{"id":931701,"date":"2022-12-22T18:59:54","date_gmt":"2022-12-22T18:59:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/asiapacificreport.nz\/?p=82187"},"modified":"2022-12-22T18:59:54","modified_gmt":"2022-12-22T18:59:54","slug":"a-knife-edge-election-in-fiji-sees-power-shift-and-a-chance-to-bring-back-real-democracy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/radiofree.asia\/2022\/12\/22\/a-knife-edge-election-in-fiji-sees-power-shift-and-a-chance-to-bring-back-real-democracy\/","title":{"rendered":"A knife-edge election in Fiji sees power shift \u2013 and a chance to bring back real\u00a0democracy"},"content":{"rendered":"
ANALYSIS:<\/strong> By Steven Ratuva<\/a>, University of Canterbury<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n When the final election results<\/a> were announced around 4pm on Sunday, many Fijians, at home and around the world, breathed a collective sigh of relief: the government of coup-maker Voreqe Bainimarama looked like it had finally been defeated at the ballot box.<\/p>\n Could it be that the militarised political culture, pervasive in Fiji since the 1987 coups, was finally being effectively challenged — peacefully?<\/p>\n Bainimarama\u2019s FijiFirst Party (FFP) collected 42.55 percent of votes, well short of the majority needed to return to power. The closest rival, the People\u2019s Alliance Party (PAP), led by 1987 coup leader Sitiveni Rabuka, won 35.82 percent, followed by the National Federation Party (NFP) on 8.89 pecent and the Social Democratic Liberal Party (Sodelpa) with 5.14 percent of the votes.<\/p>\n Total voter turnout was 68.28 percent, less than the 71.92 percent at the 2018 election. With the Unity Fiji and Fiji Labour parties not reaching the required 5 percent threshold to gain seats under Fiji\u2019s proportional representation system, the maths indicated a dead heat \u2013– and some anxious coalition horsetrading.<\/p>\n The vote shares mean FFP will have 26 seats in the new 55-seat Parliament, the PAP 21, NFP 5 and SODELPA 3. The PAP and NFP had already signed a pre-election agreement to form a coalition, meaning they are tied with the FFP on 26 seats.<\/p>\n Led by Viliame Gavoka, Sodelpa was suddenly thrust into the role of kingmaker<\/a>. Given its fraught history with both FFP and PAP, the stage was set for some hard bargaining on all sides this week.<\/p>\n Family ties On the other hand, Sodelpa\u2019s relationship with FijiFirst has been equally strained. The founding leader of Sodelpa, the late prime minister Laiseni Qarase<\/a>, was deposed, arrested and jailed following Bainimarama\u2019s 2006 coup.<\/p>\n But there is a personal link between Sodelpa and the FFP, whose secretary general (as well as Attorney-General and Minister for the Economy in the previous government) is Aiyaz Sayed-Khaiyum. An Indo-Fijian Muslim, Sayed-Khaiyum is the son-in-law of Sodelpa leader Viliame Gavoka, an indigenous Fijian (Taukei).<\/p>\n\n
\n<\/strong>The PAP, in fact, is a breakaway faction of Sodelpa. The divorce was bitter and littered with bruised souls. A faction within Sodelpa wanted nothing to do with Rabuka and the PAP.<\/p>\n