $927 million, will replace the decades-old, repurposed Boeing 707 passenger planes that the Israeli Air Force currently uses for midair refueling of fighter aircraft.  

    Last month, the Biden administration approved five major arms sales to Israel, including 50 F-15 fighter aircraft, tank ammunition, tactical vehicles, air-to-air missiles, and 50,000 mortar rounds, among other equipment totaling more than $20 billion. While technically “sales,” the cost of these weapons is mostly paid by the United States since Israel uses much of the military aid Congress approves to buy U.S.-made weapons.

    Since last October, Israeli attacks on the Gaza Strip have spawned a humanitarian catastrophe, killed more than 40,000 Palestinians and wounded close to 94,000, according to the Palestinian Ministry of Health. Israel has used U.S. munitions in its strikes on Gaza.

    The KC-46A construction project, according to documents issued on Wednesday, includes “establishing and adapting aviation and maintenance infrastructure for the KC-46,” including construction of five new concrete and steel structures, as well as the possibility for building additional buildings and warehouses.

    The Pentagon is no stranger to construction projects in Israel. Late last year, The Intercept revealed that the Defense Department had awarded a multimillion-dollar contract to build U.S. troop facilities for a secret base it maintains deep within Israel’s Negev desert, just 20 miles from Gaza. Code-named “Site 512,” the longstanding U.S. base is a radar facility that monitors the skies for missile attacks on Israel. 

    A recent investigation by The Intercept disclosed that Site 512 is just one of more than 60 U.S. bases, garrisons, or shared foreign facilities in the Middle East. These sites range from small combat outposts to massive air bases in 13 countries: Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. 

    At least 14 of these bases have been attacked in recent years. Since October 17 of last year alone, a mix of one-way attack drones, rockets, mortars, and close-range ballistic missiles have led to at least 145 U.S. casualties — troops and contractors — at regional outposts. That includes the three service members killed in a January drone attack on Tower 22, a facility in Jordan.

    The Defense Department intends to award contracts for work on the KC-46A construction project in February 2025. The Pentagon failed to respond to The Intercept’s request for comment about the construction project. The State Department acknowledged The Intercept’s questions but did not offer answers prior to publication.

    The post U.S. Army Is Upgrading an Israeli Base to Make Room for New Boeing Jets appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • During the fall of 2022, Western support for defending Ukraine was achieving results that few had thought possible. A successful Ukrainian counteroffensive had pushed Russia out of Kharkiv, and it was on the verge of being forced out of Kherson too.

    The successes were so rousing that President Joe Biden began worry about Russia getting desperate and the potential risk of a nuclear escalation. In private remarks at a fundraiser, Biden reportedly said that the risk of nuclear “armageddon” was the highest it had been since the Cuban missile crisis.

    After news of the comments broke, 30 progressive Democrats issued a letter echoing Biden’s concerns and urging the administration to pair support for Ukraine’s successes with a “proactive diplomatic push” to seek a ceasefire. The signatories were unequivocal that they supported Biden’s commitment to Ukraine. A draft of the letter had even come in for criticism from the grassroots supports of diplomacy for its staunch support of sending billions in arms to Ukraine.

    It all seemed very reasonable, especially amid talk of nuclear war.

    The lawmakers were torn to shreds.

    The mild-mannered letter from the Congressional Progressive Caucus provoked wild political attacks, recriminations, and resignations. Factions of progressives, liberals, and Democrats feuded on Twitter. Headlines and talk shows took up the issue. The anti-diplomacy voices won the day: The letter would eventually be retracted, with its supporters taking a huge political hit.

    Related

    House Progressives Float Diplomatic Path Toward Ending War in Ukraine, Get Annihilated, Quickly “Clarify”

    Today, however, the war is stuck. The momentum has shifted. And tens of thousands more Ukrainians and Russians have lost their lives. And even members of the foreign policy establishment are coming to realize it.

    “I think it’s safe to say that Ukraine is unable to generate the combat capability needed to achieve military victory, and right now the momentum on the battlefield, despite Ukraine’s push into the Kursk region of Russia, favors Russia,” said Charles Kupchan, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and international affairs professor at Georgetown University. “Because of that reality, I think that the Ukrainians themselves and Ukraine’s supporters in the West need to have truthful, even if painful, conversations about how to end this war sooner rather than later.”

    In 2022, the progressives had been pilloried and cowed. Today, they look more prescient than ever.

    The Backlash

    At the time of its release, the CPC’s letter provoked a furious backlash. Washington’s foreign policy establishment, and even members of the progressives’ own party, melted down.

    Rep. Jake Auchincloss, D-Mass., went as far as to accuse his fellow House Democrats of offering an “olive branch to a war criminal who’s losing his war.”

    Brandon Friedman, a former Obama administration official, said that progressives had just given “Republicans, the Kremlin and Russian propaganda networks an absolute gift with this letter.”

    Joe Cirincione, a Washington national security analyst and figure in the progressive foreign policy world, called the letter an “incoherent mishmash of contradictory positions based on an outdated analysis of the war.”

    “It was written when the war was stalemated, released when Ukraine is winning,” said Cirincione, who resigned from the Quincy Institute over the think tank’s call for diplomatic talks. “Of course the positions don’t make sense.”

    WASHINGTON - JUNE 5: Rep. Pramila Jayapal, D-Wash., walks down the House steps of the U.S. Capitol after the last votes of the week on Wednesday, June 5, 2024. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)
    Rep. Pramila Jayapal, D-Wash., at the U.S. Capitol in Washington on June 5, 2024. Photo: Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images

    Within 24 hours, Rep. Pramila Jayapal, D-Wash., the caucus chair, withdrew the letter and issued a “clarification statement.” Other signatories acted like they were walking the letter back, though they were merely reiterating the unequivocal support for Ukraine’s defense that the letter itself had made clear. (Many of the lawmakers involved did not respond to my requests for comment.)

    In a nearly 900-word statement, Rep. Jamie Raskin, D-Md., blamed “unfortunate timing” and doubled down on the idea that the U.S. should help Ukraine fight until the end. “All champions of democracy over autocracy — whether they call themselves progressives, conservatives or liberals — should be doing whatever we can to ensure that Ukraine wins this just war as quickly as possible,” he said.

    A few voices of reason emerged, as a few members of Congress held fast. Reps. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y, were among the few who publicly defended their call for diplomacy. “History shows that silencing debate in Congress about matters of war and peace never ends well,” Khanna said at the time.

    Related

    The Disturbing Groupthink Over the War in Ukraine

    Even some former Obama officials were shocked by the response. Ben Rhodes criticized the “circular firing squad” against pro-diplomacy advocates on the left, saying there was “nothing objectionable in this letter whatsoever.”

    Far from being an “outdated analysis,” as critics like Cirincione claimed, the letter’s strategy of using war successes to get a ceasefire seems today like it was far-sighted.

    “Cycle of Persistent Violence”

    Since the ill-fated letter, the war has ground on — with devastating results for the people of Ukraine. Ukraine is not in a position to win the war, nor does it have a stronger bargaining position in talks than it did in late 2022 when the CPC letter came out.

    A New York Times report in August cited U.S. officials estimating the Ukrainian death toll at close to 70,000, with 100,000 to 120,000 wounded. Ukraine has lost a fifth of its population to migration, and many able-bodied men have been killed, severely injured, or are currently fighting and out of the workforce. CNN reported this week that desertion is a major problem for Ukraine.

    Despite the heavy toll, Ukraine lost territory to Russia over the course of 2023, and Russian advances have only gained steam since then.

    Former CIA Russia analyst George Beebe said that the conflict has become a war of attrition, so Ukrainians are losing bargaining leverage by the day. “They’re going to need Western help” to strike a compromise settlement with Russia, he said, adding that it would take robust U.S. involvement.

    Has it benefited Ukraine to keep fighting? “No, I don’t think so,” Beebe told me. “Actually, Ukraine has lost a lot more people. It is on a path toward becoming a failed state.”

    Despite the criticisms, despite many of its members caving, the CPC letter had been on to something. Now, Washington is playing catch-up, with Ukraine bearing the brunt of the lack of U.S. foresight and no one standing to gain as much as empowered Vladimir Putin.

    Though the controversy around the CPC letter was almost immediately memory-holed, it would only be a few weeks before it started to look like pro-diplomacy advocates would eventually be vindicated.

    A Washington Post report revealed that the Biden administration was privately encouraging Ukraine to show that it’s open to negotiations. Gen. Mark Milley, the since-retired chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, joined the growing group of people advocating for diplomacy to end the war. Citing the lesson of World War I, where the failure to negotiate led to millions of unnecessary deaths, Milley called on Russia and Ukraine to “seize the moment” and consider peace talks that winter.

    For all the purportedly pro-Ukraine motivations behind the meltdown over the ceasefire letter, it is Ukrainians themselves who have most acutely felt the pain of continued war.

    Many Ukrainians seem to understand this better than backers in Washington: Ukraine’s government reportedly charged nearly 19,000 soldiers with abandoning their positions in just the first four months of 2024. The same could be said for conscripted Russians forced to serve under Putin’s authoritarian drive to win the war.

    “There are no protections for conscientious objectors in Ukraine or in Russia through this war,” said Bridget Moix, the general secretary of the Friends Committee on National Legislation, a progressive group that supports diplomacy. “We have to look at how we can support other ways to end this war, other ways to protect civilians, other ways to find a solution out of the violence now. We’re in a cycle of persistent violence that’s costing tremendous lives on both sides.”

    Reduced Leverage

    Though Ukrainian and American leaders have come to terms with Ukraine’s reduced negotiating leverage, Washington national security elites have not reckoned with the stances they took earlier in the war. After experiencing what former State Department official-turned-commentator Tommy Vietor called a “strangely vicious controversy,” former proponents of diplomacy are now steering clear of the topic.

    Rep. Sara Jacobs, D-Calif., one of the CPC members who signed the initial 2022 letter, disavowed it in October of that year.

    “Timing in diplomacy is everything. I signed this letter on June 30, but a lot has changed since then. I wouldn’t sign it today,” Jacobs wrote on X. “We have to continue supporting Ukraine economically and militarily to give them the leverage they need to end this war.”

    Today, asked if Jacobs stands by her decision to withdraw support for the letter, her office replied, “Decisions about if and when to negotiate an end to this war are up to Ukraine. I have and will continue to support Ukraine’s ability to defend itself.”

    For some experts, there was a missed opportunity to stand firm behind the letter.

    “We always say that it’s for the Ukrainians to decide, but really we make Ukrainian decisions possible by our support.”

    “That was the moment to just sort of say, ‘OK, let’s split the baby here, and you’re going to be able to get this, and we’re going to be able to walk away and not have our infrastructure destroyed,’” said Keith Darden, a comparative politics professor at American University and Russia–Ukraine expert. “If you think about the destruction that’s been visited on Ukraine, both just sheer death toll and in the destruction of the power grid and infrastructure since that time, the fall of 2022, it’s just really tragic that there wasn’t more of a push made then.”

    The negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow in the early weeks of the Russian invasion — which were held predominantly in Turkey — were another chance to end the war, Darden said. In April 2022, Russia and Ukraine had agreed on the outlines of a tentative agreement to halt the conflict. The U.S. and U.K. governments, however, worked to sabotage the deal and prolong the war, according to multiple reports.

    By May 2022, Ukrainska Pravda, a pro-Western Ukrainian outlet, reported that former U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson told Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy that the West would not support a peace deal even if Ukraine was ready to sign one. The West, Johnson said, preferred to fight Putin because he was less powerful than they thought.

    “We always say that it’s for the Ukrainians to decide, but really we make Ukrainian decisions possible by our support,” Darden said. “Without our support, Ukrainians wouldn’t be in a position to make decisions — these things would be forced on them by Russian victory.”

    The post Progressives Were Pilloried for Wanting to End the Ukraine War in 2022. Things Have Only Gotten Worse. appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • During the fall of 2022, Western support for defending Ukraine was achieving results that few had thought possible. A successful Ukrainian counteroffensive had pushed Russia out of Kharkiv, and it was on the verge of being forced out of Kherson too.

    The successes were so rousing that President Joe Biden began to worry about Russia getting desperate and the potential risk of a nuclear escalation. In private remarks at a fundraiser, Biden reportedly said that the risk of nuclear “armageddon” was the highest it had been since the Cuban missile crisis.

    After news of the comments broke, 30 progressive Democrats issued a letter echoing Biden’s concerns and urging the administration to pair support for Ukraine’s successes with a “proactive diplomatic push” to seek a ceasefire. The signatories were unequivocal that they supported Biden’s commitment to Ukraine. A draft of the letter had even come in for criticism from the grassroots supports of diplomacy for its staunch support of sending billions in arms to Ukraine.

    It all seemed very reasonable, especially amid talk of nuclear war.

    The lawmakers were torn to shreds.

    The mild-mannered letter from the Congressional Progressive Caucus provoked wild political attacks, recriminations, and resignations. Factions of progressives, liberals, and Democrats feuded on Twitter. Headlines and talk shows took up the issue. The anti-diplomacy voices won the day: The letter would eventually be retracted, with its supporters taking a huge political hit.

    Related

    House Progressives Float Diplomatic Path Toward Ending War in Ukraine, Get Annihilated, Quickly “Clarify”

    Today, however, the war is stuck. The momentum has shifted. And tens of thousands more Ukrainians and Russians have lost their lives. And even members of the foreign policy establishment are coming to realize it.

    “I think it’s safe to say that Ukraine is unable to generate the combat capability needed to achieve military victory, and right now the momentum on the battlefield, despite Ukraine’s push into the Kursk region of Russia, favors Russia,” said Charles Kupchan, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and international affairs professor at Georgetown University. “Because of that reality, I think that the Ukrainians themselves and Ukraine’s supporters in the West need to have truthful, even if painful, conversations about how to end this war sooner rather than later.”

    In 2022, the progressives had been pilloried and cowed. Today, they look more prescient than ever.

    The Backlash

    At the time of its release, the CPC’s letter provoked a furious backlash. Washington’s foreign policy establishment, and even members of the progressives’ own party, melted down.

    Rep. Jake Auchincloss, D-Mass., went as far as to accuse his fellow House Democrats of offering an “olive branch to a war criminal who’s losing his war.”

    Brandon Friedman, a former Obama administration official, said that progressives had just given “Republicans, the Kremlin and Russian propaganda networks an absolute gift with this letter.”

    Joe Cirincione, a Washington national security analyst and figure in the progressive foreign policy world, called the letter an “incoherent mishmash of contradictory positions based on an outdated analysis of the war.”

    “It was written when the war was stalemated, released when Ukraine is winning,” said Cirincione, who resigned from the Quincy Institute over the think tank’s call for diplomatic talks. “Of course the positions don’t make sense.”

    WASHINGTON - JUNE 5: Rep. Pramila Jayapal, D-Wash., walks down the House steps of the U.S. Capitol after the last votes of the week on Wednesday, June 5, 2024. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)
    Rep. Pramila Jayapal, D-Wash., at the U.S. Capitol in Washington on June 5, 2024. Photo: Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images

    Within 24 hours, Rep. Pramila Jayapal, D-Wash., the caucus chair, withdrew the letter and issued a “clarification statement.” Other signatories acted like they were walking the letter back, though they were merely reiterating the unequivocal support for Ukraine’s defense that the letter itself had made clear. (Many of the lawmakers involved did not respond to my requests for comment.)

    In a nearly 900-word statement, Rep. Jamie Raskin, D-Md., blamed “unfortunate timing” and doubled down on the idea that the U.S. should help Ukraine fight until the end. “All champions of democracy over autocracy — whether they call themselves progressives, conservatives or liberals — should be doing whatever we can to ensure that Ukraine wins this just war as quickly as possible,” he said.

    A few voices of reason emerged, as a few members of Congress held fast. Reps. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y, were among the few who publicly defended their call for diplomacy. “History shows that silencing debate in Congress about matters of war and peace never ends well,” Khanna said at the time.

    Related

    The Disturbing Groupthink Over the War in Ukraine

    Even some former Obama officials were shocked by the response. Ben Rhodes criticized the “circular firing squad” against pro-diplomacy advocates on the left, saying there was “nothing objectionable in this letter whatsoever.”

    Far from being an “outdated analysis,” as critics like Cirincione claimed, the letter’s strategy of using war successes to get a ceasefire seems today like it was far-sighted.

    “Cycle of Persistent Violence”

    Since the ill-fated letter, the war has ground on — with devastating results for the people of Ukraine. Ukraine is not in a position to win the war, nor does it have a stronger bargaining position in talks than it did in late 2022 when the CPC letter came out.

    A New York Times report in August cited U.S. officials estimating the Ukrainian death toll at close to 70,000, with 100,000 to 120,000 wounded. Ukraine has lost a fifth of its population to migration, and many able-bodied men have been killed, severely injured, or are currently fighting and out of the workforce. CNN reported this week that desertion is a major problem for Ukraine.

    Despite the heavy toll, Ukraine lost territory to Russia over the course of 2023, and Russian advances have only gained steam since then.

    Former CIA Russia analyst George Beebe said that the conflict has become a war of attrition, so Ukrainians are losing bargaining leverage by the day. “They’re going to need Western help” to strike a compromise settlement with Russia, he said, adding that it would take robust U.S. involvement.

    Has it benefited Ukraine to keep fighting? “No, I don’t think so,” Beebe told me. “Actually, Ukraine has lost a lot more people. It is on a path toward becoming a failed state.”

    Despite the criticisms, despite many of its members caving, the CPC letter had been on to something. Now, Washington is playing catch-up, with Ukraine bearing the brunt of the lack of U.S. foresight and no one standing to gain as much as empowered Vladimir Putin.

    Though the controversy around the CPC letter was almost immediately memory-holed, it would only be a few weeks before it started to look like pro-diplomacy advocates would eventually be vindicated.

    A Washington Post report revealed that the Biden administration was privately encouraging Ukraine to show that it’s open to negotiations. Gen. Mark Milley, the since-retired chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, joined the growing group of people advocating for diplomacy to end the war. Citing the lesson of World War I, where the failure to negotiate led to millions of unnecessary deaths, Milley called on Russia and Ukraine to “seize the moment” and consider peace talks that winter.

    For all the purportedly pro-Ukraine motivations behind the meltdown over the ceasefire letter, it is Ukrainians themselves who have most acutely felt the pain of continued war.

    Many Ukrainians seem to understand this better than backers in Washington: Ukraine’s government reportedly charged nearly 19,000 soldiers with abandoning their positions in just the first four months of 2024. The same could be said for conscripted Russians forced to serve under Putin’s authoritarian drive to win the war.

    “There are no protections for conscientious objectors in Ukraine or in Russia through this war,” said Bridget Moix, the general secretary of the Friends Committee on National Legislation, a progressive group that supports diplomacy. “We have to look at how we can support other ways to end this war, other ways to protect civilians, other ways to find a solution out of the violence now. We’re in a cycle of persistent violence that’s costing tremendous lives on both sides.”

    Reduced Leverage

    Though Ukrainian and American leaders have come to terms with Ukraine’s reduced negotiating leverage, Washington national security elites have not reckoned with the stances they took earlier in the war. After experiencing what former State Department official-turned-commentator Tommy Vietor called a “strangely vicious controversy,” former proponents of diplomacy are now steering clear of the topic.

    Rep. Sara Jacobs, D-Calif., one of the CPC members who signed the initial 2022 letter, disavowed it in October of that year.

    “Timing in diplomacy is everything. I signed this letter on June 30, but a lot has changed since then. I wouldn’t sign it today,” Jacobs wrote on X. “We have to continue supporting Ukraine economically and militarily to give them the leverage they need to end this war.”

    Today, asked if Jacobs stands by her decision to withdraw support for the letter, her office replied, “Decisions about if and when to negotiate an end to this war are up to Ukraine. I have and will continue to support Ukraine’s ability to defend itself.”

    For some experts, there was a missed opportunity to stand firm behind the letter.

    “We always say that it’s for the Ukrainians to decide, but really we make Ukrainian decisions possible by our support.”

    “That was the moment to just sort of say, ‘OK, let’s split the baby here, and you’re going to be able to get this, and we’re going to be able to walk away and not have our infrastructure destroyed,’” said Keith Darden, a comparative politics professor at American University and Russia–Ukraine expert. “If you think about the destruction that’s been visited on Ukraine, both just sheer death toll and in the destruction of the power grid and infrastructure since that time, the fall of 2022, it’s just really tragic that there wasn’t more of a push made then.”

    The negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow in the early weeks of the Russian invasion — which were held predominantly in Turkey — were another chance to end the war, Darden said. In April 2022, Russia and Ukraine had agreed on the outlines of a tentative agreement to halt the conflict. The U.S. and U.K. governments, however, worked to sabotage the deal and prolong the war, according to multiple reports.

    By May 2022, Ukrainska Pravda, a pro-Western Ukrainian outlet, reported that former U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson told Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy that the West would not support a peace deal even if Ukraine was ready to sign one. The West, Johnson said, preferred to fight Putin because he was less powerful than they thought.

    “We always say that it’s for the Ukrainians to decide, but really we make Ukrainian decisions possible by our support,” Darden said. “Without our support, Ukrainians wouldn’t be in a position to make decisions — these things would be forced on them by Russian victory.”

    The post Progressives Were Pilloried for Wanting to End the Ukraine War in 2022. Things Have Only Gotten Worse. appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • “As Commander in Chief,” Vice President Kamala Harris said in her acceptance speech at the Democratic National Convention last week, “I will ensure America always has the strongest, most lethal fighting force in the world.”

    Harris’s bellicose bluster received raucous applause from many in Chicago (although not from her stepdaughter, Ella Emhoff, or younger sister, Maya Harris) but struck some observers and pundits as especially “hawkish.” In reality, Harris is merely uniting two popular threads of Beltway boasting about the U.S. military.

    Related

    From Bush to Obama, and Trump to Biden, U.S. Militarism Is the Great Unifier

    For the last two decades, successive presidents have competed to offer the most hyperbolic assessment of the U.S. military. For George W. Bush, the U.S. armed forces were “the greatest force for human liberation the world has ever known.” His successor Barack Obama declared them “the finest fighting force that the world has ever known.” Donald Trump said America had the “greatest military in the world.” Joe Biden returned to Obama-era levels of praise, proclaiming them “the greatest fighting force the world has ever known.” (Just this week Harris repeated the exact line.)

    The grandiosity of these claims is no doubt meant to paper over a dismal record: a bloody stalemate in Korea that still lacks a peace treaty, a devastating loss in Vietnam, a forever war in Iraq, a blowback-generator of a conflict in Libya, the Taliban’s victory in Afghanistan, a dead end in Syria, an unending stalemate in Somalia, failures in the African Sahel, and on and on.

    “Lethality,” on the other hand, is a term of art uncomplicated by military fiascos, deadlocks, and failures, which has made it into a favorite Pentagon buzzword. Nobody doubts that the United States can kill people. Dead civilians from Southeast Asia to the Middle East to the Horn of Africa attest to this brutal fact.

    When the Pentagon talks about lethality, however, it’s often couched in bloodless (and often incomprehensible) language divorced from the reality of reeking corpses with lifeless eyes and shattered limbs.

    In his 2022 National Defense Strategy, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin laid out five key traits of America’s “future force.” The first among them: “Lethal.” In Pentagon-speak, in that instance, “lethal” meant possessing “anti-access/area-denial-insensitive strike capabilities that can penetrate defense at range.”

    In 2017, then-Army Chief of Staff Gen. Mark Milley said his “Modernization Priorities for the United States Army” had “one simple focus: make Soldiers and units more lethal.” Milley wrote about not only “shooting” and “squad combat weapons,” but also things like “improving acquisition business processes.” Before he retired last year, as chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Milley said the U.S. military needed to “maintain our current decisive advantage or lethality or readiness or competence by optimizing these technologies for the conduct of war.” The technologies in question were not, however, bombs or missiles but artificial intelligence and quantum computing.

    Lethality is the ultimate Pentagon hobby horse, a shiny and fuzzily defined goal that can be ridden up the DoD ladder, and everybody in the military wants to get in on it.

    In discussing the 2024 Pentagon budget request, Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen H. Hicks said the funding would deliver “combat-credible joint forces that are the most lethal, resilient, survivable, agile and responsive in the world.” For the Army National Guard, lethality is wrapped up with retention rates. While medicine’s founding principle may be “first, do no harm,” Navy Medicine boasts that it “supports the force’s lethality by maintaining state-of-the-art medical and operational readiness.” For the Defense Logistics Agency, the magic recipe to “increase infantry squad lethality” is a battlefield-ready pepperoni pizza “with a high-heat-tolerant mozzarella cheese.”

    As Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., highlighted in a criticism of Harris’s speech, the nebulous goal of lethality can also justify seemingly endless military spending.

    “In all due respect, the United States is now spending more than the next 10 nations combined on defense,” said Sanders on ABC’s “This Week.” “We want the strongest defense in the world, but I do think enough is enough. You’re seeing military contractors profits soaring, and I think we can have the strongest defense in the world without spending a trillion dollars a year.”

    If history is any guide, lethality in a Harris presidency won’t be limited to Pentagon personal pan pizzas with three-year shelf lives. Dead civilians in Libya, Somalia, Yemen, or some other far-off land will likely attest to the efficacy of the greatest fighting force the world has ever known.

    The Intercept reached out to the Harris campaign for comment on Sanders’s critique, what lethality means to the newly minted Democratic nominee and just how the “most lethal fighting force in the world” would be employed if she were president. The Intercept did not hear back prior to publication.

    The post What Kamala Harris Meant by “Most Lethal Fighting Force” in Her DNC Speech appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • Last week, an investigation by The Intercept revealed that the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has repeatedly stiffed the Defense Department on a bill for support of a Saudi-led war in Yemen that killed hundreds of thousands of people and sparked a humanitarian catastrophe. For months — up to and since publication — the Pentagon has ducked The Intercept’s requests for comment on the unpaid bill.

    Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., in a statement to The Intercept, excoriated the kingdom, its leader Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, and the Pentagon in response to the findings.

    “Yemen’s children will grow up knowing Saudi Arabia’s brutal war that caused so much slaughter and starvation was made possible with American support. Now, the billionaire crown prince apparently will not reimburse America’s taxpayers for refueling his warplanes,” Paul told The Intercept. “Saudi Arabia’s delinquency, and our government’s arrogant lack of transparency, further demonstrates that America’s servility to this autocratic regime is a national disgrace.”

    The senator has been a longtime critic of U.S. arms sales to Saudi Arabia due to the kingdom’s dismal record on human rights. In 2019, Paul joined with Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., and a bipartisan group of lawmakers imploring President Donald Trump to end U.S. support of the Saudi war in Yemen. Late last year, Paul also attempted to block the sale of sophisticated intelligence and military communications technologies to Saudi Arabia.

    Despite the unpaid debt of $15 million — the remaining balance of a $300 million bill for aerial refueling missions which the Pentagon has repeatedly attempted to collect — the Biden administration recently lifted its ban on selling offensive weapons to Saudi Arabia, authorizing an initial shipment of air-to-ground munitions to the kingdom. The restriction did not apply to sales of so-called defensive arms and military services. Those sales have amounted to almost $10 billion over the past four years.

    The Biden administration’s embrace of Saudi Arabia comes as new questions have been raised concerning the kingdom’s role in the terrorist attacks that killed nearly 3,000 people on 9/11.

    In 2021, the Biden administration imposed the offensive weapons ban due to the war in Yemen which directly or indirectly killed at least 377,000 people, including thousands of civilians slain in Saudi-coalition airstrikes. Despite a deescalation in the conflict following a 2022 truce, 18.2 million people, more than half of Yemen’s population, still require humanitarian assistance.

    A 2022 Government Accountability Office report noted that between March 2015 and August 2021, the United Nations estimated that coalition airstrikes in Yemen killed or injured more than 18,000 civilians. The GAO also determined that the Pentagon and the State Department failed to investigate the role of U.S.-provided military support in causing these casualties.

    Related

    The U.S. Fueled Saudi Jets Bombing Yemen. Now the Saudis Won’t Pay Their Gas Bill.

    When the administration announced, earlier this month, that it was dropping its ban on sales of offensive arms to Saudi Arabia and authorizing an initial shipment of air-to-ground munitions, it also said it would consider additional new transfers on a “case-by-case basis,” according to senior administration officials. 

    For months, The Intercept has contacted the Pentagon to ascertain if Saudi Arabia has paid any additional portion of its remaining aerial refueling bill. Return receipts show that the questions were read three times by Pentagon officials in April and May. Despite dozens of follow-up messages in recent months, the Defense Department has never responded to The Intercept’s questions.

    On August 10, the State Department acknowledged receipt of The Intercept’s questions about the reasons for the resumption of weapons transfers to Saudi Arabia but did not reply to repeated follow-ups. A message sent to Saudi Arabia’s embassy in Washington, D.C., seeking an interview also received no response.

    The post Senator Calls U.S. Support for Saudis a “National Disgrace” After Intercept Reveals Unpaid Debt to Pentagon appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • When President Barack Obama wanted to bomb Syria in 2013 following reports that Bashar al-Assad was using chemical weapons on his own people, Rep. Tim Walz, D-Minn., who represented a rural district in southern Minnesota, went to a local grocery store.

    Walz stood outside the store and asked everybody that came out whether they supported bombing Syria. Every single person said no.

    “He was clearly stunned because he told us that story the next time we talked to him,” said Cathy Murphy, president of the Minnesota Peace Project, which has lobbied Walz on a range of foreign policy issues over the years. “It’s like, ‘The people in my area, they do not want more war.’ And that really impacted the way he voted.”

    During his time in Congress, Walz, now at the top of the Democratic ticket as Vice President Kamala Harris’s running mate, was a vocal advocate against a new war in Syria and evolved into a strong defender of congressional war powers. He ran for the House in 2006 on an anti-Iraq war platform, was active in multiple efforts to prevent the U.S. from waging a new war in Syria, and co-sponsored every war powers resolution aimed at imposing congressional authority on the U.S. role in the war on Yemen, among other pieces of legislation related to American intervention abroad.

    Walz and Harris constitute the first presidential ticket in U.S. history to be unified in support of key legal interpretations that have significant implications for war powers. Since the debacle of the Iraq War, Democrats have staked out stronger positions against the Bush administration’s notion of unchecked presidential powers to make war. As Obama took power, however, the administration undertook a program of more limited adventurism but never renounced the claims of expansive powers it inherited through Bush administration precedents.

    Walz and Harris, on the other hand, took on-the-record stances in favor of using legislation to limit those powers.

    They were both early supporters of the Yemen War Powers Resolution, which directed the president to remove U.S. troops from hostilities “in or affecting” Yemen. The War Powers Resolution of 1973 was passed to reassert Congress’s constitutional role in deciding whether to go to war. Under the Vietnam-era law, the president can’t send troops overseas into hostilities unless it has been authorized by Congress.

    The 2019 Yemen war powers resolution went on to become the first since the advent of the law to pass both chambers of Congress. (Harris also voted for an Iran war powers resolution following President Donald Trump’s assassination of a top Iranian military commander.)

    In addition to opposing various interventions, Walz has, for his part, also supported efforts to revoke and reissue more restrained versions of the 2001 and 2002 authorizations for the use of military force, or AUMFs, that formed a shaky legal foundation for a worldwide “war on terror.”

    Today, with Israel’s war in Gaza leading to U.S bombings of Yemen, advocates for humanitarian relief say having a presidential ticket recognize the limits of war-making powers is as important as ever.

    “They need to show us, the public, that they support these issues because that’s their principle, that they do believe in the value of the War Powers Resolution,” said Dr. Aisha Jumaan, president of the Yemen Relief and Reconstruction Foundation, “and that we need to have oversight of wars, especially now given the risk of escalation In the Middle East.”

    Following Anti-War Constituents

    Walz opposed war in Syria during both major pushes for a robust U.S. role in the conflict: the 2013 effort when Obama was seeking authorization, and in 2016 when hawks were pushing for more involvement.

    In 2016, Walz helped lead a group of House Democrats that urged Obama, successfully, to resist the mounting pressure. After more than 50 State Department officials came out urging Obama to carry out strikes on Syria, Walz — who served 24 years in the Army National Guard and retired in 2005 — led a letter with fellow veterans Reps. John Conyers, D-Mich., and Seth Moulton, D-Mass., calling on the president to keep pursuing diplomatic negotiations.

    During the national conversation about intervening in 2013, he was also one of 18 Democrats to sign on to a Republican-led letter to Obama, written by Rep. Scott Rigell, R-Va., saying that striking Syria without congressional approval would be unconstitutional.

    “We have to challenge the administration,” Walz said in 2013. “If we’re being true to who we are, it is about the constitutional responsibility of the House and it should not matter who is the occupant of the White House.”

    Walz told the Star Tribune that he was representing the anti-war views of his constituents, which were unanimous. “After 12 years of war, the American public has every right to weigh in and expect that their views be represented in Congress,” Walz said. 

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    Like most Democrats, Walz did side with the Obama administration in voting against an abrupt end to the Libya intervention in 2011. After the civil war in Libya became mired in disaster — with even Obama agreeing that the U.S. intervention was the “worst mistake” of his presidency — Walz’s trajectory became clear. He emerged as a defender of congressional war powers. He went on to support legislation aiming to block an attack on North Korea without congressional authorization when President Donald Trump was threatening “fire and fury like the world has never seen.”

    In 2017, Walz co-sponsored a bill that would have repealed the 2001 and 2002 AUMFs and replaced them with a narrower authorization with a three-year sunset. The 2001 AUMF, which was passed after the September 11 attacks and has served as the legal basis of the U.S. war on terror, was intended to authorize war against the orchestrators of the attack. The decades-old authorization, however, has been stretched to wage war in at least a dozen countries without additional authority from Congress.

    A senior Democratic aide who has been involved in recent efforts to rein in presidential war powers said Walz and Harris have taken a “pretty strong and consistent position” on Congress having the sole authority over the offensive use of force. “This is a breath of fresh air,” said the aide, who requested anonymity because they are not authorized to speak to the press. “If they remain consistent with their voting records and if they respond to popular engagement on this, it could promise a much more peaceful and constitutionally sound foreign policy.”

    Murphy, of the Minnesota Peace Project, said Walz was receptive to her group’s views and willing to change his position if he realized he was wrong. “I don’t think Tim Walz would have supported that but over time he basically said, ‘I want to repeal the AUMF,’” she recalled. “He supported repealing it simply because he could see this thing was being used in ways it was not supposed to be used. He really understood the constitutional requirement that Congress declares war, that Congress controls whether or not the president can just willy-nilly go into somewhere.”

    War Powers Resolutions

    Section 8(c) of the War Powers Resolution defines the introduction of armed forces into hostilities to include “the assignment of members of such armed forces to command, coordinate, participate in the movement of or accompany” the military forces of any foreign country when those military forces are engaged in hostilities or potentially engaged in hostilities.

    A Senate report on the War Powers Resolution explained how the language was intended to “prevent secret, unauthorized military support activities and to prevent a repetition of many of the most controversial and regrettable actions in Indochina” — an engagement that started with “advisors” on the ground and bloomed into the full-on catastrophe of the Vietnam War and its attendant secret campaigns.

    The Yemen war powers resolutions co-sponsored by both Harris and Walz harnessed this broader legal interpretation of the term “hostilities” — expansive enough to include the crucial support the U.S. was providing to the Saudi-led coalition bombing Yemen.

    Though the Obama and Trump administrations argued that the U.S. was not participating in hostilities against Ansar Allah, the rebel group known as the Houthis, the U.S. role was still vital to the brutal campaign — the worst humanitarian crisis in the world before Gaza.

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    At the time, the U.S. was providing ongoing maintenance and spare parts for bomber jets, intelligence for strikes, and mid-air refueling — a service Saudi Arabia has been delinquent in paying for. Its support role included U.S. forces in Saudi Arabia, both in the “joint coordination planning cell” and on Saudi air bases. Walz and Harris didn’t hesitate to say that these activities constituted unauthorized “hostilities” under U.S. law.

    The perspective on “hostilities” in the war powers resolutions is especially salient today. The Obama era saw a transition away from George W. Bush-style invasions, into a worldwide secret drone program. Eventually, U.S. military adventurism took the shape of proxy wars: With the war in Ukraine, Israel’s genocidal war in Gaza, and the U.S. ramping up its militarization of the South China Sea and Taiwan, using proxies became a more convenient and inconspicuous way to wage wars that Americans would never support.

    Walz and Harris aren’t destined to maintain the same positions on presidential war-making powers if they take the White House. The dynamics and entrenched power of long-serving bureaucrats in the executive branch could change the calculus and influence their approach.

    Their records, however, provide a reason for advocates of restraint to be hopeful, as well as a basis for holding them accountable if they stray from their previous stances. Sens. Chris Murphy, D-Conn., and Chris Coons, D-Del., also supporters of the Yemen war powers resolution, have been floated as options for secretary of state.

    “As legislators, both Harris and Walz have explicitly supported Congress’s original intent of the War Powers Resolution, but we will work to ensure whoever occupies the White House acts according to the Constitution and the law,” said Cavan Kharrazian, a foreign policy adviser at Demand Progress, a left-leaning group that helped lead the coalition that passed the Yemen war powers resolution.

    In contrast, Biden, as the head of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and Secretary of State Antony Blinken, as the Democratic staff director of the committee, suppressed dissident views related to war powers and worked to give the Bush administration broad power to go to war with Iraq.

    The post A Presidential Ticket That Supports the War Powers Act? appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • The Saudi Royal Family is reportedly worth more than $1.4 trillion, but for several years, the Pentagon has been chasing the kingdom for $15 million it owes for American assistance during the Saudi war in Yemen. For months, the Defense Department has ducked The Intercept’s questions about Saudi Arabia welching on its debt.

    Despite the unpaid debt, the Biden administration announced last Friday that it is lifting a ban on selling offensive weapons to Saudi Arabia, authorizing an initial shipment of air-to-ground munitions to the Gulf kingdom. The ban had been in place for the past three years as a response to the heavy civilian casualties of the country’s campaign in Yemen but did not apply to sales of so-called defensive arms and military services. Those sales have amounted to almost $10 billion over the past four years.

    The outstanding balance dates from an operation carried out between March 2015 and November 2018. The Pentagon spent about $300 million to fly aerial refueling missions to support the warplanes of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, as those nations waged their war to shore up the government of Yemeni President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi, who was overthrown by Iran-backed Houthi rebels. America also provided the Saudi military and its allies weapons, combat training, and other “logistical and intelligence support.”

    A Pentagon report obtained exclusively by The Intercept finds that Saudi Arabia has repeatedly stiffed the United States on its outstanding fuel bill. After the kingdom and the United Arab Emirates paid off a large portion of the debt in 2021 and 2022, Saudi Arabia has paid just over $950,000 on a years-old balance that, as of late last year, totaled $15.1 million.

    According to the report, which was obtained via the Freedom of Information Act, representatives of the Defense Logistics Agency and U.S. Central Command, which oversees U.S. military activity in the Middle East, traveled to Saudi Arabia’s capital, Riyadh, in March 2022 to meet with the Saudi Ministry of Finance and Saudi air force brass. “At that time, the Saudi MOF and the RSAF leadership expressed a willingness to pay remaining fuel debt owed to DLA Energy by December 2022,” reads the report. When U.S. officials again met with their counterparts, more than a year later, and raised the issue of the debt, Saudi officials said they were “not aware of the outstanding debt and requested some additional time to investigate the issue.” Late last year, according to the report, the debt was still unpaid.

    For months, The Intercept has contacted the Pentagon to ascertain if Saudi Arabia has paid any additional portion of the money owed. Return receipts show that the questions were read three times by Pentagon officials in April and May. Despite dozens of follow-up messages in recent months, the Office of the Secretary of Defense has never responded to The Intercept’s questions. At this same time, the Biden administration has been brokering billions of dollars in arms deals with the kingdom leading up to its lifting of the offensive weapons ban last week — part of a rapprochement policy aimed at strengthening ties with Persian Gulf autocracies in the face of the Gaza war and battles with Iranian proxies, as well as curbing Russian and Chinese influence in the Middle East.

    “The fact that the Pentagon won’t address the issue is concerning,” said Nancy Okail, the president and CEO of the Center for International Policy, a Washington-based think tank. “The amount owed — $15 million — is not the issue. What is significant is the lack of transparency and accountability. This is symptomatic of the larger problem of opacity surrounding arms deals and defense spending when it comes to the U.S. and Saudi Arabia.”

    The U.S.-backed Saudi-led war in Yemen, which deescalated following a 2022 truce, has directly or indirectly killed at least 377,000 people, including thousands of civilians slain in Saudi-coalition air strikes. A 2022 investigation by the Washington Post and Security Force Monitor at Columbia Law School’s Human Rights Institute found that a substantial portion of Saudi coalition air raids were carried out by jets developed, maintained, and sold by U.S. companies, and by pilots who were trained by the U.S. military. That same year, a Government Accountability Office report noted that between March 2015 and August 2021, the United Nations estimated that coalition airstrikes in Yemen killed or injured more than 18,000 civilians. The GAO also determined that the Pentagon and the State Department failed to investigate the role of U.S.-provided military support in causing these casualties.

    “The Saudi-led coalition has recklessly launched strikes killing nearly 15,000 innocent civilians and U.S.-origin weapons have been reportedly used in a number of these strikes, including a 2018 strike on a school bus that killed 40 children,” a bipartisan group of U.S. senators — Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass.; Bernie Sanders, I-Vt.; and Mike Lee, R-Utah — announced in 2022. “Between 2015 through 2020, the U.S. provided more than $54.2 billion in defense articles and defense services to the Saudi and Emirati governments, in addition to nearly $650 million in military training.”

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    In 2018, Jamal Khashoggi, a Saudi dissident and critic of the war in Yemen who lived in Virginia and was a columnist for the Washington Post, was murdered and dismembered on the orders of Saudi leader Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, commonly referred to as MBS. Then President Donald Trump and senior members of his administration never wavered in their support for MBS, plying the Saudi regime with arms, even in the wake of the international outcry over Khashoggi’s killing. During his 2020 presidential election campaign, candidate Joe Biden excoriated the Saudis, vowing that, if elected, they would “pay the price” and he would “make them in fact the pariah that they are.” There is “very little social redeeming value in the present government in Saudi Arabia,” Biden said.

    In 2021, the Biden administration imposed a ban on sales of certain types of offensive weapons to Saudi Arabia, citing the heavy civilian casualties in Yemen, but the new president quickly changed his tune. Biden offered MBS warm greetings when they met in 2022 and 2023 and, since taking office, has provided the kingdom with more than $9 billion in deals for arms and other security assistance.

    “The Biden administration’s reversal and eventual full embrace of MBS solidified his rehabilitation within the international community following the gruesome murder of Jamal Khashoggi,” said Seth Binder of the Washington-based Middle East Democracy Center. “The result has been to elevate MBS as untouchable and greenlight his ruthless repression.”

    Last Friday, when the administration announced it was dropping its ban on sales of offensive arms to Saudi Arabia and authorizing an initial shipment of air-to-ground munitions, it also said it would consider additional new transfers on a “case-by-case basis,” according to senior administration officials. 

    The Pentagon failed to respond to a request for comment from The Intercept about the resumption of offensive arms sales to Saudi Arabia. The State Department acknowledged receipt of The Intercept’s questions about the reasons for the resumption of such weapons transfers but did not reply further.

    “The Biden administration’s relationship with Saudi Arabia has been a big disappointment. Biden ran a presidential campaign attempting to distinguish himself from Trump and pledged ‘no more blank checks to dictators,’” said Center for International Policy’s Okail. “But over the past four years, the Biden administration has turned a blind eye to Saudi Arabia’s human rights violations. They’ve forged a relationship — mainly arms deals — aimed at boxing out China and locking Saudi Arabia into the U.S. orbit for many years.”

    The post The U.S. Fueled Saudi Jets Bombing Yemen. Now the Saudis Won’t Pay Their Gas Bill. appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • Ravil Mingazov’s 22-year ordeal in detention from the U.S. notorious detention facility at Bagram Airfield in Afghanistan to the prison camp at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, to solitary confinement in the United Arab Emirates ended this week with his repatriation to Russia, his son, Yusuf, told The Intercept.

    A gaunt Mingazov was flown directly into Russia on Wednesday morning from the UAE and dropped at his elderly mother’s doorstep, to her shock and disbelief, according to Yusuf. 

    “We still don’t know if he’s safe there or not.”

    For years, Mingazov’s advocates, including his family, have warned about the potential for further human rights abuses should he be repatriated to Russia, which he fled in 2000 over persecution of his Muslim faith. Now, his lawyer and son are expressing guarded optimism that he is at least out of solitary confinement in the UAE.

    “I hope that Ravil will now be able to live his life in peace, with time to recover among family and friends,” said Gary Thompson, Mingazov’s lawyer.

    Yusuf is relieved to be able to speak freely with his father again. “I’m very happy finally that he’s free but at the same time I’m not happy that they’ve done it the way they have,” he told The Intercept. “We still don’t know if he’s safe there or not.”

    The Biden administration, the UAE Embassy in Washington, and Russian embassies in the UAE and the U.S. did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

    Ravil Mingavoz, left, with his 87-year-old mother Zuhra Valiullina and older brother at a prison visitation room outside Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates in early Aug. 2023. Photo: Courtesy of Yusuf Mingazov

    The Mingazov news comes after a tumultuous few weeks for Guantánamo detainees. Last week, three of the four defendants charged for the 9/11 attacks, who remain imprisoned at the base — 30 people remain in total — agreed to plea deals. Amid a firestorm of criticism, the deals were quickly scuttled by the Biden administration, the latest delay in a decadeslong prosecution. A military judge has asked to review the deals, reviving the possibility they may still go through.

    In 2016, Mingazov, who was never charged with any crimes, was one of 23 detainees sent by the Obama administration to the UAE, a third country, because they could not be safely returned to their native country. In some cases, the UAE alternative owed to instability or security concerns, as with a raft of Yemeni detainees. In Mingazov’s case, it was a credible fear of persecution and torture. 

    Mingazov and his lawyer believed that the secret bilateral agreement negotiated by State Department officials and the UAE would guarantee a life of freedom, reintegration, and rehabilitation within the small Muslim-majority country. The agreement was said to include provision to prevent further transfers to countries where detainees faced certain credible risks like torture, a restriction on repatriation that is backed by international law.

    Instead of being provided care, however, all of the men were placed in another Guantánamo-esque prison complex and held incommunicado for years. The UAE eventually expelled all the Guantánamo detainees it had promised to keep to their countries of origin, leaving Mingazov behind as the only former Guantánamo detainee still in the Emirates.

    As of Wednesday, Mingazov too was gone.

    Multiple human rights organizations and Mingazov’s immediate family have for years sought to block this outcome. Fears escalated last October when Russian and Emirati officials pushed the prisoner to accept a Russian offer of custody. 

    Choosing to remain in solitary confinement in the UAE, Mingazov refused to sign documents that would trigger a return to Russia. Now he has been sent without his sign-off, according to his son.

    Advocacy groups have been raising public awareness about Mingazov’s situation for years. Nonetheless, he languished in solitary confinement for the entirety of his seven years in the UAE. He had no access to a lawyer, and phone calls to his family were cut off, then denied completely, when he would start to speak about his conditions, his son explained. 

    Still, he remained in UAE custody, refusing to be repatriated despite repeated assurances by the Russian ambassador to the UAE that he “would not be persecuted.”

    The post Ex-Guantánamo Detainee Forcibly Repatriated to Russia Despite Fears of Torture appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • U.S. troops in Iraq and Syria have come under repeated attack in recent weeks, including a rocket attack on al-Asad Air Base in Iraq on Monday that reportedly injured five U.S. military personnel and contractors. The renewed strikes, which began in July, mark a resumption of a low-level war between America and Iran’s proxies in the Middle East that had ebbed earlier this year.

    “We can confirm that there was a suspected rocket attack on August 5th against U.S. and coalition forces at Al Asad Airbase, Iraq,” a spokesperson with U.S. Central Command, or CENTCOM, the umbrella organization overseeing the Middle East, told The Intercept by email. “Base personnel are conducting a post-attack damage assessment.”

    The latest attack raises renewed questions about the vulnerability of U.S. bases in the region. Since Israel’s war in Gaza began last October, attacks by Iranian proxy forces on these sites have killed or wounded at least 145 U.S. personnel on Middle Eastern bases. 

    U.S. and allied forces have been attacked more than 170 times during the Gaza war: 102 times in Syria, 70 in Iraq, and once in Jordan. The latter assault, in January, ignited a round of escalatory U.S. counterattacks against Iranian-allied targets that led Iran to rein in its proxies. As Israel has widened the Gaza war in recent weeks, with more provocative attacks in Lebanon, Iran, and Yemen, Iran’s partners have resumed attacks on U.S. outposts across the region.

    While America’s enemies have demonstrated, to lethal effect, their knowledge of the locations of U.S. bases in the region, the Pentagon’s public affairs office claims to have no list of such outposts. “I don’t have any inherent information,” Defense Department spokesperson Pete Nguyen told The Intercept earlier this year. CENTCOM refused to comment on the locations of its bases, citing several reasons, including partners’ reluctance to admit to the presence of U.S. troops in their countries. “[O]ur relationship with the host nations is one of the reasons why this information is not made public,” CENTCOM spokesperson Vail A. Forbeck told The Intercept.

    Undeterred, The Intercept launched its own investigation and developed a list of more than 60 U.S. bases, garrisons, or shared foreign facilities in the Middle East. These sites range from small combat outposts to massive air bases in 13 countries: Bahrain, Egypt, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. 

    At least 14 of these bases have been attacked in recent years. Since October 17, 2023, alone, a mix of one-way attack drones, rockets, mortars, and close-range ballistic missiles have led to at least 145 U.S. casualties — troops and contractors — at regional outposts including three service members killed in a January drone attack on Tower 22, a facility in Jordan.

    “The indefinite U.S. military presences in Iraq, Syria, and around the region have near-zero genuine strategic value for the American people, but D.C. national security elites still think the risk is well worth it. Those concerned with the well-being of our service members — such as their families — are likely less comfortable with these soldiers being sitting ducks for local militias,” said Erik Sperling of Just Foreign Policy, an advocacy group critical of mainstream Washington foreign policy. “Americans who are tired of Mideast war should be worried about how these unauthorized hostilities effectively empower regional militias to draw the U.S. into an escalation any time they desire.”

    The U.S. has regularly justified maintaining secrecy about bases by claiming that, as CENTCOM told The Intercept last year, “in order to protect our forces and maintain operational security, we will not confirm U.S base locations.” Forbeck — a private contractor from the Red Gate Group working for CENTCOM — refused to provide even a count of U.S. bases in the region. “Numbers. Cannot provide that because opsec,” she said, referring to operational security, while failing to explain how providing a simple tally of bases could jeopardize U.S. personnel.

    But America’s enemies, specifically Iranian-backed militias, have had no trouble finding and striking U.S. bases since the late 2010s.

    Regular tit-for-tat attacks began in January 2020 when Iran’s top general, Qassim Suleimani, was killed near the Baghdad airport in a U.S. drone strike authorized by President Donald Trump. Trump said the U.S. was “totally prepared” for Iran to retaliate — which they did by firing 22 ballistic missiles at two American bases in Iraq. “All is well!” Trump proclaimed in the wake of the attack, as the U.S. claimed no U.S. troops were killed or wounded. Weeks later, the Pentagon admitted that there were actually 109 U.S. casualties.

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    Lies by American officials and secrecy surrounding bases in the Middle East has allowed the Pentagon to skirt accountability on several different fronts. U.S. outposts in the region have, for example, become sites of secret sexual assault and a ready source of weapons, ammunition, and equipment for criminals and militants.

    Investigations by The Intercept have found, for example, that U.S. outposts in Iraq and Syria are plagued by systematic thefts of military materiel by militias and criminal gangs. Exclusive documents obtained by The Intercept found that “multiple sensitive weapons and equipment” — including guided missile launch systems, drones, 40mm high-explosive grenades, armor-piercing rounds, and specialized field artillery tools and equipment — have been stolen without comment or announcement by the Pentagon.

    Beginning in October 2023, an umbrella group calling itself the Islamic Resistance in Iraq regularly claimed that attacks on U.S. bases in that country were in retaliation for Washington’s support of Israel’s war in Gaza and were aimed at pressuring the U.S. to remove troops from the region. The attacks dwindled from March to July of this year, but after a July 17 drone attack targeting al-Asad Air Base in Iraq’s Anbar province, where U.S. personnel are deployed, a senior member of the Asaib Ahl al-Haq militia said that attacks by the “resistance factions” had resumed, following a four-month ceasefire, because a deadline given to the Iraqi government to negotiate the departure of U.S. forces from outposts there had expired. (The Iraqi government reportedly wants U.S. troops to begin withdrawing in September and to fully end their work by September 2025.)

    The 64 Middle East bases identified by The Intercept have been active in recent years, according to Defense Department information or credible open-source intelligence. But without corroboration by the Pentagon, it’s impossible to know if all remain active today. What is clear are the sizable ongoing U.S. troop deployments in the region.

    Despite the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021 and a drawdown of forces in Iraq, there were more than 30,000 U.S. troops stationed in the Middle East in 2023, according to Pentagon figures. 

    As of June, there were more than 3,800 U.S. military personnel deployed to Jordan “to support Defeat-ISIS operations” and “to enhance Jordan’s security, and to promote regional stability,” according to the White House. More than 2,300 U.S. troops were stationed in Saudi Arabia to “provide air and missile defense capabilities and support the operation of United States military aircraft.” The U.S. also reportedly has around 2,500 troops deployed to Iraq to “advise, assist, and enable select elements of the Iraqi security forces, including Iraqi Kurdish security forces.” In addition, around 900 troops are stationed in Syria to “conduct operations, in partnership with local, vetted ground forces, to address continuing terrorist threats emanating from” that country. Approximately 75 U.S. military personnel are also deployed to Lebanon to “enhance the government’s counterterrorism capabilities and to support the counterterrorism operations of Lebanese security forces.”

    Numbers of personnel deployed to the Middle East regularly fluctuate. Late last week, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin ordered additional combat aircraft and warships to the region, in response to threats from Iran and its proxies to attack Israel in the coming days to avenge the death of Hamas political chief Ismail Haniyeh. Haniyeh was assassinated while visiting Tehran for the inauguration of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. (Hamas, as well as Iranian and U.S. officials, assessed that Israel, which has not publicly acknowledged its responsibility for the killing, was to blame.)

    The Pentagon announced plans to send additional Air Force F-22 fighter jets and additional Navy cruisers and destroyers capable of intercepting ballistic missiles to the Middle East. Austin also directed the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln, now deployed in the Pacific Ocean, to relieve the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt, which is already in the region, in the coming weeks.

    “When the supreme leader [of Iran] says he’s ‘going to avenge,’ we have to take that seriously. … We got to make darn sure that we’re ready, and we have the capabilities in the region to be able to help Israel defend itself and, quite frankly, defend our own people, our own facilities,” said White House national security communications adviser John Kirby on “Fox News Sunday.”

    Nguyen, the Pentagon spokesperson, failed to respond to more than a dozen requests by The Intercept for updated information about attacks on U.S. troops in the Middle East.

    The post The U.S. Has Dozens of Secret Bases Across the Middle East. They Keep Getting Attacked. appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • Attacks between Israel and Hezbollah, the militia and political party based just across Israel’s northern border with Lebanon, are fueling fears that a wider regional conflict may erupt any day.

    Hezbollah, an Iran-backed Shia group loosely allied with Hamas, has been in a low-level war with Israel since the conflict in Gaza began last October. Hezbollah, which is believed to have an arsenal of more than 150,000 rockets and missiles, has repeatedly emphasized that attacks will continue as long as the war persists.

    Over the weekend, a rocket attack that the U.S. and Israel said originated in Lebanon killed at least 12 civilians in the Israel-controlled Golan Heights. The Israeli foreign minister said that the attack “crossed all red lines,” and said “the moment of all-out war against Hezbollah and Lebanon” is approaching. Hezbollah denied responsibility for the strike.

    On Monday, Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken cautioned Israeli President Isaac Herzog about ramping up its war with Hezbollah in response on a call, according to State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller.

    But the conflict has been escalating for weeks. Israel has increased airstrikes aimed at the group. Current and former Israeli officials have also spoken publicly about shifting their attention from Hamas to the more powerful Hezbollah.

    After Israeli officials warned of the possibility of launching a war that would send Lebanon “back to the Stone Age,” the Biden administration intensified diplomatic efforts to defuse tensions and forestall a conflict that U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said could have “terrible consequences for the Middle East.”

    The low-level war has created a tinderbox that could explode into a regional conflict involving Iran, Iraq, Syria, Turkey, Yemen and, to an even greater extent than now, the United States.

    Lebanon and Israel are both U.S. allies, and America has poured billions of dollars in military aid into Lebanon, trained tens of thousands of its troops, and operated a proxy commando unit run by U.S. Special Operations forces there for years.

    After all that aid and billions of dollars in support, Hezbollah remains Lebanon’s dominant military force and a quasi-“state within a state” that wields significant influence in Lebanon’s government. Israel’s war on Gaza has only bolstered the group’s support, according to some metrics.

    While Hezbollah’s popularity is centered in Lebanon’s south and east, the group has gained support among non-Shiite Lebanese across the country since the outbreak of the war in Gaza due to its resistance to Israel, according to a survey by the Arab Barometer.

    The U.S. has also contributed to the group’s sway, says Erik Sperling of Just Foreign Policy, an advocacy group critical of mainstream Washington foreign policy. “U.S. support for the mass killing of Palestinians is so indefensible that it is actually strengthening groups like Hezbollah, who are able to capitalize on their firm but relatively restrained opposition to U.S.-Israeli actions,” he told The Intercept.

    In Lebanon’s south, the conflict with Israel in the past year has left towns and villages deserted and destroyed. More than 1,900 casualties, including 466 deaths, have been reported and almost 100,000 residents have already been displaced, according to the United Nations.

    Last month, Human Rights Watch released a report chronicling Israel’s widespread use of white phosphorus in southern Lebanon. The use of the incendiary agent, which ignites when exposed to oxygen and can cause gruesome lifelong injuries or death, may be a violation of international law and is, according to the rights group, “putting civilians at grave risk and contributing to civilian displacement.”

    But as grave as their suffering has been to this point, a wider war between Israel and Hezbollah would be “catastrophic” for the people of Lebanon, said Seth Binder of the Washington-based Middle East Democracy Center. “A war would only make things exponentially worse,” he told The Intercept. “For the region, it risks a further conflagration, likely at enormous cost to the people of the region and U.S. national security interests.”

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    Secret U.S. War in Lebanon Is Tinder for Escalation of Israel–Gaza Conflict

    Lebanon has been in crisis since well before the Gaza war began, having been overwhelmed by the Covid-19 pandemic; the largest refugee population per capita in the world; systemic corruption; and the 2020 explosion of a warehouse full of fertilizer at Beirut’s port that killed more than 200, wounded another 6,000, and demolished significant portions of the capital, causing billions of dollars in damage. Since then, Lebanon’s economy has collapsed, with its GDP shrinking from $55 billion in 2018 to $31.7 billion in 2020 — one of the steepest depressions in modern history. About 80 percent of the population is now estimated to be living in poverty.

    The Senate Armed Services Committee recently summed up the situation in a report: “Lebanon was already assessed to be on the precipice of being a failed state prior to the [Gaza war], which is negatively impacting the stability of the Lebanese Armed Forces, and their capabilities, to counter and deter regional threats including violent terrorist organizations, such as Hezbollah.”

    Earlier this month, Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, threatened to attack new areas in Israel if its military does not stop killing civilians in southern Lebanon. “The resistance missiles will target new Israeli settlements that were not targeted before,” he warned. “If Israeli tanks come to Lebanon, they will not only have a shortage in tanks but will never have any tanks left.”

    The Biden administration has reportedly warned Israel against launching a “limited war” in Lebanon. “Restoring calm along the Blue Line remains a top priority for the United States and must be of the utmost importance for both Lebanon and Israel,” a State Department spokesperson, referring to the border between the countries, told The Intercept. “The conflict along the Blue Line between Israel and Hezbollah has gone on for long enough. It’s in everyone’s interest to resolve it quickly and diplomatically. We continue to believe a diplomatic resolution is both achievable and urgent.”

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    Israel Is Banking on U.S. Support for a Wider War Against the Axis of Resistance

    At the same time, the U.S. has also assured Israeli leaders of continued military support, even in the event of a full-scale war with Hezbollah. Since the beginning of the conflict in Gaza, the U.S. has called out Israel’s “indiscriminate” bombing and pressed its ally to “implement a series of specific, concrete, and measurable steps to address civilian harm [and] humanitarian suffering.” Its support has nonetheless been almost unwavering despite the fact that the conflict has killed more than 39,000 Palestinians, injured more than 89,000, displaced 90 percent of the population, and reduced most of Gaza to rubble.

    “The nearly unconditional support that the United States has provided Israel over the past nine months has not only resulted in horrific tragedy in Gaza and extended the war in Gaza, but it has also allowed Israel to continue to escalate against Hezbollah, further risking a wider regional conflict,” Binder told The Intercept.

    The U.S. has also cautioned Lebanese officials that it cannot prevent an Israeli invasion. This mirrors Biden administration policy in regard to the Gaza war where the U.S. has kept arms flowing to Israel despite the administration’s own assessment that U.S. weapons were likely used by Israel in violation of international humanitarian law.

    “Biden’s efforts to avert a wider war in Lebanon are plagued by the same failures as his policy towards Israeli slaughter in Gaza. Israeli generals acknowledge that Israel cannot survive without U.S. diplomatic and military support, and as a result, the U.S. could force Israel to change policy at any time,” said Sperling of Just Foreign Policy. “Biden is reluctant to employ this leverage, however, because he doesn’t want to alienate the pro-Israel constituencies in the U.S. who have appreciated his steady support for the biggest mass killing of Palestinians in history.”

    The U.S. has a long and checkered history in Lebanon, including a 1958 intervention by U.S. Marines to forestall an insurrection there. In 1983, during a civil war that lasted 15 years, bombings of the U.S. Embassy and the U.S. Marine Corps barracks in Beirut killed more than 300 people. The United States blames Hezbollah for both attacks and has long designated the group as a terrorist organization. (Israel invaded Lebanon, during this same war, in 1982 and only left in 2000.)

    For years, the U.S. has poured funds into the Lebanese Armed Forces to provide a counterweight to Hezbollah. A recent State Department report called the United States “Lebanon’s paramount security partner.” Since 2006, America has provided more than $5.5 billion in foreign assistance to Lebanon, including $3 billion in military aid.

    The U.S. government has facilitated almost $2 billion in Lebanese purchases through the Foreign Military Sales program, including light attack aircraft, helicopters, and Hellfire missiles. The U.S. separately provided Lebanon with 130 armored and tactical ground vehicles. From 2016 to 2021, the United States also authorized the export of more than $82 million in U.S. military equipment to Lebanon, including $12 million in “firearms and related articles.”

    “U.S. security assistance to Lebanon has been quite extensive — one of the largest assistance programs in the world.”

    “U.S. security assistance to Lebanon has been quite extensive — one of the largest assistance programs in the world,” said Binder, noting that the U.S. has even rerouted tens of millions of dollars withheld from Egypt due to human rights concerns to Lebanon. “Despite the assistance, however the country remains incredibly unstable and its security forces remain unable to respond to Hezbollah’s domestic or regional operations.”

    In addition to pumping military aid and arms into Lebanon, the U.S. also maintains its own small military presence in the country.

    For years, the U.S. has waged a “secret war” in Lebanon against Sunni terror groups like the Islamic State and Al Qaeda, according to retired Gen. Joseph Votel, a former four-star commander who oversaw the effort; declassified documents; former special operators with knowledge of the program; and analysts who have investigated U.S. Code Title 10 § 127e — known in military parlance as “127-echo” — which allows Special Operations forces to use foreign military units as proxies.

    Related

    How the Pentagon Uses a Secretive Program to Wage Proxy Wars

    Through 127e, the U.S. arms, trains, and provides intelligence to foreign forces. But unlike traditional foreign assistance programs, which are primarily intended to build local capacity, 127e partners are sent on U.S.-directed missions, targeting U.S. enemies to achieve U.S. aims. The 127e program in Lebanon — code-named Lion Hunter — supported an elite unit known as the G2 Strike Force and was in operation as recently as 2019, according to a formerly secret Special Operations Command document obtained by The Intercept via the Freedom of Information Act.

    Central Command, which oversees U.S. military operations in the greater Middle East, did not respond to questions about Lion Hunter and the number of U.S. troops who have been, and may still be, involved. But in a June “War Powers” report to Congress, President Joe Biden noted that approximately 75 United States military personnel are deployed to Lebanon to “enhance the government’s counterterrorism capabilities and to support the counterterrorism operations of Lebanese security forces.”

    In a joint written statement to the Senate Armed Services Committee in April, Christopher P. Maier, assistant secretary of defense for special operations and low-intensity conflict, and SOCOM’s commander, Gen. Bryan P. Fenton, also noted that U.S. commandos are “postured to prepare for a wide-range of contingency operations in Israel and Lebanon.”

    In testimony before the House Armed Services Committee in March, Fenton called out Iran as “a longtime malign actor [that] leverages its proxies … to sow instability in the Middle East,” specifically citing Hezbollah. But Special Operations Command refused to talk about America’s own proxy force in Lebanon. “Unfortunately, we cannot provide comment on … whether the U.S. has continued to work with the G2 Strike Force,” James Gregory, a SOCOM spokesperson, told The Intercept.

    The U.S. has trained more than 32,000 Lebanese troops, including 6,000 schooled in the United States since 1970.

    Requests for comment about U.S. military assistance sent to Lebanon’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs were not returned. 

    The post U.S. Poured Billions of Military Aid Into Lebanon. Now Israel Threatens to Invade. appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • The American military has been carrying out a continuous military campaign in Somalia since the 2000s, launching nearly 300 drone strikes and commando raids over the past 17 years.

    In one April 2018 air attack, American troops killed three, and possibly five, civilians with a pair of missiles. A woman and child were among the dead, according to a U.S. military investigation, but the same report concluded their identities might never be known.

    Last year, my investigation for The Intercept exposed the details of this disastrous attack. The woman and child survived the initial strike but were killed by the second missile. They were 22-year-old Luul Dahir Mohamed and her 4-year-old daughter, Mariam Shilow Muse.

    Related

    Secret Pentagon Investigation Found No One at Fault in Drone Strike That Killed Woman and 4-Year-Old

    For six years, the family has tried to contact the U.S. government, including through an online civilian casualty reporting portal run by U.S. Africa Command, or AFRICOM, but they have never received a response. “They know innocent people were killed, but they’ve never told us a reason or apologized,” Abdi Dahir Mohamed, one of Luul’s brothers, told me last year. “No one has been held accountable.”

    A new report by the Center for Civilians in Conflict, or CIVIC, shared exclusively with The Intercept, underlines what Mohamed told me: Civilian victims and survivors of U.S. drone strikes in Somalia say that attaining justice in the form of official acknowledgment, apologies, and financial compensation would help them move on from the trauma they experienced.

    But after almost 20 years of drone strikes, even in cases in which the Pentagon has admitted to killing innocent people, the U.S. has failed to apologize to any Somali survivors, much less offer amends.

    “The civilians we interviewed described not only devastating physical harm, like deaths and injuries, but also significant economic burdens and long-lasting psychological trauma,” Madison Hunke, CIVIC’s U.S. program officer, told The Intercept. “Most respondents agreed that justice comes down to a perpetrator of harm being held accountable for their actions and the victims being treated with the dignity they deserve.”

    CIVIC interviewed 38 individuals who identified as civilian victims of U.S. airstrikes in Somalia, as well as eight civil society experts who work with or represent the injured and survivors. Twenty-seven of the 38 lost a family member in an attack. Many spoke of justice in terms of U.S. accountability, including acknowledgment of the deaths, apologies, and financial amends, specifically a Somali custom known as diya (blood money) which is traditionally used to resolve disputes.

    “For me, justice would mean the U.S. talking and sitting with the families of the civilian victims harmed in its airstrikes,” one interviewee told CIVIC. “Then the U.S. should financially compensate those families. That kind of move would eventually heal the wounded hearts.”

    After more than 17 years of drone strikes and ground attacks in Somalia, the U.S. has carried out 288 declared strikes. AFRICOM claims to have killed just five civilians in that period, including Luul and Mariam. (The military has never referred to the mother and daughter by name.) Airwars, the U.K.-based airstrike monitoring group, says the real number may be more than 3,000 percent higher.

    Following The Intercept investigation last year, two dozen human rights organizations — 14 Somali and 10 international groups — called on Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin to compensate Luul and Mariam’s family. This year, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., and Reps. Sara Jacobs, D-Calif.; Ilhan Omar, D-Minn; Barbara Lee, D-Calif.; and Jim McGovern, D-Mass., joined the effort.

    “The Department of Defense is currently reviewing this matter, and we will not comment further at this time,” Pentagon spokesperson Lisa Lawrence said of the case.

    The Defense Department’s response has compounded the trauma suffered by survivors, says Clare Brown, the deputy director of Victim Advocates International, an organization that supports victims of international crimes that is representing the families of Somali drone strike victims, including Luul’s.

    “The silence of AFRICOM and the U.S. Department of Defense towards the families has been really hurtful,” Brown told The Intercept. “As their lawyers, we know that there are discussions and even possibly some movement happening behind the scenes — but no one has reached out or spoken to the families.” Brown and other lawyers are the families’ only source of information. “It’s upsetting for them to feel like passive observers in this process they are actually at the center of,” Brown said.

    The forms of harm chronicled in the CIVIC report include the death of a relative, physical injury, property damage, and economic hardship experienced by victims and survivors of U.S. drone strikes. 

    Fourteen interviewees reported that they or family members experienced ongoing psychological trauma because of the attacks. “A considerable amount of time has elapsed since the incident, but I still experience nightmares,” one man whose sister was killed in a strike told CIVIC. “The incident and the gruesome details of what happened to her deeply affect me.” 

    CIVIC’s research found that a majority of civilian victims and survivors indicated a preference for individual amends like condolence payments or financial assistance over community-level compensation, such as improving local infrastructure. “The report is a good reminder that we can’t know what justice means to people unless we ask them,” said Brown. “The U.S. should also be proactively trying to have these conversations with communities affected by drone strikes — and hopefully this report will create the impetus for them to find ways to do that.”

    CIVIC’s report includes 11 recommendations for the U.S. government, including adoption of a comprehensive approach to accountability and amends, prioritization of individual amends to victims and survivors of attacks, and the utilization of $3 million authorized annually by Congress for ex gratia payments to victims and survivors of civilian harm.

    In April, one year past its congressionally-mandated deadline, the Pentagon released its 2022 annual report on civilian casualties. It concluded that U.S. military operations in 2022 killed no civilians, and also noted that the Defense Department did not make any ex gratia payments to civilians harmed in its operations in 2022 or the families of those killed in strikes from previous years. This follows a single ex gratia payment made in 2021 and none issued in 2020.

    It’s impossible to know if any payments to survivors were made last year because the Defense Department missed its May 1 deadline for releasing its 2023 civilian casualty report. Lawrence told The Intercept that the Pentagon is still reviewing data and expected the overdue report to be released “in the near term.”

    In the meantime, Somali survivors continue to wait, wondering if the Pentagon will ever apologize for killing their relatives.

    “Since 2020, when Congress first authorized the $3 million annually for ex gratia, the Department has reported just one single payment of just a few thousand dollars has been made, and that’s despite the many credible cases of harm the DoD has already publicly acknowledged,” CIVIC’s Hunke told The Intercept. “The U.S. has the tools it needs to make these payments, so it’s a question of political will.”

    “The lack of payments in Somalia, as well as in other places like Iraq and Syria, speaks volumes about the DoD’s commitment to meaningfully respond to harm caused by its operations,” Hunke said.

    The post U.S. Has Never Apologized to Somali Drone Strike Victims — Even When It Admitted to Killing Civilians appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • The United Nations has proclaimed 2025 as the International Year of Quantum Science and Technology. The goal is to recognise “the importance of quantum science and the need for wider awareness of its past and future impact”. But why quantum? Why now? Quantum science is both complex and weird. It’s not easy to wrap your…

    The post The time to discuss quantum tech risks is now appeared first on InnovationAus.com.

    This post was originally published on InnovationAus.com.

  • During an appearance before a military review board, an attorney for Guantánamo Bay’s “forever prisoner” revealed that negotiations are underway for his possible release after being tortured and detained without charges for 22 years.

    Abu Zubaydah (whose real name is Zayn al-Abidin Muhammed Husayn) is perhaps the most egregious victim of the U.S. national security apparatus that ran amok after the September 11 attacks and still grinds on. He appeared in a Guantánamo courtroom Thursday, listening to his attorney Solomon Shinerock tell a board of U.S. officials that a “redacted” country could admit Abu Zubaydah and monitor his activities indefinitely. The detainee will agree to any form of surveillance by the host country, said Shinerock, who did not name the country during the unclassified portion of the hearing.

    Zayn al Abidin Muhammad Husayn, a Palestinian known as Abu Zubaydah, is imprisoned at Guantanamo. (Department of Defense/Tribune News Service via Getty Images)
    Zayn al Abidin Muhammad Husayn, a Palestinian known as Abu Zubaydah, is imprisoned at Guantanamo. Photo: Department of Defense/Tribune News Service via Getty Images

    The prisoner, looking healthy at age 52 in a business suit and tinted glasses, did not sport the piratical eye patch he carried the first time he was seen in a public setting in 2016. At that time, the government was still insisting that Abu Zubaydah had been an important Al Qaeda operative who had advance knowledge of 9/11 and other attacks and was only cooperating with Guantánamo staff as a subterfuge. Since then, the claim that he was “No. 3” in Al Qaeda has been abandoned. The U.S. government’s assessment of Abu Zubaydah has shrunk to a brief statement that he “probably” served as one of Osama bin Laden’s “most trusted” facilitators.

    Unlike Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and three other alleged 9/11 plotters, Abu Zubaydah has never been charged with any crime. The U.S. assessment notes that he never swore allegiance to bin Laden because the Saudi militant leader focused on attacking the United States while Abu Zubaydah “had wanted to attack Israel for its treatment of Palestinians.”

    Abu Zubaydah has the funds to support himself upon release, Shinerock told the panel. The detainee was awarded more than $200,000 by the European Court of Human Rights in 2022 as compensation for CIA torture at black sites located in Lithuania and Poland. In 2023, a United Nations human rights panel, U.N. Working Group on Arbitrary Detention, urged the United States to immediately release Abu Zubaydah.

    “Bin Laden is dead,” Shinerock said, insisting his client “has no radical or violent tendencies.” He said Abu Zubaydah now believes that “violence is not answer to the problems of the oppressed.”

    The fact that Abu Zubaydah is a stateless Palestinian makes his case more complicated. He comes from a Palestinian Bedouin family whose village near Jericho was seized by Israeli settlers in 1948. His grandparents wound up in Gaza, where Abu Zubaydah’s father was born.

    According to Cathy Scott-Clark, who communicated with Abu Zubaydah and his family for her book “The Forever Prisoner,” his father could not return to Gaza after the 1967 war, but the family visited his grandparents living in a house in Gaza near the beach.

    Abu Zubaydah was born in Saudi Arabia in 1971. Of the five Palestinians detained by the U.S. at Guantánamo, he was the only one designated as being from Gaza. The other Palestinian detainees have been released to Hungary, Germany, and Spain.

    Abu Zubaydah was captured by U.S. agents after a gun battle in a so-called Al Qaeda guesthouse in Faisalabad, Pakistan, on March 28, 2002. Over the course of four years, he was held prisoner at CIA black sites in Thailand, Afghanistan, Poland, Lithuania, and Morocco, before being sent to Guantánamo in 2006. He was the first detainee to be waterboarded, and he endured that “enhanced interrogation technique” 83 times.

    The 2014 Senate Intelligence Committee report on the U.S. torture program stated, “After taking custody of Abu Zubaydah, CIA officers concluded that he ‘should remain incommunicado for the remainder of his life,’” which “may preclude [Abu Zubaydah] from being turned over to another country.”

    The Department of Defense’s Periodic Review Secretariat — comprised of officials from across the federal government — reviews “whether continued detention of particular individuals held at Guantanamo remains necessary to protect against a continuing significant threat to the security of the United States.”

    Since 2016 — the first time Abu Zubaydah appeared in public after his capture — the board has reviewed his file or held a hearing to review with him present, nine times. After every review, the board has found that “his continued detention is warranted,” and “remains necessary to protect against a continuing significant threat to the security of the United States.”

    It took two years for a final determination to be made after Abu Zubaydah’s last full review hearing in June 2021. Now he awaits a determination on Thursday’s full review and the outcome of ongoing negotiations with an unknown country on his resettlement. If he ever was a threat to U.S. security, has that threat finally subsided?

    The post Negotiations Are Underway for Guantánamo’s “Forever Prisoner” From Gaza to Be Released appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • Last week, the Biden administration said it would allow the Azov Brigade, a Ukrainian military unit, to receive U.S. weaponry and training, freeing it from a purported ban imposed in response to concerns that it committed human rights violations and had neo-Nazi ties

    A photo posted by the unit itself, however, seems to suggest that the U.S. was providing support as far back as December of last year. 

    The photo, in tandem with the administration’s own statements, highlights the murky nature of the arms ban, how it was imposed, and under what U.S. authority. Two mechanisms could have barred arms transfers: a law passed by Congress specifically prohibiting assistance to Azov, and the so-called Leahy laws that block support to units responsible for grave rights violations

    “My guess is that the Department found that the Brigade is a ‘new unit,’ distinguishable from the Battalion and the Regiment.”

    The State Department said this month that weapon shipments will now go forward after a Leahy law review, but won’t comment on if and when a Leahy ban was in effect. The congressional prohibition, the U.S. says, does not apply because it barred assistance to the Azov Battalion, a predecessor to the Azov Brigade. The original unit had earned scrutiny for alleged human rights violations and ties to neo-Nazi and white supremacist ideologies.

    The U.S. has not made clear about when the apparent ban started, but a deputy Azov commander and media reports indicate some type of prohibition has been in effect for nearly a decade — though the congressional ban has only been in effect since 2018.

    “There was a request for resources for the 12th Special Forces Brigade, which prompted a Leahy vetting process, in which they were found to be eligible,” a State Department spokesperson told The Intercept, suggesting the approval process did not deal with any existing bans. (The State Department did not respond to questions asking for clarity if that was the case.)

    One former American official said that because of the unit’s byzantine history of reorganizations and official status, the State Department should better explain its decisions.

    “Given the history of the Azov Regiment, the Azov Battalion, and the Azov Brigade, the State Department’s ought to provide a more detailed rationale for the finding that the Brigade is eligible pursuant to the Leahy law,” Charles Blaha, the former director of the State Department’s Office of Security and Human Rights, told The Intercept. “My guess is that the Department found that the Brigade is a ‘new unit,’ distinguishable from the Battalion and the Regiment. If that’s correct, the Department should say so.”

    U.S. Special Ops Training

    Restrictions on U.S. military support may have been in effect when the Azov Brigade’s official Telegram channel and X account announced in March that the unit’s personnel recently completed an American military training. The course, on civil–military cooperation, was provided by U.S. Special Operations Command Europe, or SOCEUR, according to the posts.

    One attached photo shows a captain in the Azov unit being presented with a certificate dated December 2023 by a person with a blurred face in U.S. military fatigues. A second photo shows a group of people in U.S. military apparel holding an American flag next to a group of several dozen others, some of whom are holding a flag with the Azov insignia.

    A post from the Azov Ukrainian military unit’s Telegram channel. Screenshot: The Intercept

    Department of Defense spokesperson Tim Gorman would not comment on the SOCEUR training, including whether or not it was legal, and referred The Intercept to the State Department. (The Azov unit did not respond to a request for comment.)

    The State Department also declined to answer repeated questions about the SOCEUR training and its legality, or whether there had been other U.S. military training with Azov before clearing the group under the Leahy laws.

    The spokesperson told The Intercept that it found no evidence of the Azov Brigade committing violations of human rights that would bar American aid under the Leahy laws.

    Russia has tried to discredit the Azov Brigade, the State Department spokesperson said, by conflating it with its predecessor, the Azov Battalion militia. The Azov Battalion, which is under congressional sanctions, was absorbed into the Ukrainian National Guard in 2014 then underwent several more reorganizations before becoming a brigade in 2023. Others have echoed concerns of propaganda against Azov, pointing to Russia’s amplification of claims about Nazis in Ukraine to justify its invasion.

    “That militia disbanded in 2015 and the composition of Special Forces Brigade Azov is significantly different,” the spokesperson noted. Another spokesperson, meanwhile, said, “The Battalion was disbanded in 2014 and the United States has never provided security assistance to the ‘Azov battalion.’”

    With the State Department leaning on the distinction between the “battalion” and the “brigade” to get around congressional sanctions, some representatives are moving to shore up the statutory ban on military support to Azov. In recent days, the proposed defense appropriations language was updated. 

    “None of the funds appropriated or otherwise made available by this Act may be used to provide arms, training, intelligence, or other assistance to the Azov Battalion, the Third Separate Assault Brigade, or any successor organization,” the new language reads, gesturing to a brigade created by Battalion veterans, as well as the Azov Brigade itself. The current language in effect only addresses the Azov Battalion.

    A former House staffer who was involved in efforts to ban support to Azov, requesting anonymity for fear of threats from the group, told The Intercept, “The fact that Congress is moving so quickly to reaffirm that the ban does apply to ‘successor organizations’ like the Azov Regiment, Azov Brigade, or whatever else they might change their name to next, shows that the White House view doesn’t hold water.”

    Significantly Different?

    As it is, the State Department’s limited rationale for lifting arms restrictions rests on the claim that the composition of the battalion and the brigade are “significantly different.” That finding would be made under provisions of the Leahy determinations that allow for differentiating between old and “fundamentally different units,” such as changes in leadership and culture. 

    Yet the Azov unit has significant continuity and, while Leahy laws are concerned with human rights, the State Department’s appeal to the Leahy determination may not cover the ideological justification of the congressional ban on the transfer of arms, training, or other assistance to the Azov Battalion.

    Azov commander Denys Prokopenko and deputy commander Svyatoslav Palamar, for instance, are holdovers from the original battalion militia. And, along with other higher-ranking Azov members, they are linked to white supremacist and neo-Nazi ideologies, as Ukrainian journalist Lev Golinkin reported in The Nation last year. 

    “If the White House wants to arm and train the most neo-Nazi-linked group in Ukraine, it should push for Congress to remove the ban.”

    The suggestion that the battalion was “disbanded” and the brigade is “significantly different” is also undermined by the unit’s own words. A page on their website celebrates its 10-year anniversary. “This is the path from a few dozen volunteers, who had only motivation and faith in justice, to a special purpose brigade — one of the most effective units of the Defense Forces,” it reads.

    Another biographical page suggests the Azov Battalion was never actually dissolved, but subsumed into the official Ukrainian military structure. “On September 17, 2014, by order of the Minister of Internal Affairs of Ukraine, the ‘Azov’ battalion was reorganized and expanded into the ‘Azov’ special purpose militia regiment of the Ministry of Internal Affairs,” the page says. “On November 11, the Minister of Internal Affairs of Ukraine signed an order on the transfer of the ‘Azov’ regiment to the National Guard of Ukraine, with its further staffing up to the combat standard of the National Guard brigades.”

    Josh Paul, a former director in the State Department’s Bureau of Political-Military Affairs who resigned in protest of the administration’s policy on Israel’s Gaza war, told The Intercept he was not aware of any standing restriction on Azov. He recalled speaking to subject matter experts who said there were no concerns, and, as far as he knew, the unit had been eligible for aid since at least 2022. “My understanding is that they genuinely are different entities,” he said, adding that he did not see any evidence while at the State Department to suggest the Azov Brigade should be prohibited from receiving security assistance.

    Ukrainian officials, for their part, seemed to suggest to the Washington Post that there was indeed a ban, one that Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba apparently raised to Secretary of State Antony Blinken last month. (Paul said there was “something odd going on, but my solid recollection is that there was no restriction, so I’m not sure what the Ukrainians are on about.”)

    Two months ago — after the social media pictures appearing to show the training — Prokopenko, the Azov commander, said on X, “Azov is still blacklisted from receiving any U.S. aid.” In a May post, Prokopenko complained Azov had fought to defend Mariupol in 2022 with limited resources and outdated weapons because of the congressional ban on aid — suggesting the statutory sanctions applied to the unit at the time.

    “The unavoidable reality is that there is a current ban on U.S. arms and training going to the Azov units,” said the former House staffer. “If the White House wants to arm and train the most neo-Nazi-linked group in Ukraine, it should push for Congress to remove the ban.”

    “That may be a tall ask, however, as Congress is currently seeking to strengthen the law, rather than weaken it.”

    The post The U.S. Says a Far-Right Ukrainian Army Unit Can Now Get Aid. A Photo Shows Training Was Already Happening. appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • This is a story about a story — one that I haven’t finished reporting.

    Federal prosecutors are so consumed by my efforts to report on a terrorism court case that they accused me in a recent filing of having “improper motives.” They said that, by doing routine reporting, I was somehow colluding with a terrorism defendant to “taint the jury pool and undermine the fairness of the trial.”

    These dangerous claims are the subject of an evidentiary hearing in U.S. District Court in Detroit on Thursday.

    My reporting so far suggests potential constitutional violations.

    The attack by the Justice Department should be seen for what it is: a breathtaking assault against journalism by the Biden administration.

    Although President Joe Biden boasts that his administration defends press freedoms around the world, his Justice Department’s public claims are an egregious attack against me filled with baseless assumptions and statements taken wildly out of context.

    Prosecutors appear to have subjected me to this attack for no reason other than that I was doing journalism in the public interest. (Lawyers for The Intercept submitted a letter to U.S. District Judge Jonathan J. C. Grey and will be present at the hearing Thursday.)

    While shocking for its content, the government’s attack on me is not entirely surprising. The case I’m investigating raises thorny issues about the FBI’s conduct, and federal prosecutors have complained in filings and court hearings over the past year about my contact with the defendant in the case.

    My reporting so far suggests that the terrorism case involves questionable dealings between federal and local law enforcement agents; intrusive surveillance over a period of years that yielded little evidence; and even potential constitutional violations. (The prosecutors in the case did not immediately respond to requests for comment.)

    For digging into this, Biden’s Justice Department is accusing me of having ulterior motives — and using the allegation as an excuse to keep information from the public.

    FBI on a Local Robbery Case?

    My involvement with this saga began five years ago, when I was reporting on a related terrorism case. I’d been secretly communicating with Russell Dennison, an American who had traveled to Syria and joined the Islamic State terrorist group.

    Until his 2019 killing by an airstrike in eastern Syria, Dennison had sent me hours of recordings over more than six months, describing his life and involvement with ISIS as the so-called caliphate collapsed around him. Dennison’s recordings and my reporting about them became “American ISIS,” an eight-part documentary podcast for The Intercept and Audible.

    After Dennison’s death, I spent months tracking down people he’d known, including those he mentioned in his recordings. One was a slender Iraqi-born Michigan man named Aws Naser.

    Naser had his own story arc. He’d come to the United States from Iraq as a boy before the 9/11 attacks and, after graduating high school, returned to Iraq as a U.S. military translator. His path crossed with Dennison’s when the latter was still living in Florida and Naser had returned to Michigan. The two met through YouTube, and their paths, even after Dennison’s death, have crisscrossed to this day.

    After the FBI arrested one of his friends on terrorism charges in 2012, Dennison flew to Michigan and stayed with Naser before traveling to Iraq. Naser visited Dennison in Iraq later that year, though at the time, Dennison wasn’t associated with ISIS or other terrorist groups.

    When Naser returned to the U.S. from the trip, he found himself subjected to intense FBI questioning and surveillance. And he wasn’t alone. Dennison was an unwitting pawn for the FBI. Anyone who communicated with him became a target.

    At the time, based on the FBI scrutiny, Naser falsely assumed that Dennison had been working for FBI. In truth, the FBI was struggling to build a case against Naser.

    Then Naser gave the FBI an opening. He had a dispute with his boss at a convenience store. Frustrated over unpaid wages, Naser pepper-sprayed a co-worker and took what he believed he was owed from the cash register. He was arrested for armed robbery.

    Following his arrest, the FBI obtained the search warrant for Naser’s home — not the local police, as you’d expect.

    Following his arrest, the FBI obtained the search warrant for Naser’s home — not the local police, as you’d expect in a state robbery investigation.

    The evidence the FBI collected from the search, which I obtained from state prosecutors, made clear that federal agents weren’t interested in the robbery case. Instead, the FBI took photos of Naser’s passport, plane tickets, business cards for a taxi driver and a jeweler in Iraq, and a piece of paper with a handwritten phone number for Dennison’s mother in Florida.

    Naser was found guilty of armed robbery at trial and sentenced to up to 20 years in prison, but the FBI wasn’t finished with him.

    The Dennison Connection

    Naser was in state prison for this robbery conviction when I first contacted him in 2019. He had been sent back to behind bar following parole violations.

    I explained to him that Dennison wasn’t an FBI informant, as he’d once thought, but instead had become an ISIS fighter who was wanted by the FBI.

    “This actually makes sense because the FBI, every time they’ve met me, every time they’ve interviewed me, every time they raided me, the only thing they’re asking me about is Dennison,” Naser told me in 2019.

    Russell Dennison in Syria. Obtained by The Intercept

    I included the interviews with Naser in prison and described how his story intersected with Dennison’s in “American ISIS,” which was released in July 2021. And I never expected to talk to Naser again.

    Then, in November 2022, the Justice Department charged Naser with attempting to provide material support to ISIS. (He denies the charges.)

    The initial charging documents were unusually sparse; there was no explanation of how or when Naser allegedly supported ISIS. One thing, though, seemed clear: The indictment had to be related to Dennison.

    Naser and I began talking by phone again in February 2023. He had been transferred from a state prison to a federal detention center to face the terrorism charges.

    Over the last 16 months, I’ve recorded more than 11 hours of phone interviews with Naser, part of an ongoing effort to produce an audio documentary about his case.

    And I wasn’t the only one recording. The Justice Department was listening to our calls.

    “Gleefully Shared Information”

    “Now, listen, this phone call is being recorded,” Naser told me in our first conversation after his federal indictment.

    At the time, Naser had been given some of the evidence in his case. While a protective order prohibited documents and recordings from being given to others, such as journalists, nothing prohibited Naser from summarizing to me the contents of the evidence against him.

    In that initial conversation, Naser told me that the evidence included a sealed indictment against Dennison. As he received more evidence in his case, he’d call me to describe the documents.

    The Justice Department, however, didn’t like Naser’s calls to me.

    In April 2023, federal prosecutors complained in a court filing that Naser “gleefully shared information” with me. My calls with Naser became a central focus of a hearing in June 2023, during which prosecutors admitted that the protective order did not prohibit Naser from talking to me about the evidence in his case.

    “He did not improperly distribute this information,” said Assistant U.S. Attorney Dmitriy Slavin in the June 2023 hearing. “Because information that is general discovery which is still concerning this case, there’s no limit on him sharing that information with the media, and he has made it his mission to share that information with the media.”

    For a time, the Justice Department and Naser played chicken. Prosecutors refused to turn over new evidence, and in turn, Naser refused to accept a modified protective order that would bar him from talking to me.

    During this time, the government’s case against Naser dribbled out slowly in filings. Prosecutors allege that he boasted of killing a gold merchant in Iraq in an online extremist forum where a government informant was present — though it’s unclear whether prosecutors have evidence to support the claim — and that Naser possessed ISIS propaganda, drones, and household chemicals.

    Fourth Amendment Violations?

    The FBI search warrant for Aws Naser’s home, as pictured in evidence from Naser’s robbery case in state court. Obtained by The Intercept

    Evidence in Naser’s case raises questions about whether federal agents violated Naser’s constitutional rights more than a decade ago. My recent efforts to find out more about these potential violations of the Fourth Amendment, which protect people from unreasonable search and seizure, led to the Justice Department’s attacks on me.

    Despite years of investigation, the FBI could not build a strong enough case against Naser to obtain a search warrant. Enter the local authorities. Naser had been released on parole in 2016. As a parolee, Naser was subject to searches at any time by a parole officer.

    The following year, a parole officer Naser had never encountered before did make such a search: He took Naser’s phone and captured a forensic image of it, essentially a copy of all the data from the device. The parole officer then provided the data to the FBI. The same parole officer returned to Naser a few months later and seized a second phone for the FBI.

    Federal agents used the contents of the phones to justify six new search warrants. Naser’s lawyers describe the phone searches as a “convenient workaround for the FBI” that created a “prolonged erasure of his Fourth Amendment rights.” In describing this alleged constitutional violation, Naser’s lawyers filed under seal several FBI reports related to the partnership with the parole officer.

    In phone calls in April, Naser told me that these FBI reports describe an improper arrangement between federal agents and the parole officer. According to Naser, the reports state that the parole officer’s daughter had reportedly been the victim of a sexual assault that had gone unsolved and that he wanted FBI agents to investigate the case. Naser, describing the alleged arrangement, told me: “In return for that help, he was going to help them with me.”

    “Improper Motives”

    A few weeks after Naser told me about these reports, his lawyers filed a motion to unseal them. The government responded on May 29 with an attack against me, alleging that I have “improper motives” and intend to release a “one-sided” and “sensationalized” work of journalism prior to the trial that will “taint the jury.”

    To support its claim that I have “improper motives,” the Justice Department wrote: “Naser and Aaronson discussed a sexual assault involving a witness’s family member and expressed an interest in learning more background details connected to it.”

    Of course, prosecutors omitted the key context: that this sexual assault case appears to be at the center of a reported quid pro quo that may have violated Naser’s constitutional rights and raises larger questions about the FBI’s partnerships with state and local police agencies in terrorism investigations.

    Why is the Justice Department so concerned about the contents of the sealed FBI reports that prosecutors have resorted to public attacks against a journalist?

    The Justice Department has argued — and will argue in the hearing Thursday — that the information I have been seeking, through my interviews with Naser and other reporting efforts, is not of significant public interest. This is demonstrably false.

    Parts of Naser’s story have already been told in my documentary podcast “American ISIS” and in Wall Street Journal reporter Brett Forrest’s book “Lost Son: An American Family Trapped Inside the FBI’s Secret Wars.” In addition, the Detroit News has covered the case’s ongoing proceedings.

    More significantly, the Justice Department’s attacks against me raise the public interest value of these FBI reports further: Why is the Justice Department so concerned about the contents of the sealed FBI reports that prosecutors have resorted to public attacks against the journalist who has been working to obtain that information?

    If the Biden administration is serious about protecting press freedoms, officials from Washington might want to have a stern talk with the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Detroit.

    Meanwhile, I haven’t given up my ambitions for a larger work about Naser’s case. Maybe I should thank federal prosecutors for the publicity.

    The post Federal Prosecutors Attacked Me for My Reporting — and They’re Doing It to Hide Info From the Public appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • Worried about a potential war with China, the Pentagon is turning to a new class of weapons to fight the numerically superior People’s Liberation Army: drones, lots and lots of drones.

    In August 2023, the Defense Department unveiled Replicator, its initiative to field thousands of “all-domain, attritable autonomous (ADA2) systems”: Pentagon-speak for low-cost (and potentially AI-driven) machines — in the form of self-piloting ships, large robot aircraft, and swarms of smaller kamikaze drones — that they can use and lose en masse to overwhelm Chinese forces.

    Earlier this month, two Pentagon offices leading this charge announced that four nontraditional weapons makers had been chosen for another drone program, with test flights planned for later this year. The companies building this “Enterprise Test Vehicle,” or ETV, will have to prove that their drone can fly over 500 miles and deliver a “kinetic payload,” with a focus on weapons that are low-cost, quick to build, and modular, according to a 2023 solicitation for proposals and a recent announcement from the Air Force Armament Directorate and the Defense Innovation Unit, the Pentagon’s off-the-shelf acceleration arm. Many analysts believe that the ETV initiative may be connected to the Replicator program. DIU did not return a request for clarification prior to publication.

    The new robot planes will mark a shift from the Defense Department’s “legacy” drones which DIU says are “over-engineered” and “labor-intensive” to produce. The four contractors chosen for the program are Anduril Industries, Integrated Solutions for Systems, Leidos Dynetics, and Zone 5 Technologies, which were selected from a field of more than 100 applicants.

    The goal is to choose one or more variants of what look to be suicide drones (weapon-makers prefer “loitering munitions”) that can be mass produced through “on-call” manufacturing and churned out in quantity as needed. (DIU did not offer clarification on whether all prototypes are expected to be strictly kamikaze aircraft.) These drones will likely be smaller than the MQ-1 Predator and MQ-9 Reaper drones — which were used extensively as ground-launched, reusable, missile-firing assassination weapons during the first decades of the war on terror — and more versatile, since the new ETVs must include an air-delivered variant that can be dropped or launched from cargo aircraft.

    For the last 25 years, uncrewed Predators and Reapers, piloted by military personnel on the ground, have been killing civilians across the planet, from Afghanistan and Libya to Syria and Yemen.

    “The clear danger is that these drones will be used at a greater scale, raising questions about the possibility of civilian harm.”

    To highlight just one instance, a 2018 U.S. drone strike in Somalia killed at least three, and possibly five, civilians — including 22-year-old Luul Dahir Mohamed and her 4-year-old daughter Mariam Shilow Muse — as revealed by a 2023 investigation by The Intercept, prompting two dozen human rights organizations and five members of Congress to call for the Pentagon to compensate Luul and Mariam’s family for the deaths. 

    Experts worry that mass production of new low-cost, deadly drones will lead to even more civilian casualties. “The clear danger is that these drones will be used at a greater scale, raising questions about the possibility of civilian harm,” Priyanka Motaparthy, the director of the Project on Counterterrorism, Armed Conflict and Human Rights at Columbia Law School’s Human Rights Institute, told The Intercept. “We need to know if these drones might be used in situations that put civilians at risk. We need to know how risks will be assessed.”

    While U.S. drones have relied on human operators to conduct lethal strikesmany times with disastrous results — advances in artificial intelligence have increasingly raised the possibility of robot planes, in various nations’ arsenals, selecting their own targets. 

    Electronic jamming by Russia in the Ukraine war has spurred a shift to autonomous drones that lock on a target and continue their mission even when communications with a human operator have been severed. Last year, the Ukrainian drone company Saker claimed its fully autonomous Saker Scout was using AI to identify and attack 64 different types of Russian “military objects.”

    Ukraine has employed as many as 10,000 low-cost drones per month to counter the Russian military’s advantage in forces. Pentagon officials see Ukraine’s drone force as a model for countering the larger military of the People’s Republic of China. “Replicator is meant to help us overcome the PRC’s biggest advantage, which is mass,” said Deputy Secretary of Defense Kathleen Hicks, one of the officials overseeing that program.

    Last month, the Pentagon announced it would “accelerate fielding of the Switchblade-600 loitering munition” — a kamikaze anti-armor drone from contractor AeroVironment that flies overhead until it finds a target — that has been used extensively in Ukraine. “This is a critical step in delivering the capabilities we need, at the scale and speed we need,” said Adm. Samuel Paparo, commander of Indo-Pacific Command, or INDOPACOM.

    At a recent NATO conference, Alex Bornyakov, Ukraine’s deputy minister of digital transformation, discussed the potential for using AI and a network of acoustic sensors to target a Russian “war criminal” for assassination by autonomous drone. “Computer vision works,” he said. “It’s already proven.”

    The use of autonomous weapons has been subject to debate for over a decade. Since 2013, the Stop Killer Robots campaign, which has grown to a coalition of more than 250 nongovernmental organizations including Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch, has called for a legally binding treaty banning autonomous weapons. 

    Pentagon regulations released last year state that fully- and semi-autonomous weapons systems must be used “in accordance with the law of war” and “DoD AI Ethical Principles.” The latter, released in 2020, only stipulate, however, that personnel will exercise “appropriate” levels of “judgment and care” when it comes to developing and deploying AI.

    For the last century, the U.S. military has conducted airstrikes demonstrating a consistent disregard for civilians.

    But “care” has never been an American hallmark. For the last century, the U.S. military has conducted airstrikes demonstrating a consistent disregard for civilians: casting or misidentifying ordinary people as enemies; failing to investigate civilian harm allegations; excusing casualties as regrettable but unavoidable; and failing to prevent their recurrence or to hold troops accountable.

    During the first 20 years of the war on terror, the U.S. conducted more than 91,000 airstrikes across seven major conflict zones — Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Pakistan, Somalia, Syria, and Yemen — and killed up to 48,308 civilians, according to a 2021 analysis by Airwars, a U.K.-based airstrike monitoring group.

    The Defense Department repeatedly misses its deadline for reporting the number of civilians that U.S. operations kill each year, the lowest bar for accountability for its actions. Its 2022 report was issued this April, a year late. The Pentagon blew its congressionally mandated deadline for the 2023 report on May 1 of this year. Last month, The Intercept asked Lisa Lawrence, the Pentagon spokesperson who handles civilian harm issues, why the 2023 report was late and when to expect it. A return receipt indicates that she read the email, but she failed to offer an answer.

    At least one of the new drone prototypes will go into full production for the military, based on how Special Operations Command, INDOPACOM, and others evaluate their performance. The winner, or winners, of the competition will be chosen to “continue development toward a production variant capable of rapidly scalable manufacture,” according to DIU.

    A drone scale-up in the absence of accountability worries Columbia Law’s Motaparthy. “The Pentagon has yet to come up with a reliable way to account for past civilian harm caused by U.S. military operations,” she said. “So the question becomes, ‘With the potential rapid increase in the use of drones, what safeguards potentially fall by the wayside? How can they possibly hope to reckon with future civilian harm when the scale becomes so much larger?’”

    The post Cheap and Lethal: The Pentagon’s Plan for the Next Drone War appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • Russia is to blame for coups in the African Sahel, according to a new analysis by the Pentagon’s top Africa researcher, which ignores the U.S. role in training leaders of these mutinies — and two decades of failed U.S. counterterrorism policies in the region. 

    The article, which calls for “standing up to Africa’s juntas,” fails to mention that at least 15 military officers who benefited from U.S. security assistance have been involved in 12 coups in West Africa and the greater Sahel during the war on terror.

    “An alarming string of military coups across the Sahel in recent years has greatly marginalized Western engagement in this important and highly volatile region,” wrote Jeffrey Smith, the founding director of the pro-democracy nonprofit organization Vanguard Africa, and Joseph Siegle, the director of research at the Africa Center for Strategic Studies, a Pentagon research institution, in a recent article published in the Journal of Democracy as well as the Africa Center.

    Focusing specifically on the mutinies in Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger, they note, “Russia has had an active and not-so-subtle hand in coups in each of these three countries, which were preceded by at least a year of intensive disinformation aimed at destabilizing the democratically elected (and Western-leaning) governments in place.”

    A series of reports by The Intercept found that military personnel who had received U.S. support were involved in coups in Burkina Faso (in 2014, 2015, and twice in 2022), Mali (in 2012, 2020, and 2021), and Niger (in 2023). U.S.-supported officers also played a role in coups in Mauritania (2008), Gambia (2014), Chad (2021), and Guinea (2021). 

    The total number of U.S.-trained mutineers across Africa since 9/11 may be far higher than is known, but the State Department, which tracks data on U.S. trainees, is either unwilling or unable to supply it. 

    The Pentagon is mandated to provide a briefing on coups carried out by U.S.-trained African partners to the Senate and House Armed Services committees but missed its March deadline. A source on Capitol Hill told The Intercept that the Pentagon eventually held the required classified briefing, but the Department of Defense failed to confirm the information. 

    The U.S. has recently been forced into withdrawing its troops from Niger and Chad due to souring relations with these longtime allies and the former acolytes who now lead them. 

    “While the juntas justify their coups — and continued strongman rule — based on the claim that they are uniquely able to restore security, episodes of violence linked to militant Islamist groups have doubled since these militaries have seized power,” wrote Smith and Siegle. 

    Aside from a single sentence noting that “Western countries had been working closely with democratically elected governments in Niger, Burkina Faso, and Mali for more than a decade,” the report contains no substantive discussion of the billions in security assistance the U.S. government has pumped into the Sahel, nor the military training provided to many of the leaders of these coups. The failure of U.S. counterterrorism efforts and the far higher spikes in terrorist violence over the span of U.S. involvement also go unmentioned. 

    Aside from a single sentence, the report contains no substantive discussion of the billions in security assistance the U.S. government has pumped into the Sahel, nor the military training provided to many of the coup leaders.

    Throughout all of Africa, the State Department counted a total of just nine terrorist attacks in 2002 and 2003, the first years of U.S. counterterrorism assistance in the Sahel. Last year, the number of violent events in Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger alone reached 3,716, according to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project, a crisis monitoring organization. This represents a jump of more than 41,000 percent.

    This has been disastrous for the people of the Sahel. In that same period, the number of fatalities linked to Islamist violence has skyrocketed from the State Department’s count of 23 deaths in 2002 and 2003 to 11,643 in 2023 — a jump of more than 50,000 percent — according to figures provided by the Pentagon’s Africa Center.

    Earlier this year, Gen. Michael Langley, the head of U.S. Africa Command, pushed back on any implication that U.S. support to African military personnel was linked to their rebellions. “There is no syllabus for overthrowing a government; not in our institutions,” said Langley. “It’s safe to say there’s no correlation or causation of U.S. training to a coup happening.” 

    Siegle did not reply to a request for an interview sent to him via the Africa Center. Smith told The Intercept he was unsure if the rise in terrorism across the Sahel was higher during America’s interventions compared to the period of Russian involvement, but emphasized that this was “not an apology for or justification of failed U.S. policy for over a generation.” He also conceded that U.S. training of junta leaders, and abusive militaries in the region writ large, was “a fair criticism to raise.”

    The post After Training African Coup Leaders, Pentagon Blames Russia for African Coups  appeared first on The Intercept.

    This post was originally published on The Intercept.

  • Defence’s security and technology experts provided a risk assessment on the government’s PsiQuantum deal that went to potential issues with the emerging technology and for the US company itself. The level of risk identified is unclear, however, with officials on Thursday defying requests by the Senate Estimates process to provide details on their assessments because…

    The post PsiQuantum technology risk assessment stays hidden appeared first on InnovationAus.com.

    This post was originally published on InnovationAus.com.